Minnesota United vs Austin FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Major League Soccer

USA - Major League Soccer

Minnesota United
10/05/2026 19:00
Austin FC

Prediction :

 

Minnesota United wins

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in Major League Soccer Predictions

Minnesota United and Austin FC will face off at Allianz Field in the MLS on Sunday. The Loons and Los Verde are fifth and 11th in the Western Conference standings, respectively. The visitors are winless on the road this season, so we’re going for a home win as our main match prediction. 

After only winning one of their first five league games this season, Minnesota United have been steadily climbing the table, now on 20 points after their first 11 games (W6 D2 L3). 

The Oaks pulled off a stunning comeback to beat Columbus Crew 3-2 from 2-0 down last week and have now lost only one of their last seven MLS matches since the middle of March (W5 D1). 

The hosts have taken seven points from their four home league games this season (W2 D1 L1) and have only conceded a single goal at Allianz Field to date. 

Meanwhile, after winning just one of their first nine league matches this season, Austin enter this one off the back of consecutive 2-0 home wins against Houston Dynamo and St Louis City. 

Those results mark a massive improvement after conceding 19 goals in their first nine games. It’s also the first time they’ve won back-to-back MLS matches since September last year. 

However, the visitors' away form is much less impressive, as they are one of only two teams in the entire MLS yet to win a match on the road this term (D2 L3).

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Minnesota United v Austin FC Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.72 3.95 4.5
Melbet
1.7 3.98 4.68
Betwinner
1.7 3.98 4.68
Bet365
1.66 4 4.75
Roobet
1.68 3.9 4.5
Check all Minnesota United vs Austin FC odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Minnesota United and Austin FC?

Our prediction for the Minnesota United vs Austin FC match is: Minnesota United wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/05/2026 between Minnesota United and Austin FC in Major League Soccer :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.2% for a win of Minnesota United against Austin FC with odds of 1.72 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Minnesota United vs Austin FC is 33.72% with odds of 4.1 at Shangrila.
  • Our prediction model gives a 18.08% chance ⭐ for a win of Austin FC vs Minnesota United with odds of 4.75 at Bet365.

Minnesota United - Austin FC Prediction and Best Odds:

Minnesota United Austin FC Prediction Probability Odds
Minnesota United wins 48.2% 1.72 at Stake
Over 2.5 goals 57.03% 1.8 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 57.5%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Minnesota United 20.86% 4.9 at LSbet

Minnesota United vs Austin FC Form

Minnesota United and Austin FC's standings in the Major League Soccer

Teams Pts P W D L GD
16 Minnesota United
23 17 6 5 6 -5
25 Austin FC
17 17 4 5 8 -13

Minnesota United and Austin FC Last Matches

Minnesota United
Minnesota United Last matches
D W W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

2 May 2026 - Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew
2 :  3
Minnesota United

28 Apr 2026 - US Open Cup

San Jose Earthquakes
4 :  2
Minnesota United

25 Apr 2026 - Major League Soccer

Minnesota United
0 :  1
Los Angeles FC

22 Apr 2026 - Major League Soccer

FC Dallas
0 :  1
Minnesota United

18 Apr 2026 - Major League Soccer

Minnesota United
2 :  0
Portland Timbers

14 Apr 2026 - US Open Cup

Sacramento Republic
0 :  0
Minnesota United
D D W D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

25 Apr 2026 - Major League Soccer

Minnesota United
0 :  1
Los Angeles FC

18 Apr 2026 - Major League Soccer

Minnesota United
2 :  0
Portland Timbers

22 Mar 2026 - Major League Soccer

Minnesota United
0 :  0
Seattle Sounders

28 Feb 2026 - Major League Soccer

Minnesota United
1 :  0
FC Cincinnati

8 Nov 2025 - Major League Soccer

Minnesota United
3 :  3
Seattle Sounders

27 Oct 2025 - Major League Soccer

Minnesota United
0 :  0
Seattle Sounders
W W D W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

2 May 2026 - Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew
2 :  3
Minnesota United

28 Apr 2026 - US Open Cup

San Jose Earthquakes
4 :  2
Minnesota United

22 Apr 2026 - Major League Soccer

FC Dallas
0 :  1
Minnesota United

14 Apr 2026 - US Open Cup

Sacramento Republic
0 :  0
Minnesota United

11 Apr 2026 - Major League Soccer

San Diego FC
1 :  2
Minnesota United

4 Apr 2026 - Major League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy
1 :  2
Minnesota United
Austin FC
Austin FC Last matches
L L D L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

3 May 2026 - Major League Soccer

Austin FC
2 :  0
Saint Louis City SC

25 Apr 2026 - Major League Soccer

Austin FC
2 :  0
Houston Dynamo

22 Apr 2026 - Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes
5 :  1
Austin FC

18 Apr 2026 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
3 :  3
Austin FC

14 Apr 2026 - US Open Cup

Louisville City
2 :  1
Austin FC

11 Apr 2026 - Major League Soccer

Austin FC
1 :  2
Los Angeles Galaxy
D W D L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

3 May 2026 - Major League Soccer

Austin FC
2 :  0
Saint Louis City SC

25 Apr 2026 - Major League Soccer

Austin FC
2 :  0
Houston Dynamo

11 Apr 2026 - Major League Soccer

Austin FC
1 :  2
Los Angeles Galaxy

21 Mar 2026 - Major League Soccer

Austin FC
0 :  0
Los Angeles FC

1 Mar 2026 - Major League Soccer

Austin FC
1 :  0
DC United

21 Feb 2026 - Major League Soccer

Austin FC
2 :  2
Minnesota United
L L D L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

22 Apr 2026 - Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes
5 :  1
Austin FC

18 Apr 2026 - Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
3 :  3
Austin FC

14 Apr 2026 - US Open Cup

Louisville City
2 :  1
Austin FC

4 Apr 2026 - Major League Soccer

Inter Miami
2 :  2
Austin FC

14 Mar 2026 - Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake
2 :  1
Austin FC

7 Mar 2026 - Major League Soccer

Charlotte FC
3 :  1
Austin FC

Minnesota United vs Austin FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Minnesota United

33 %

Draw

33 %

Austin FC

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

21 Feb 2026 - Major League Soccer

Austin FC
2 :  2
Minnesota United

17 Sept 2025 - US Open Cup

Minnesota United
1 :  2
Austin FC

24 May 2025 - Major League Soccer

Minnesota United
1 :  1
Austin FC

3 May 2025 - Major League Soccer

Austin FC
0 :  3
Minnesota United

22 Jun 2024 - Major League Soccer

Minnesota United
0 :  1
Austin FC

24 Feb 2024 - Major League Soccer

Austin FC
1 :  2
Minnesota United
Minnesota United vs Austin FC Prediction

Minnesota United against Austin FC Lineups: Starting 11

Minnesota United

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

12
D. Callender
28
J. Diaz
23
M. Duggan
5
N. Romero
2
D. Padelford
8
T. Chancalay
25
N. Triantis
30
O. Gene
13
A. Markanich
9
K. Yeboah
26
J. Pereyra
10
M. Uzuni
21
C. Ramirez
17
J. Gallagher
6
I. Sanchez
30
J. Rosales
11
F. Torres
29
G. Biro
4
B. Hines-Ike
5
O. Svatok
3
M. Desler
1
B. Stuver

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Austin FC

Substitutes

Minnesota United
Minnesota United
Goalkeeper

A. Smir

Defender

M. Boxall

D. Padelford 82'

D. Taylor

M. Gonzalez

O. Gene 88'

K. Chandler

Midfielder

D. Fitz

J. Rodriguez

T. Chancalay 63'

W. Trapp

N. Triantis 63'

Forward

M. Dieng

Austin FC
Austin FC
Goalkeeper

D. Las

Defender

J. Bell

B. Hines-Ike 44'

Z. Kolmanic

J. Bell 90'

Midfielder

D. Pereira

I. Sanchez 71'

O. Wolff

J. Gallagher 71'

N. Dubersarsky

B. Sabovic

Forward

C. Fodrey

B. Vazquez

C. Ramirez 84'

Missing players

Minnesota United
Minnesota United
Defender

J. Gressel

C. Harvey

Midfielder

P. Stroud

Forward

B. Hlongwane

Austin FC
Austin FC
Forward

J. Nelson

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Minnesota United
CD Huachipato Austin FC
Top Goalscorer
Italy K. Yeboah (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Albania M. Uzuni (6 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina J. Pereyra (5 Assists)
Best assists
Uruguay F. Torres (6 Assists)

Minnesota United - Austin FC Key Points

  1. Minnesota United have won six of their last eight matches in all competitions.
  2. Minnesota United have kept three clean sheets in their four home league games this season.
  3. Minnesota United are unbeaten in their last four matches against this opponent in all competitions.
  4. Austin have only won two of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
  5. Austin have yet to win an away game in the MLS this season.
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Our Minnesota United vs Austin FC Prediction

Austin will be feeling a lot better about themselves after notching up victories over St Louis City and Houston Dynamo. The issue, though, is that both those wins came at home, while they have yet to win a match on the road. 

Minnesota United will be brimming with confidence after that incredible comeback against Columbus Crew last week. The hosts have only conceded once at home this season, and we feel they will take all three points from this match. Our Minnesota United vs Austin FC prediction is Minnesota United wins. 

Prediction :

 

Minnesota United wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Minnesota United Austin FC

Minnesota United vs Austin FC Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Minnesota United wins 1.7 1.72 +1.2%
Draw 3.9 4.1 +5.1%
Austin FC wins 4.7 4.75 +1.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Minnesota United is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 1.2% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 58.8% and is now 58.1% (-0.7%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.