Milton Keynes Dons vs Gillingham Prediction & Betting Tips - League Two
England - League Two
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by Ian John | in Football Predictions
MK Dons host high-flying Gillingham in an intriguing League Two clash on Saturday lunchtime. With the home side struggling for form in front of their own fans, they are threatening to ruin an otherwise good start to the season. Will the Dons or the Gills prevail? Check out our prediction for the match below.
Currently, MK Dons are sitting in ninth place in the league table after ten games, taking 15 points from those matches. Gillingham have started the season superbly well and sit second in the table with 21 points from their ten matches so far. They have lost just one of those ten games this season, the fewest of all teams in League Two.
Recent form for MK Dons is poor, with just one league win in their past five games. They have lost all their last three at home including defeats to Walsall (0-1), Grimsby Town (2-3) and Accrington Stanley (1-2). Their most recent game however offers hope as they defeated Shrewsbury 2-1 away from home last weekend.
Gillingham suffered their first defeat of the season last weekend, losing 1-0 at home to Harrogate. Prior to that, they were unbeaten in nine and are yet to lose an away game this season.
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Milton Keynes Dons v Gillingham Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.06 | 3.3 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.99 | 3.58 | 3.59 |
|
|
1.98 | 3.6 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.98 | 3.6 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.2 | 3.7 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Milton Keynes Dons and Gillingham?
Our prediction for the Milton Keynes Dons vs Gillingham match is: Gillingham wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/10/2025 between Milton Keynes Dons and Gillingham in League Two :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.71% for a win of Milton Keynes Dons against Gillingham with odds of 2.1 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Milton Keynes Dons vs Gillingham is 27.19% with odds of 3.6 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 50.1% chance ⭐ for a win of Gillingham vs Milton Keynes Dons with odds of 3.7 at Bet365.
Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham Prediction and Best Odds:
| Milton Keynes Dons Gillingham Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Gillingham wins | 50.1% | 3.7 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 52.26% | 2.1 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 56.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Gillingham | 23.58% | 8.75 at LSbet |
Milton Keynes Dons vs Gillingham Form
Milton Keynes Dons and Gillingham's standings in the League Two
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
86 | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | +41 |
|
17
|
53 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | -19 |
Milton Keynes Dons and Gillingham Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - League Two
20 Sept 2025 - League Two
16 Sept 2025 - EFL Trophy
13 Sept 2025 - League Two
6 Sept 2025 - League Two
30 Aug 2025 - League Two
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - League Two
16 Sept 2025 - EFL Trophy
6 Sept 2025 - League Two
30 Aug 2025 - League Two
16 Aug 2025 - League Two
2 Aug 2025 - League Two
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - League Two
13 Sept 2025 - League Two
23 Aug 2025 - League Two
19 Aug 2025 - League Two
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - League Two
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - League Two
20 Sept 2025 - League Two
13 Sept 2025 - League Two
6 Sept 2025 - League Two
2 Sept 2025 - EFL Trophy
30 Aug 2025 - League Two
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - League Two
13 Sept 2025 - League Two
2 Sept 2025 - EFL Trophy
23 Aug 2025 - League Two
19 Aug 2025 - League Two
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - League Two
6 Sept 2025 - League Two
30 Aug 2025 - League Two
16 Aug 2025 - League Two
2 Aug 2025 - League Two
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Milton Keynes Dons vs Gillingham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Apr 2025 - League Two
14 Dec 2024 - League Two
27 Jan 2024 - League Two
Players list
C. MacGillivray
DefenderM. Ekpiteta
J. Mellish
MidfielderL. Offord
W. Collar
N. Mendez
A. Gilbey
L. Kelly
L. Maguire
ForwardC. Paterson
A. Nemane
G. Morris
DefenderS. Ogie
R. Hutton
A. Smith
R. McKenzie
MidfielderA. Rowe
E. Coleman
S. Gale
J. Williams
ForwardJ. Andrews
E. Nevitt
Substitutes
C. Trueman
DefenderN. Thompson
C. Tripp
K. Thompson-Sommers
D. Crowley
J. Leko
S. Hogan
J. Turner
DefenderL. Cirino
T. Akomeah
M. Clark
N. Khumbeni
ForwardS. Vokes
S. Palmer Houlden
Most goals and assists
Milton Keynes Dons
Gillingham
C. Paterson
(16 Goals)
B. Dack
(7 Goals)
Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham Key Points
- MK Dons have lost all their last three games at home.
- Gillingham are unbeaten away from home in the league this season (W2, D3).
- MK Dons have conceded ten goals in their last three home games in all competitions.
- Gillingham have won three of the last four games between the two teams.
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Our Milton Keynes Dons vs Gillingham Prediction
Our prediction for the MK Dons vs. Gillingham League Two match is: Gillingham wins the match.
The worrying trend for MK Dons fans in the data for this game, is how the Dons are struggling at home. With three defeats in a row, their solid away form is what is keeping them in the top half of the table. However, with Gillingham unbeaten on the road and wanting to bounce back from a shock defeat last week, this looks like being another tough task for the home sides. As such, we're backing Gillingham to land the win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Milton Keynes Dons Gillingham
| Milton Keynes Dons vs Gillingham | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milton Keynes Dons wins | 1.75 | 2.1 | +20.0% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.6 | +5.9% |
| Gillingham wins | 4 | 3.7 | -7.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Gillingham is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 25.0% and is now 27.0% (2.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
