Millwall vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Steve Ashfield | in Championship Predictions
Millwall moved up to fourth in the Championship after their midweek home win over Sheffield Wednesday. Now they are home to in-form Southampton who are 11th in the table after a fourth successive win in midweek. Time for our match prediction.
The home side are only two points behind the final automatic promotion spot. That's despite the fact they have a -4 goal difference. While they have scored 19 league goals this season, their leaky defence has conceded 23. Five home league games have been won but three lost with a goal difference of -1.
Three of their last five league games have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
Southampton made a terrible start to the new season and were down at the bottom of the table. A change of coach has worked wonders and a form guide for the last five league games has them top. Their last four league games have all been won with 11 goals scored in the last three.
Away form has produced three victories with seven goals scored in the last two including five at Charlton.
Both teams have scored in each of their last five away league fixtures. We tip that stat to come up again this weekend.
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Millwall v Southampton Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3 | 3.4 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.03 | 3.52 | 2.27 |
|
|
3 | 3.3 | 2.32 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.5 | 2.25 |
|
|
3 | 3.35 | 2.3 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Millwall and Southampton?
Our prediction for the Millwall vs Southampton match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/11/2025 between Millwall and Southampton in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.94% for a win of Millwall against Southampton with odds of 3.1 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Millwall vs Southampton is 17.39% with odds of 3.52 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.67% chance ⭐ for a win of Southampton vs Millwall with odds of 2.35 at LSbet.
Millwall - Southampton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Millwall Southampton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton wins | 41.67% | 2.35 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.51% | 2.05 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 54.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Southampton | 17.43% | 5.75 at LSbet |
Millwall vs Southampton Form
Millwall and Southampton's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
83 | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | +15 |
|
4
|
80 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | +26 |
Millwall and Southampton Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
1 Oct 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
16 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
5 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
14 Sept 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
5 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
Millwall vs Southampton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Feb 2024 - Championship
4 Nov 2023 - Championship
Millwall against Southampton Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
S. Benda
DefenderK. Grant
W. Harding
MidfielderA. Doughty
C. Neghli
T. Ballo
M. Langstaff
Z. Lovelace
A. Matthews
A. McCarthy
DefenderWelington
R. Edwards
J. Quarshie
MidfielderK. Matsuki
O. Romeu
J. Aribo
N. Oyekunle
R. Fraser
Missing players
L. Jensen
MidfielderM. Luongo
B. Baker
M. Roerslev
Most goals and assists
Millwall
Southampton
F. Azeez
(11 Goals)
F. Azaz
(11 Goals)
,
A. Armstrong
(11 Goals)
F. Azeez
(8 Assists)
L. Scienza
(9 Assists)
Millwall - Southampton Key Points
- Four of the last six games between Millwall and Southampton have seen both teams score.
- Both teams have scored in three of Millwall's last five games.
- Each of Southampton's last five away league games have seen both teams score.
- Southampton have scored 11 goals in their last three games.
- Millwall have scored in each of their last five home league fixtures.
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Our Millwall vs Southampton Prediction
Millwall may be fourth in the table but they really could do with tightening their defence. Portsmouth, Birmingham and Coventry have all scored at least three goals against them this season. Midweek saw them beat bottom-of-the-table Sheffield Wednesday but only 1-0.
Southampton are in excellent form at present and now only three points behind the final promotion play-off position. Their last four league games have all been won with plenty of goals at both ends. Our Millwall v Southampton prediction is both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Millwall Southampton
| Millwall vs Southampton | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall wins | 3 | 3.1 | +3.3% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.52 | +0.6% |
| Southampton wins | 2.21 | 2.35 | +6.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Southampton is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.2% and is now 42.6% (-2.7%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
