Millwall vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Championship Predictions
Millwall will look to push for a direct promotion slot in the EFL Championship table as they take on play-off hopefuls Derby County in matchday 37 on Tuesday. This match at ‘The Den’ in London between the third-placed Lions and the seventh-placed Rams comes with our prediction of both teams scoring goals.
With 65 points (W19, D8, L9), Millwall start this round four points behind second and one point above fourth. Derby have 54 points (W15, D9, L12) and are three points outside the top six.
Millwall won 3-1 away at Hull last weekend to make it five wins out of their last six league games (L1), including three in a row. The Lions are peaking at the right time as they look to move up to second, although the chances are slim.
The hosts have lost only once in their last six home league games (W4, D1), so there’s enough confidence in continuing that run.
Derby won 2-1 at home against basement club Sheffield Wednesday last weekend to make it back-to-back league wins. Both came at their home venue as the Rams continue to search for crucial points to move into the top six.
There are still concerns about their away form, as Derby were beaten in their last two league trips, although they won three away league games in a row before that.
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Millwall v Derby County Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.03 | 3.45 | 3.65 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.35 | 3.65 |
|
|
2.01 | 3.4 | 3.62 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.5 | 3.7 |
|
|
2 | 3.45 | 3.65 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Millwall and Derby County?
Our prediction for the Millwall vs Derby County match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/03/2026 between Millwall and Derby County in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.14% for a win of Millwall against Derby County with odds of 2.1 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Millwall vs Derby County is 14.62% with odds of 3.5 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.24% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs Millwall with odds of 3.75 at Tonybet.
Millwall - Derby County Prediction and Best Odds:
| Millwall Derby County Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall wins | 55.14% | 2.1 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.44% | 1.95 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 59.58% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Millwall/Millwall | 23.32% | 3.2 at Bet365 |
Millwall vs Derby County Form
Millwall and Derby County's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
83 | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | +15 |
|
8
|
69 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | +8 |
Millwall and Derby County Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Championship
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
25 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
14 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Championship
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
14 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Championship
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
24 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
14 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Championship
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
14 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
23 Jan 2026 - Championship
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
30 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
Millwall vs Derby County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
60 %
40 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
20 Feb 2019 - Championship
18 Aug 2018 - Championship
Millwall against Derby County Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Crocombe
DefenderJ. Bryan
MidfielderW. Smallbone
L. Cundle
D. Mazou-Sacko
R. Bangura-Williams
T. Ballo
ForwardT. Watson
M. Langstaff
R. O'Donnell
I. Gordon
C. Forsyth
MidfielderO. Fraulo
B. Clark
C. Allen
O. Eames
ForwardJ. Banel
C. Morris
Missing players
L. Jensen
MidfielderB. Baker
D. Kelly
Most goals and assists
Millwall
Derby County
F. Azeez
(11 Goals)
C. Morris
(12 Goals)
F. Azeez
(8 Assists)
J. Ward
(9 Assists)
Millwall - Derby County Key Points
- Millwall scored in 13 of their last 14 home league matches.
- Derby kept just one clean sheet in their last 12 away league games, with eight of those producing BTTS.
- Derby’s last three league games have seen both teams score goals.
- Four of the last five matches between these sides including the reverse fixture saw both teams score goals.
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Our Millwall vs Derby County Prediction
Millwall continue to keep pressure on the top two as their run of five wins out of the last six has seen them make a late dash. They need Middlesbrough to slip up to have any hopes of direct promotion, although they could be preparing for the playoffs. On the other hand, Derby are looking at the playoff spots from the outside and are looking to bridge the three-point gap.
The Rams have struggled on the road, but goals have been a constant feature. That’s why our Millwall vs Derby County prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Millwall Derby County
| Millwall vs Derby County | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall wins | 2 | 2.1 | +5.0% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.5 | 0% |
| Derby County wins | 3.8 | 3.75 | -1.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Millwall is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 50.0% and is now 47.6% (-2.4%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Millwall vs. Derby County game
You can get yourself up to €100 in matched bets for the battle between Millwall and Derby County when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Championship!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
