Millwall vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Millwall
19/10/2024 10:00
Derby County

Prediction :

 

Derby to win and both teams to score

 
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 by Matthew Newman in Championship Predictions

Millwall welcome Derby County to The New Den on Saturday afternoon for a Championship match. The Lions sit 18th in the table ahead of this contest while the Rams are 12th. This is an interesting clash for a prediction with the visitors awaiting their first point away from home.

Things have gone well at home so far this season for Millwall. They scored three times in their wins against Sheffield Wednesday and Preston in their last two on their own patch, picking up three points each time. They came from 0-2 down against Watford in their opening home game to 2-2 but then coughed up an injury-time winner for their visitors.

Going back to the end of last season, Millwall has won seven of their last ten at home. It is not the same intimidating atmosphere as it once was but it is still a fair enough record that they have.

Four games and four defeats is the away record for Derby since their return to the Championship. Dig a little deeper than that and it does not read as bad as you might think. This is an easier task than being kept off the scoresheet at Sunderland and Sheffield United in their last two on the road. 

They did at least manage to take the lead at Watford before succumbing 1-2. They also put two past Blackburn in the opening game of the season so they are capable of finding the net on their travels. Millwall has conceded in three of their four home games this season so Paul Warne's men will be hopeful of finding the net.

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Millwall vs Derby County Form

Millwall and Derby County's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8
Millwall
Millwall
66 46 18 12 16 -2
19
Derby County
Derby County
50 46 13 11 22 -8

Millwall and Derby County Last Matches

Millwall
Millwall Last matches
W L D W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

5 Oct 2024 - Championship

West Brom
0 :  0
Millwall

1 Oct 2024 - Championship

Cardiff
1 :  0
Millwall

28 Sept 2024 - Championship

Millwall
3 :  1
Preston North End

21 Sept 2024 - Championship

QPR
1 :  1
Millwall

14 Sept 2024 - Championship

Millwall
0 :  1
Luton Town

31 Aug 2024 - Championship

Millwall
3 :  0
Sheffield Wednesday
L L L W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

28 Sept 2024 - Championship

Millwall
3 :  1
Preston North End

14 Sept 2024 - Championship

Millwall
0 :  1
Luton Town

31 Aug 2024 - Championship

Millwall
3 :  0
Sheffield Wednesday

27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Millwall
0 :  1
Leyton Orient London

10 Aug 2024 - Championship

Millwall
2 :  3
Watford

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Millwall
0 :  1
Southampton
W L D D L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

5 Oct 2024 - Championship

West Brom
0 :  0
Millwall

1 Oct 2024 - Championship

Cardiff
1 :  0
Millwall

21 Sept 2024 - Championship

QPR
1 :  1
Millwall

24 Aug 2024 - Championship

Hull
0 :  0
Millwall

17 Aug 2024 - Championship

Bristol City
4 :  3
Millwall

13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Portsmouth
0 :  1
Millwall
Derby County
Derby County Last matches
W W L L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

5 Oct 2024 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  0
QPR

1 Oct 2024 - Championship

Sunderland
2 :  0
Derby County

28 Sept 2024 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  3
Norwich

21 Sept 2024 - Championship

Sheffield United
1 :  0
Derby County

14 Sept 2024 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  0
Cardiff

31 Aug 2024 - Championship

Derby County
3 :  0
Bristol City
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Oct 2024 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  0
QPR

28 Sept 2024 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  3
Norwich

14 Sept 2024 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  0
Cardiff

31 Aug 2024 - Championship

Derby County
3 :  0
Bristol City

17 Aug 2024 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  0
Middlesbrough

13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Derby County
2 :  1
Chesterfield
L L L D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Oct 2024 - Championship

Sunderland
2 :  0
Derby County

21 Sept 2024 - Championship

Sheffield United
1 :  0
Derby County

27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Barrow
0 :  0
Derby County

24 Aug 2024 - Championship

Watford
2 :  1
Derby County

9 Aug 2024 - Championship

Blackburn
4 :  2
Derby County

31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Barnsley
4 :  3
Derby County

Millwall vs Derby County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Millwall

100 %

Draw

0 %

Derby County

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored (home team)
0.5
Goals scored (away team)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

20 Feb 2019 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Millwall

18 Aug 2018 - Championship

Millwall
2 :  1
Derby County

Millwall against Derby County Lineups: Starting 11

Millwall

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
L. Jensen
18
R. Leonard
6
J. Tanganga
5
J. Cooper
15
J. Bryan
24
C. De Norre
23
G. Saville
19
D. Watmore
39
G. Honeyman
25
R. Esse
17
M. Langstaff
27
C. Blackett-Taylor
10
J. Yates
19
K. Jackson
18
M. Harness
32
E. Adams
17
K. Goudmijn
3
C. Forsyth
6
E. Cashin
35
C. Nelson
24
R. Nyambe
1
J. Widell Zetterstrom

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Derby County

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Millwall
CD Huachipato Derby County
Top Goalscorer
Serbia M. Ivanovic (12 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England J. Yates (10 Goals)
Best assists
England F. Azeez (6 Assists)
Best assists
Guatemala N. Mendez (4 Assists)
Scotland C. Forsyth (4 Assists)
England J. Yates (4 Assists)

Millwall - Derby County Key Points

  1. There have been an average of 3.25 goals per game in Millwall home games this season.
  2. Derby has taken on four very tough tasks on the road, including the top two.
  3. Millwall has conceded in three of their four home games this season.
  4. A 1.11 xGF for Derby away from home is impressive given the teams they have taken on.
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Our Millwall vs Derby County Prediction

Although Derby have not got a point on the road yet this season, the four teams they have lost to are all in the top eight in the Championship with 16 wins, three draws and zero home defeats between them. With all due respect to Millwall, this is by far Derby's easiest task away from home. There have been plenty of goals at The New Den this season and this looks like being the same story. Derby is simply too big here so we are taking a bit of a risk. Our Millwall vs Derby County prediction is for Derby to win and both teams to score. For those not wanting quite such a big price, go over 2.5 goals in the game.

Prediction :

 

Derby to win and both teams to score

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Millwall vs Derby County Prediction