Millwall vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Joseph King | in Championship Prediction
Millwall hosts league leaders Burnley at The Den for this rescheduled matchday 29 fixture in the English Championship. Burnley have been cruising along in this Championship campaign and have one foot already in next season’s Premier League. The Clarets have built up an 11 point lead over second-place Sheffield United and a 15 point lead over third-place Middlesbrough. On the other side, Millwall enter the contest deeply entrenched in a playoff promotion battle. The Lions are holding on to the sixth and final spot with 49 points, putting them even with three other teams in a crowded Championship table.
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The bookmakers are expecting Millwall to put up a fight on their home turf here as they’ve laid Burnley as slight 2.40 favorites to take the three points. The home underdog Millwall comes in at a price of 2.75 while a draw can be backed at 3.50.
Millwall vs Burnley Form
Millwall and Burnley's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
101 | 46 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 52 |
|
8
|
68 | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 7 |
Millwall and Burnley Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Feb 2023 - Championship
29 Dec 2022 - Championship
26 Dec 2022 - Championship
10 Dec 2022 - Championship
3 Dec 2022 - Championship
19 Aug 2022 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Feb 2023 - Championship
14 Feb 2023 - Championship
11 Feb 2023 - Championship
7 Feb 2023 - FA Cup
4 Feb 2023 - Championship
28 Jan 2023 - FA Cup
Millwall - Burnley: Form Analysis
After snatching a last-gasp equalizer in the 95th minute of extra-time to salvage a point, Burnley were able to bounce back with a solid 1-0 away victory over Luton Town thanks to a 78th minute Ashley Barnes penalty. The Clarets have now extended their unbeaten run to 12 matches across all competitions as well as a remarkable run of 11 victories and one draw over their last 12 Championship matches. Manager Vincent Kompany has done a fantastic job of transforming this Burnley side in such a short period of time and they have separated themselves as the clear cream of the crop in England’s second-tier of football.
Millwall should be in high-spirits heading into this game after their morale-booting 3-2 win over second-place Sheffield United on Saturday. Things won’t get any easier for the hosts as they face off against the top two teams in the standings within three days of one another. However, the Lions showed excellent determination against the Blades on the weekend to push on and get the eventual winner in the 88th minute of play after Sheffield looked like they were going to walk away with a point after making it 2-2 in the 82nd minute. Millwall has been consistently good at home this season with nine wins from their 15 matches at The Den. They’ve also amassed a +13 goal differential in these contests compared to their -6 goal differential as the away team.
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Players list
G. Long
DefenderM. Wallace
J. Cooper
D. McNamara
C. Cresswell
MidfielderS. Malone
R. Esse
Z. Flemming
R. Leonard
ForwardT. Bradshaw
A. Emakhu
A. Muric
DefenderA. Al-Dakhil
C. Roberts
H. Ekdal
N. Tella
C. Taylor
MidfielderJ. Cullen
J. Brownhill
J. Gudmundsson
ForwardJ. Cork
A. Barnes
Substitutes
B. Bialkowski
DefenderS. Malone
G. Evans
R. Leonard
R. Esse
T. Bradshaw
A. Emakhu
B. Peacock-Farrell
DefenderC. Taylor
J. Gudmundsson
J. Cork
L. Foster
N. Tella
M. Obafemi
Millwall & Burnley Squad Analysis
Emerging star Nathan Tella was pulled at the hour mark in the win over Luton but Burnley expect the 23-year-old to be fit for this match and make the starting 11. Manager Vincent Kompany will still be without the services of striker Jay Rodriguez, defender Jordan Beyer and winger Benson Manuel. On the other side, Millwall manager Gary Rowett isn’t expected to make many changes from the team that picked up a thrilling 3-2 win over Sheffield but the short three day recovery time might mean some players are rotated.
Millwall - Burnley Key Points
- Millwall home matches are averaging 2.33 total goals on average this season.
- Millwall have kept seven clean sheets in 15 home matches.
- Burnley are conceding an average of under a goal a game away from home this season with 14 goals allowed in 15 trips.
- Burnley have the Championship’s best defensive record with 27 goals allowed while Millwall are tied for the third best record at 32 goals conceded.
- Only 12 of Millwall’s 31 total matches have gone over the 2.5 goals mark this season which ranks as the fifth lowest mark in the division.
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Our Millwall vs Burnley Prediction
Millwall have been a tough out at The Den this season and this certainly will not be an easy match for the visiting league leaders. These two teams should ultimately wind up canceling each other out with a 1-1 type of result likely pleasing both managers. The price on this line has dropped since opening but at the current odds we still see enough value to make it a bet. Our Millwall vs Burnley prediction: under 2.5 goals
Millwall vs Burnley - Other Interesting Predictions
Match to end in a draw
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