Millwall vs Birmingham Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Championship Predictions
An interesting top-six battle in the Championship will be played out on Wednesday in London as Millwall host Birmingham. This match between the third-placed Lions and the seventh-placed Blues at ‘The Den’ comes with our prediction of more than 2.5 goals.
Ahead of this round, Millwall’s 56 points (W16, D8, L9) see them start this round six points behind second, while being just two points above fourth. Birmingham have 49 points (W13, D10, L10) and are two points outside the playoff places.
Millwall lost 3-1 at home to Portsmouth last weekend, ending a four-game unbeaten streak (W3, D1). It was three points lost against a team struggling in the lower half of the table.
The Lions have failed to win their last two league matches at this venue (D1, L1), but three consecutive wins prior to that are an indicator of their strengths.
Birmingham defeated Norwich 2-1 away from home at the weekend to continue their resurgence. They are unbeaten in their last eight league games (W5, D3), including three wins in the last four.
That run included winning their last three away league games, each time scoring two goals exactly, so the Blues will travel confidently. That said, six defeats in eight league trips (D2) prior to this run is a concern.
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Millwall v Birmingham Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
2.55 | 3.3 | 2.75 |
|
|
|
2.63 | 3.15 | 2.67 |
|
|
|
2.49 | 3.15 | 2.83 |
|
|
|
2.57 | 3.3 | 2.57 |
|
|
|
2.52 | 3.3 | 2.76 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Millwall and Birmingham?
Our prediction for the Millwall vs Birmingham match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/02/2026 between Millwall and Birmingham in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.29% for a win of Millwall against Birmingham with odds of 2.67 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Millwall vs Birmingham is 27.34% with odds of 3.35 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.37% chance ⭐ for a win of Birmingham vs Millwall with odds of 2.9 at LSbet.
Millwall - Birmingham Prediction and Best Odds:
| Millwall Birmingham Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham wins | 38.37% | 2.9 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.28% | 2.1 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 56.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Birmingham | 16.11% | 6.75 at LSbet |
Millwall vs Birmingham Form
Millwall and Birmingham's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
83 | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | +15 |
|
10
|
64 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | +1 |
Millwall and Birmingham Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
14 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
10 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
10 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
Millwall vs Birmingham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
9 Mar 2024 - Championship
2 Sept 2023 - Championship
Millwall against Birmingham Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Crocombe
DefenderD. McNamara
B. Bannan
T. Ballo
A. Doughty
L. Cundle
D. Mazou-Sacko
ForwardM. Ivanovic
T. Watson
R. Allsop
DefenderE. Laird
P. Neumann
J. Robinson
MidfielderT. Doyle
K. Fujimoto
P. Roberts
M. Ducksch
D. Gray
Missing players
L. Jensen
MidfielderB. Baker
D. Kelly
L. Buchanan
Most goals and assists
Millwall - Birmingham Key Points
- In four of their last six Championship matches, Millwall saw at least three goals scored.
- Six of Millwall’s last eight home league games featured over 2.5 goals.
- Birmingham scored 2+ goals in four of their last five away matches in all competitions.
- Birmingham won the reverse fixture 4-0 in November.
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Our Millwall vs Birmingham Prediction
This is three versus seven in the points tally and a lot of contexts thrown into the result. Millwall are comfortable in the play-off spots but have an outside chance of running down the top two. Birmingham are just outside the playoff spots and can move into the top six with a win, combined with favourable results elsewhere. The visitors won the reverse fixture 4-0 but could face a bit more resistance in repeating that result.
This fixture could be goal-bound, and that’s why our Millwall vs Birmingham prediction is more than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Millwall Birmingham
| Millwall vs Birmingham | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall wins | 2.5 | 2.67 | +6.8% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.35 | +3.1% |
| Birmingham wins | 2.92 | 2.9 | -0.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Birmingham is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 0.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 34.2% and is now 34.5% (0.2%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.