Millwall vs Birmingham Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Millwall
25/02/2026 14:45
Birmingham

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Championship Predictions

An interesting top-six battle in the Championship will be played out on Wednesday in London as Millwall host Birmingham. This match between the third-placed Lions and the seventh-placed Blues at ‘The Den’ comes with our prediction of more than 2.5 goals.

Ahead of this round, Millwall’s 56 points (W16, D8, L9) see them start this round six points behind second, while being just two points above fourth. Birmingham have 49 points (W13, D10, L10) and are two points outside the playoff places.

Millwall lost 3-1 at home to Portsmouth last weekend, ending a four-game unbeaten streak (W3, D1). It was three points lost against a team struggling in the lower half of the table.

The Lions have failed to win their last two league matches at this venue (D1, L1), but three consecutive wins prior to that are an indicator of their strengths.

Birmingham defeated Norwich 2-1 away from home at the weekend to continue their resurgence. They are unbeaten in their last eight league games (W5, D3), including three wins in the last four.

That run included winning their last three away league games, each time scoring two goals exactly, so the Blues will travel confidently. That said, six defeats in eight league trips (D2) prior to this run is a concern.

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Millwall v Birmingham Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.55 3.3 2.75
Melbet
2.63 3.15 2.67
Betwinner
2.49 3.15 2.83
Bet365
2.57 3.3 2.57
Roobet
2.52 3.3 2.76
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What is the prediction for the football match between Millwall and Birmingham?

Our prediction for the Millwall vs Birmingham match is: more than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/02/2026 between Millwall and Birmingham in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.29% for a win of Millwall against Birmingham with odds of 2.67 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Millwall vs Birmingham is 27.34% with odds of 3.35 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 38.37% chance ⭐ for a win of Birmingham vs Millwall with odds of 2.9 at LSbet.

Millwall - Birmingham Prediction and Best Odds:

Millwall Birmingham Prediction Probability Odds
Birmingham wins 38.37% 2.9 at LSbet
Over 2.5 goals 53.28% 2.1 at Shangrila
Both Team To Score 56.25%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Birmingham 16.11% 6.75 at LSbet

Millwall vs Birmingham Form

Millwall and Birmingham's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Millwall
83 46 24 11 11 +15
10 Birmingham
64 46 17 13 16 +1

Millwall and Birmingham Last Matches

Millwall
Millwall Last matches
L W D W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

21 Feb 2026 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  3
Portsmouth

14 Feb 2026 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
1 :  2
Millwall

7 Feb 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
0 :  2
Millwall

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  1
Sheffield United

24 Jan 2026 - Championship

Millwall
4 :  0
Charlton Athletic

20 Jan 2026 - Championship

Coventry City
2 :  1
Millwall
D W W W D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

21 Feb 2026 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  3
Portsmouth

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  1
Sheffield United

24 Jan 2026 - Championship

Millwall
4 :  0
Charlton Athletic

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Millwall
2 :  1
Swansea

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Millwall
2 :  1
Bristol City

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Millwall
0 :  0
Ipswich Town
D L W L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Feb 2026 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
1 :  2
Millwall

7 Feb 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
0 :  2
Millwall

20 Jan 2026 - Championship

Coventry City
2 :  1
Millwall

17 Jan 2026 - Championship

Watford
0 :  2
Millwall

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Burnley
5 :  1
Millwall

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Southampton
0 :  0
Millwall
Birmingham
Birmingham Last matches
D W W D D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

21 Feb 2026 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  2
Birmingham

15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup

Birmingham
1 :  1
Leeds

10 Feb 2026 - Championship

Birmingham
0 :  0
West Brom

7 Feb 2026 - Championship

Birmingham
2 :  1
Leicester

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Oxford United
0 :  2
Birmingham

24 Jan 2026 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Stoke
D W D W D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup

Birmingham
1 :  1
Leeds

10 Feb 2026 - Championship

Birmingham
0 :  0
West Brom

7 Feb 2026 - Championship

Birmingham
2 :  1
Leicester

24 Jan 2026 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Stoke

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Birmingham
3 :  2
Coventry City

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Southampton
L W D W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Feb 2026 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  2
Birmingham

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Oxford United
0 :  2
Birmingham

20 Jan 2026 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
0 :  2
Birmingham

17 Jan 2026 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  1
Birmingham

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Cambridge United
2 :  3
Birmingham

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Watford
3 :  0
Birmingham

Millwall vs Birmingham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Millwall

33 %

Draw

33 %

Birmingham

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

4 Nov 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
4 :  0
Millwall

9 Mar 2024 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  0
Birmingham

2 Sept 2023 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Millwall
Millwall vs Birmingham Prediction

Millwall against Birmingham Lineups: Starting 11

Millwall

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

13
A. Patterson
4
T. Crama
3
Z. Sturge
5
J. Cooper
18
R. Leonard
24
C. De Norre
8
B. Mitchell
17
M. Langstaff
10
C. Neghli
11
F. Azeez
19
J. Coburn
29
A. Priske
17
I. Osman
28
J. Stansfield
23
C. Vicente
14
J. Solis
24
T. Iwata
31
K. Wagner
37
J. Panzo
4
C. Klarer
26
B. Osayi-Samuel
25
J. Beadle

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Birmingham

Substitutes

Millwall
Millwall
Goalkeeper

M. Crocombe

Defender

D. McNamara

R. Leonard 73'

Midfielder

B. Bannan

B. Mitchell 80'

T. Ballo

A. Doughty

Z. Sturge 73'

L. Cundle

D. Mazou-Sacko

Forward

M. Ivanovic

J. Coburn 60'

T. Watson

F. Azeez 74'

Birmingham
Birmingham
Goalkeeper

R. Allsop

Defender

E. Laird

K. Wagner 69'

P. Neumann

J. Robinson

Midfielder

T. Doyle

A. Priske 54'

K. Fujimoto

P. Roberts

C. Vicente 80'

Forward

M. Ducksch

J. Stansfield 80'

D. Gray

I. Osman 46'

Missing players

Millwall
Millwall
Goalkeeper

L. Jensen

Midfielder

B. Baker

D. Kelly

Birmingham
Birmingham
Defender

L. Buchanan

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Millwall
CD Huachipato Birmingham
Top Goalscorer
England F. Azeez (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England J. Stansfield (10 Goals) Germany M. Ducksch (10 Goals)
Best assists
England F. Azeez (8 Assists)
Best assists
England J. Stansfield (7 Assists)

Millwall - Birmingham Key Points

  1. In four of their last six Championship matches, Millwall saw at least three goals scored.
  2. Six of Millwall’s last eight home league games featured over 2.5 goals.
  3. Birmingham scored 2+ goals in four of their last five away matches in all competitions.
  4. Birmingham won the reverse fixture 4-0 in November.
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Our Millwall vs Birmingham Prediction

This is three versus seven in the points tally and a lot of contexts thrown into the result. Millwall are comfortable in the play-off spots but have an outside chance of running down the top two. Birmingham are just outside the playoff spots and can move into the top six with a win, combined with favourable results elsewhere. The visitors won the reverse fixture 4-0 but could face a bit more resistance in repeating that result.

This fixture could be goal-bound, and that’s why our Millwall vs Birmingham prediction is more than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Millwall Birmingham

Millwall vs Birmingham Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Millwall wins 2.5 2.67 +6.8%
Draw 3.25 3.35 +3.1%
Birmingham wins 2.92 2.9 -0.7%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Birmingham is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 0.7% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 34.2% and is now 34.5% (0.2%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.