Middlesbrough vs Watford Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Middlesbrough
25/04/2026 07:30
Watford

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Championship Predictions

Middlesbrough will host Warford in the penultimate round of the Championship season this Saturday. Starting the round placed fifth, Boro are still in the hunt for second place, while Watford have confirmed their stay in the league. Let’s have a look at the match prediction here.

Middlesbrough were at some point looking like they would seriously challenge for the league title. However, a streak of seven winless matches had their fans fearing they’d even miss a top-six place.

That was averted by their 1-0 midweek win against Sheffield Wednesday. Still, a top-two finish looks way beyond them, largely occasioned by a poor home run that had the team winless in February and March.

Watford have hit 57 points, 13 above the relegation region, and have virtually nothing more to play for. There is someone who will need them to turn up though – manager Edward Still.

The Belgian has been under immense pressure, and losing their last three games hasn’t helped. A decision on his future might have already been made, as the 3-0 defeat to West Brom has them on a six-match winless run.

He will hope for a strong finish nonetheless. The Hornets have beaten Middlesbrough in each of their last three meetings, including a 3-0 win in the reverse fixture.

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Middlesbrough v Watford Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.36 5.2 7.4
Melbet
1.36 4.95 7.65
Betwinner
1.36 4.95 7.65
Bet365
1.33 5 7.5
Roobet
1.41 4.8 7
Check all Middlesbrough vs Watford odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Middlesbrough and Watford?

Our prediction for the Middlesbrough vs Watford match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/04/2026 between Middlesbrough and Watford in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.33% for a win of Middlesbrough against Watford with odds of 1.41 at Roobet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Middlesbrough vs Watford is 27.23% with odds of 5.4 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 28.45% chance ⭐ for a win of Watford vs Middlesbrough with odds of 8.25 at LSbet.

Middlesbrough - Watford Prediction and Best Odds:

Middlesbrough Watford Prediction Probability Odds
Middlesbrough wins 44.33% 1.41 at Roobet
Under 2.5 51.48% 2.48 at Betsson
Both Team To Score 57.5%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Middlesbrough 21.04% 4.4 at LSbet

Middlesbrough vs Watford Form

Middlesbrough and Watford's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5 Middlesbrough
80 46 22 14 10 +25
16 Watford
57 46 14 15 17 -12

Middlesbrough and Watford Last Matches

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough Last matches
D L D L D W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

22 Apr 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Sheffield Wednesday

19 Apr 2026 - Championship

Ipswich Town
2 :  2
Middlesbrough

11 Apr 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Portsmouth

6 Apr 2026 - Championship

Swansea
2 :  2
Middlesbrough

3 Apr 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  2
Millwall

21 Mar 2026 - Championship

Blackburn
0 :  0
Middlesbrough
D L D L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

22 Apr 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Sheffield Wednesday

11 Apr 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Portsmouth

3 Apr 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  2
Millwall

14 Mar 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  1
Bristol City

11 Mar 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Charlton Athletic

24 Feb 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  1
Leicester
L W W D D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

19 Apr 2026 - Championship

Ipswich Town
2 :  2
Middlesbrough

6 Apr 2026 - Championship

Swansea
2 :  2
Middlesbrough

21 Mar 2026 - Championship

Blackburn
0 :  0
Middlesbrough

8 Mar 2026 - Championship

QPR
0 :  4
Middlesbrough

2 Mar 2026 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  3
Middlesbrough

16 Feb 2026 - Championship

Coventry City
3 :  1
Middlesbrough
Watford
Watford Last matches
D L D L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

21 Apr 2026 - Championship

West Brom
3 :  0
Watford

18 Apr 2026 - Championship

Watford
0 :  2
Sheffield United

11 Apr 2026 - Championship

Oxford United
2 :  0
Watford

6 Apr 2026 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Charlton Athletic

3 Apr 2026 - Championship

QPR
2 :  1
Watford

21 Mar 2026 - Championship

Watford
0 :  0
Leicester
W L W D D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

18 Apr 2026 - Championship

Watford
0 :  2
Sheffield United

6 Apr 2026 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Charlton Athletic

21 Mar 2026 - Championship

Watford
0 :  0
Leicester

17 Mar 2026 - Championship

Watford
3 :  1
Wrexham

24 Feb 2026 - Championship

Watford
0 :  2
Ipswich Town

21 Feb 2026 - Championship

Watford
2 :  0
Derby County
W D L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

21 Apr 2026 - Championship

West Brom
3 :  0
Watford

11 Apr 2026 - Championship

Oxford United
2 :  0
Watford

3 Apr 2026 - Championship

QPR
2 :  1
Watford

14 Mar 2026 - Championship

Stoke
3 :  1
Watford

10 Mar 2026 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
1 :  1
Watford

27 Feb 2026 - Championship

Bristol City
1 :  2
Watford

Middlesbrough vs Watford Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Middlesbrough

50 %

Draw

0 %

Watford

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

1 Nov 2025 - Championship

Watford
3 :  0
Middlesbrough

15 Feb 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Watford

5 Oct 2024 - Championship

Watford
2 :  1
Middlesbrough

4 May 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
3 :  1
Watford

30 Sept 2023 - Championship

Watford
2 :  3
Middlesbrough

28 Jan 2023 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  0
Watford

Middlesbrough against Watford Lineups: Starting 11

Middlesbrough

Formation : 4 - 2 - 2 - 2

31
S. Brynn
2
C. Brittain
12
L. Ayling
29
A. Malanda
24
A. Bangura
14
A. Gilbert
18
A. Morris
27
S. Hansen
45
J. Sarmiento
11
M. Whittaker
13
D. Strelec
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
39
E. Kayembe
16
M. Bola
15
E. Bove
10
I. Louza
23
N. Mendy
2
J. Ngakia
4
K. Keben
25
J. Abankwah
6
M. Pollock
1
E. Selvik

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Watford

Substitutes

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Goalkeeper

J. Wildsmith

Defender

G. Edmundson

M. Targett

A. Bangura 46'

D. Fry

A. Malanda 64'

Midfielder

L. Castledine

S. Hansen 64'

A. Browne

Forward

M. Sene

T. Conway

M. Whittaker 63'

S. Silvera

J. Sarmiento 83'

Watford
Watford
Goalkeeper

N. Baxter

Defender

S. Goglichidze

Midfielder

G. Chakvetadze

T. Ince

M. Bola 82'

J. Grieves

N. Mendy 63'

Forward

O. Maamma

J. Ngakia 62'

K. Baah

N. Irankunda

L. Kjerrumgaard 63'

M. Doumbia

E. Bove 62'

Missing players

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Defender

D. Lenihan

A. Jones

Midfielder

R. McGree

H. Hackney

Watford
Watford
Defender

S. Mfuni

Midfielder

H. Kyprianou

P. Dwomoh

R. Vata

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Middlesbrough
CD Huachipato Watford
Top Goalscorer
England M. Whittaker (14 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Denmark L. Kjerrumgaard (10 Goals)
Best assists
England M. Whittaker (6 Assists)
England H. Hackney (6 Assists)
England C. Brittain (6 Assists)
Best assists
Morocco I. Louza (9 Assists)

Middlesbrough - Watford Key Points

  1. Watford have conceded in all but one of their last 10 away matches.
  2. Half of Middlesbrough’s last six home matches had both teams score.
  3. Middlesbrough conceded in all except one of their last five matches.
  4. Five of these teams’ last eight matches saw both score.
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Our Middlesbrough vs Watford Prediction

Middlesbrough haven’t enjoyed great form in their recent outings. They will be happy to enter this round still in the frame to finish second. Their defensive run hasn’t been great, though they rarely fail to score completely.

The hosts have conceded 44 times in as many matches, and Watford, with their Championship place secured, will seek to take advantage. While at it, the visitors have also had an erratic run and will hope to finish the season strongly. Our prediction for Middlesbrough v Watford is: BTTS.

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Middlesbrough Watford

Middlesbrough vs Watford Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Middlesbrough wins 1.43 1.41 -1.4%
Draw 4.6 5.4 +17.4%
Watford wins 6.8 8.25 +21.3%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Middlesbrough is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 69.9% and is now 70.9% (1.0%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Middlesbrough vs Watford Prediction