Middlesbrough vs Portsmouth Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Middlesbrough
11/04/2026 10:00
Portsmouth

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Championship Predictions

Two sides dealing with long injury lists, Middlesbrough and Portsmouth are set to face off, pushing completely opposite ambitions in the Championship. Middlesbrough, third in the standings, hope to rise back into the top two while Portsmouth, 21st, are just a point above the bottom three. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.

Middlesbrough have had a rough ride in their recent matches, failing to win any of their last five, drawing three. In their most recent, they needed to come from behind to draw 2-2 with Swansea.

Bagging only three points from a possible 15 has seen them drop to third, albeit due to an inferior goal difference for now.

One of the surprise results from the earlier rounds in the Championship this season was when Portsmouth beat Middlesbrough in their reverse meeting.

That marked a third unbeaten outing for Pompey in this fixture, and they’ve won the last two. The visitors will need more of that form here, as they look to move away from the relegation region.

They are winless in the last eight matches, losing five times in the process. The last two results, draws with Norwich (1-1) and Oxford United (2-2), can be viewed as progressive, with the team having come off a 6-1 loss earlier.

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Middlesbrough v Portsmouth Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.51 4.3 6
Melbet
1.49 4.33 6.06
Betwinner
1.5 4.25 6.06
Bet365
1.46 4.2 6.5
Roobet
1.51 4.1 6.6
Check all Middlesbrough vs Portsmouth odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Middlesbrough and Portsmouth?

Our prediction for the Middlesbrough vs Portsmouth match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/04/2026 between Middlesbrough and Portsmouth in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.45% for a win of Middlesbrough against Portsmouth with odds of 1.55 at LSbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Middlesbrough vs Portsmouth is 37.89% with odds of 4.4 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 29.66% chance ⭐ for a win of Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough with odds of 6.7 at Shangrila.

Middlesbrough - Portsmouth Prediction and Best Odds:

Middlesbrough Portsmouth Prediction Probability Odds
Draw 37.89% 4.4 at Tonybet
Under 2.5 51.2% 2.12 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score 70.83%
Half-time : Middlesbrough / Full-time : Portsmouth 16.12% 16 at LSbet

Middlesbrough vs Portsmouth Form

Middlesbrough and Portsmouth's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5 Middlesbrough
80 46 22 14 10 +25
18 Portsmouth
55 46 14 13 19 -15

Middlesbrough and Portsmouth Last Matches

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough Last matches
W L D D L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Apr 2026 - Championship

Swansea
2 :  2
Middlesbrough

3 Apr 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  2
Millwall

21 Mar 2026 - Championship

Blackburn
0 :  0
Middlesbrough

14 Mar 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  1
Bristol City

11 Mar 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Charlton Athletic

8 Mar 2026 - Championship

QPR
0 :  4
Middlesbrough
W D D L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

3 Apr 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  2
Millwall

14 Mar 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  1
Bristol City

11 Mar 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Charlton Athletic

24 Feb 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  1
Leicester

21 Feb 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  0
Oxford United

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Norwich
W L W W D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

6 Apr 2026 - Championship

Swansea
2 :  2
Middlesbrough

21 Mar 2026 - Championship

Blackburn
0 :  0
Middlesbrough

8 Mar 2026 - Championship

QPR
0 :  4
Middlesbrough

2 Mar 2026 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  3
Middlesbrough

16 Feb 2026 - Championship

Coventry City
3 :  1
Middlesbrough

9 Feb 2026 - Championship

Sheffield United
1 :  2
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth
Portsmouth Last matches
D L L L D D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Apr 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
2 :  2
Oxford United

3 Apr 2026 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  1
Portsmouth

21 Mar 2026 - Championship

QPR
6 :  1
Portsmouth

16 Mar 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  1
Derby County

10 Mar 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  2
Swansea

7 Mar 2026 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  1
Portsmouth
W L L L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Apr 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
2 :  2
Oxford United

16 Mar 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  1
Derby County

10 Mar 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  2
Swansea

28 Feb 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  1
Hull

14 Feb 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  1
Sheffield United

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
3 :  0
West Brom
W W L D L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

3 Apr 2026 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  1
Portsmouth

21 Mar 2026 - Championship

QPR
6 :  1
Portsmouth

7 Mar 2026 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  1
Portsmouth

24 Feb 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
2 :  1
Portsmouth

21 Feb 2026 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  3
Portsmouth

17 Feb 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  3
Portsmouth

Middlesbrough vs Portsmouth Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Middlesbrough

0 %

Draw

33 %

Portsmouth

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

4 Oct 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  0
Middlesbrough

18 Jan 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
2 :  1
Middlesbrough

24 Aug 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  2
Portsmouth

Middlesbrough against Portsmouth Lineups: Starting 11

Middlesbrough

Formation : 4 - 2 - 2 - 2

31
S. Brynn
2
C. Brittain
6
D. Fry
29
A. Malanda
3
M. Targett
16
A. Browne
18
A. Morris
45
J. Sarmiento
8
R. McGree
13
D. Strelec
9
T. Conway
9
C. Bishop
37
K. Anderson
36
C. Chaplin
47
G. Caballero
21
A. Dozzell
7
M. Pack
2
J. Williams
55
M. Dia
5
R. Poole
24
T. Devlin
1
N. Schmid

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Portsmouth

Substitutes

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Goalkeeper

J. Wildsmith

Defender

F. Munroe

L. Ayling

M. Targett 46'

G. Edmundson

Midfielder

A. Gilbert

R. McGree 84'

Forward

C. Ibeh

T. Conway 90'

S. Hansen

J. Sarmiento 46'

M. Sene

D. Strelec 63'

S. Silvera

Portsmouth
Portsmouth
Goalkeeper

J. Bursik

Defender

C. Shaughnessy

M. Dia 85'

M. Alli

K. Anderson 75'

I. Bowat

J. Williams 76'

Midfielder

L. Le Roux

A. Segecic

G. Caballero 65'

J. Swift

Forward

H. Blair

T. Waddingham

Missing players

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Defender

D. Lenihan

A. Jones

Midfielder

H. Hackney

Portsmouth
Portsmouth
Defender

A. Alese

Z. Swanson

Midfielder

M. Kosznovszky

Forward

F. Umeh Chibueze

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Middlesbrough
CD Huachipato Portsmouth
Top Goalscorer
England M. Whittaker (14 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Croatia A. Segecic (10 Goals)
Best assists
England M. Whittaker (6 Assists)
England H. Hackney (6 Assists)
England C. Brittain (6 Assists)
Best assists
England J. Murphy (6 Assists)

Middlesbrough - Portsmouth Key Points

  1. Both teams scored in six of Middlesbrough’s last 10 outings.
  2. In eight of Portsmouth’s last 10 outings, both teams scored.
  3. Middlesbrough failed to score in three of their last 10 matches.
  4. Portsmouth scored in all of their last five meetings with Middlesbrough.
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Our Middlesbrough vs Portsmouth Prediction

Middlesbrough have been concerning in their recent matches, and their place in the top two is under serious threat. They are on a winless run in five matches, accompanied by only three clean sheets in 10. 

However, their scoring form is still very promising, though they will have to contend with a Portsmouth side also doing well in attack. Looking at both teams’ ambitions, we expect to see goals on either end here. Our prediction for Middlesbrough v Portsmouth is BTTS.

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Middlesbrough Portsmouth

Middlesbrough vs Portsmouth Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Middlesbrough wins 1.58 1.55 -1.9%
Draw 4.2 4.4 +4.8%
Portsmouth wins 5.75 6.7 +16.5%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • A draw is the most likely outcome
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 4.8% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 23.8% and is now 22.7% (-1.1%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Middlesbrough vs Portsmouth Prediction