Middlesbrough vs Norwich Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Middlesbrough
31/01/2026 10:00
Norwich

Prediction :

 

Middlesbrough wins

 
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 by Ian John | in Championship Predictions

Promotion-chasing Middlesbrough host a quickly-improving Norwich City at the Riverside on Saturday in what is a crucial Championship clash for both teams. Will Kim Hellberg's 'Boro pick up three more valuable points in their quest for promotion, or can Philippe Clement's Canaries continue their vastly improved form of late? Here's our prediction for the match.

The current league table emphasises the performances of both teams over the course of the season so far. Middlesbrough lie second in the table, the gap to leaders Coventry now just three points with Boro on 55 points after 29 games. Norwich currently lie in 18th position with 33 points from 29 games, albeit they have been in the relegation spots in the table until recently.

Middlesbrough's recent form has seen them land three successive league wins, starting with a 3-2 win away at West Bromwich Albion. They had another successful trip to the midlands a week later, beating Stoke 2-1 at the Bet365 Stadium and last weekend, they were in great form as they thrashed Preston North End 4-0 at home. 

Norwich's recent form is much improved and they have won all their last three league games. That run began with a 2-1 win away at playoff hopefuls Wrexham. They then travelled to West Brom and earned a superb 5-0 away win against the Baggies, before returning to Carrow Road at the weekend and beating leaders Coventry City 2-1. 

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Middlesbrough v Norwich Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.71 4 4.5
Melbet
1.73 3.84 4.36
Betwinner
1.74 3.84 4.3
Bet365
1.61 4.2 4.75
Roobet
1.74 3.85 4.3
Check all Middlesbrough vs Norwich odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Middlesbrough and Norwich?

Our prediction for the Middlesbrough vs Norwich match is: Middlesbrough wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/01/2026 between Middlesbrough and Norwich in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.8% for a win of Middlesbrough against Norwich with odds of 1.8 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Middlesbrough vs Norwich is 23.98% with odds of 4.2 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 29.23% chance ⭐ for a win of Norwich vs Middlesbrough with odds of 4.75 at Bet365.

Middlesbrough - Norwich Prediction and Best Odds:

Middlesbrough Norwich Prediction Probability Odds
Middlesbrough wins 46.8% 1.8 at Tonybet
Over 2.5 goals 68.73% 1.81 at Stake
Both Team To Score 64.17%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Middlesbrough 19.43% 4.75 at Bet365

Middlesbrough vs Norwich Form

Middlesbrough and Norwich's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5 Middlesbrough
80 46 22 14 10 +25
9 Norwich
65 46 19 8 19 +7

Middlesbrough and Norwich Last Matches

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough Last matches
L W L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

24 Jan 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
4 :  0
Preston North End

21 Jan 2026 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  2
Middlesbrough

16 Jan 2026 - Championship

West Brom
2 :  3
Middlesbrough

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Fulham
3 :  1
Middlesbrough

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
4 :  0
Southampton

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  0
Middlesbrough
W W D L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

24 Jan 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
4 :  0
Preston North End

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
4 :  0
Southampton

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Hull

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  0
Blackburn

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
3 :  1
QPR

29 Nov 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  1
Derby County
W L L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

21 Jan 2026 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  2
Middlesbrough

16 Jan 2026 - Championship

West Brom
2 :  3
Middlesbrough

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Fulham
3 :  1
Middlesbrough

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  0
Middlesbrough

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
2 :  0
Middlesbrough

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  2
Middlesbrough
Norwich
Norwich Last matches
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

26 Jan 2026 - Championship

Norwich
2 :  1
Coventry City

20 Jan 2026 - Championship

West Brom
0 :  5
Norwich

17 Jan 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
1 :  2
Norwich

11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Norwich
5 :  1
Walsall

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Norwich
0 :  2
Stoke

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

QPR
1 :  2
Norwich
W W L L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

26 Jan 2026 - Championship

Norwich
2 :  1
Coventry City

11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Norwich
5 :  1
Walsall

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Norwich
0 :  2
Stoke

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Norwich
0 :  1
Watford

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  0
Charlton Athletic

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Norwich
2 :  1
Southampton
L D D W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

20 Jan 2026 - Championship

West Brom
0 :  5
Norwich

17 Jan 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
1 :  2
Norwich

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

QPR
1 :  2
Norwich

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
1 :  1
Norwich

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
1 :  1
Norwich

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Watford
3 :  2
Norwich

Middlesbrough vs Norwich Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Middlesbrough

67 %

Draw

33 %

Norwich

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.67
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
2.5
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

23 Aug 2025 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  2
Middlesbrough

26 Apr 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  0
Norwich

27 Oct 2024 - Championship

Norwich
3 :  3
Middlesbrough

6 Mar 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
3 :  1
Norwich

14 Apr 2023 - Championship

Middlesbrough
5 :  1
Norwich

12 Nov 2022 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  2
Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough against Norwich Lineups: Starting 11

Middlesbrough

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

31
S. Brynn
2
C. Brittain
12
L. Ayling
29
A. Malanda
3
M. Targett
16
A. Browne
18
A. Morris
7
H. Hackney
11
M. Whittaker
9
T. Conway
8
R. McGree
24
J. Makama
21
A. Ahmed
20
A. Ben Slimane
19
P. Diallo
23
K. McLean
16
J. Wright
14
B. Chrisene
33
J. Cordoba
15
R. McConville
35
K. Fisher
1
V. Kovacevic

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Norwich

Substitutes

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Goalkeeper

J. Mclaughlin

Defender

F. Munroe

D. Fry

C. Brittain 71'

Midfielder

A. Gilbert

R. McGree 62'

S. Nypan

Forward

S. Hansen

J. Sarmiento

T. Conway 86'

S. Silvera

D. Strelec

M. Whittaker 71'

Norwich
Norwich
Goalkeeper

D. Grimshaw

Defender

H. Darling

J. Stacey

Midfielder

M. Jurasek

A. Ahmed 82'

L. Gibbs

Forward

M. Kvistgaarden

P. Diallo 59'

O. Schwartau

J. Wright 59'

E. Mundle-Smith

E. Marcondes

Missing players

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Defender

D. Lenihan

A. Jones

Norwich
Norwich
Defender

S. Duffy

H. Amass

L. Mahovo

Midfielder

M. Topic

G. Forsyth

Forward

A. Crnac

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Middlesbrough
CD Huachipato Norwich
Top Goalscorer
England M. Whittaker (14 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England J. Makama (10 Goals)
Best assists
England M. Whittaker (6 Assists)
England H. Hackney (6 Assists)
England C. Brittain (6 Assists)
Best assists
Scotland K. McLean (4 Assists)

Middlesbrough - Norwich Key Points

  1. Middlesbrough have won all their last four league games.
  2. Norwich City have lost five of their last eleven away league games.
  3. In their last two league games at home, Middlesbrough have scored eight goals, conceding none.
  4. Middlesbrough have won five of the last seven games between the two teams (D2).
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Our Middlesbrough vs Norwich Prediction

Our prediction for the Middlesbrough vs. Norwich City Championship match is: Middlesbrough wins.

A few weeks ago, this would have been an easy home win pick and it is to Norwich's credit that it became a much tougher option to back for this prediction. The Canaries recent away form is very good, but this is a huge ask against a team now hunting down top spot after Coventry hit a slippery run of form. Boro's home form of late is also very good, so we're backing them to land an important win here.

Prediction :

 

Middlesbrough wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Middlesbrough Norwich

Middlesbrough vs Norwich Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Middlesbrough wins 1.72 1.8 +4.7%
Draw 3.75 4.2 +12.0%
Norwich wins 4.5 4.75 +5.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Middlesbrough is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 4.7% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 58.1% and is now 55.6% (-2.6%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Middlesbrough vs Norwich Prediction