Middlesbrough vs Norwich Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Ian John | in Championship Predictions
Promotion-chasing Middlesbrough host a quickly-improving Norwich City at the Riverside on Saturday in what is a crucial Championship clash for both teams. Will Kim Hellberg's 'Boro pick up three more valuable points in their quest for promotion, or can Philippe Clement's Canaries continue their vastly improved form of late? Here's our prediction for the match.
The current league table emphasises the performances of both teams over the course of the season so far. Middlesbrough lie second in the table, the gap to leaders Coventry now just three points with Boro on 55 points after 29 games. Norwich currently lie in 18th position with 33 points from 29 games, albeit they have been in the relegation spots in the table until recently.
Middlesbrough's recent form has seen them land three successive league wins, starting with a 3-2 win away at West Bromwich Albion. They had another successful trip to the midlands a week later, beating Stoke 2-1 at the Bet365 Stadium and last weekend, they were in great form as they thrashed Preston North End 4-0 at home.
Norwich's recent form is much improved and they have won all their last three league games. That run began with a 2-1 win away at playoff hopefuls Wrexham. They then travelled to West Brom and earned a superb 5-0 away win against the Baggies, before returning to Carrow Road at the weekend and beating leaders Coventry City 2-1.
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Middlesbrough v Norwich Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
1.71 | 4 | 4.5 |
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|
|
1.73 | 3.84 | 4.36 |
|
|
|
1.74 | 3.84 | 4.3 |
|
|
|
1.61 | 4.2 | 4.75 |
|
|
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1.74 | 3.85 | 4.3 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Middlesbrough and Norwich?
Our prediction for the Middlesbrough vs Norwich match is: Middlesbrough wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/01/2026 between Middlesbrough and Norwich in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.8% for a win of Middlesbrough against Norwich with odds of 1.8 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Middlesbrough vs Norwich is 23.98% with odds of 4.2 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.23% chance ⭐ for a win of Norwich vs Middlesbrough with odds of 4.75 at Bet365.
Middlesbrough - Norwich Prediction and Best Odds:
| Middlesbrough Norwich Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough wins | 46.8% | 1.8 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.73% | 1.81 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 64.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Middlesbrough | 19.43% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Middlesbrough vs Norwich Form
Middlesbrough and Norwich's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
80 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | +25 |
|
9
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | +7 |
Middlesbrough and Norwich Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
21 Jan 2026 - Championship
16 Jan 2026 - Championship
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jan 2026 - Championship
16 Jan 2026 - Championship
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jan 2026 - Championship
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
Middlesbrough vs Norwich Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Apr 2025 - Championship
27 Oct 2024 - Championship
6 Mar 2024 - Championship
14 Apr 2023 - Championship
12 Nov 2022 - Championship
Middlesbrough against Norwich Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Mclaughlin
DefenderF. Munroe
D. Fry
A. Gilbert
S. Nypan
ForwardS. Hansen
J. Sarmiento
S. Silvera
D. Strelec
D. Grimshaw
DefenderH. Darling
J. Stacey
MidfielderM. Jurasek
L. Gibbs
ForwardM. Kvistgaarden
O. Schwartau
E. Mundle-Smith
E. Marcondes
Missing players
D. Lenihan
A. Jones
S. Duffy
H. Amass
L. Mahovo
MidfielderM. Topic
G. Forsyth
ForwardA. Crnac
Most goals and assists
Middlesbrough - Norwich Key Points
- Middlesbrough have won all their last four league games.
- Norwich City have lost five of their last eleven away league games.
- In their last two league games at home, Middlesbrough have scored eight goals, conceding none.
- Middlesbrough have won five of the last seven games between the two teams (D2).
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Our Middlesbrough vs Norwich Prediction
Our prediction for the Middlesbrough vs. Norwich City Championship match is: Middlesbrough wins.
A few weeks ago, this would have been an easy home win pick and it is to Norwich's credit that it became a much tougher option to back for this prediction. The Canaries recent away form is very good, but this is a huge ask against a team now hunting down top spot after Coventry hit a slippery run of form. Boro's home form of late is also very good, so we're backing them to land an important win here.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Middlesbrough Norwich
| Middlesbrough vs Norwich | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough wins | 1.72 | 1.8 | +4.7% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 4.2 | +12.0% |
| Norwich wins | 4.5 | 4.75 | +5.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Middlesbrough is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 58.1% and is now 55.6% (-2.6%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.