Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Middlesbrough
11/03/2026 15:45
Charlton Athletic

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Championship Predictions

Middlesbrough will look to consolidate their hold over the top two positions in the EFL Championship when they host lower-half club Charlton Athletic on Matchday 37. This match at the Riverside Stadium on Wednesday between the second-placed Boro and the 18th-placed Addicks comes with our prediction of less than 2.5 goals.

Ahead of this round, Middlesbrough have 69 points (W20, D9, L7) and are five points off leaders Coventry, while being four points ahead of third. Charlton’s 44 points (W11, D11, L14) see them nine points above the relegation zone.

A 4-0 away win at QPR last weekend made it two wins in a row for the promotion-chasing Middlesbrough. They now have eight wins from their last 11 league games (D2, L1), with only a defeat to Coventry the lone blemish.

They have been defensively strong at home, as Middlesbrough have four clean sheets from their last five Championship matches at this venue (W3, D2).

Charlton edged Birmingham 1-0 at home last weekend to end a four-game winless run (D2, L2) in the Championship. The Addicks are fairly safe in the relegation battle, unless there’s a catastrophic loss of form.

Their away form has been indifferent too, as Charlton have just one win from their last 12 away league games (D5, L6) after consecutive 1-1 draws on the road against Southampton and West Brom.

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Middlesbrough v Charlton Athletic Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.27 5.8 10
Melbet
1.27 5.55 10
Betwinner
1.25 5.75 11
Bet365
1.24 6 9
Roobet
1.28 5.2 11
Check all Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Middlesbrough and Charlton Athletic?

Our prediction for the Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic match is: less than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/03/2026 between Middlesbrough and Charlton Athletic in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.6% for a win of Middlesbrough against Charlton Athletic with odds of 1.35 at LSbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic is 28.8% with odds of 6 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 15.6% chance ⭐ for a win of Charlton Athletic vs Middlesbrough with odds of 11 at Betwinner.

Middlesbrough - Charlton Athletic Prediction and Best Odds:

Middlesbrough Charlton Athletic Prediction Probability Odds
Middlesbrough wins 55.6% 1.35 at LSbet
Over 2.5 goals 52.25% 1.62 at Betsson
Both Team To Score 50%
Half-time / Full-time : Middlesbrough/Middlesbrough 26.01% 1.9 at LSbet

Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic Form

Middlesbrough and Charlton Athletic's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5 Middlesbrough
80 46 22 14 10 +25
19 Charlton Athletic
53 46 13 14 19 -14

Middlesbrough and Charlton Athletic Last Matches

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough Last matches
W L D D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

8 Mar 2026 - Championship

QPR
0 :  4
Middlesbrough

2 Mar 2026 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  3
Middlesbrough

24 Feb 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  1
Leicester

21 Feb 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  0
Oxford United

16 Feb 2026 - Championship

Coventry City
3 :  1
Middlesbrough

9 Feb 2026 - Championship

Sheffield United
1 :  2
Middlesbrough
L W W W D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

24 Feb 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  1
Leicester

21 Feb 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  0
Oxford United

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Norwich

24 Jan 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
4 :  0
Preston North End

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
4 :  0
Southampton

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Hull
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

8 Mar 2026 - Championship

QPR
0 :  4
Middlesbrough

2 Mar 2026 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  3
Middlesbrough

16 Feb 2026 - Championship

Coventry City
3 :  1
Middlesbrough

9 Feb 2026 - Championship

Sheffield United
1 :  2
Middlesbrough

21 Jan 2026 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  2
Middlesbrough

16 Jan 2026 - Championship

West Brom
2 :  3
Middlesbrough
Charlton Athletic
Charlton Athletic Last matches
W L D D L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

7 Mar 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  0
Birmingham

28 Feb 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
0 :  1
Wrexham

24 Feb 2026 - Championship

West Brom
1 :  1
Charlton Athletic

21 Feb 2026 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  1
Charlton Athletic

17 Feb 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  3
Portsmouth

11 Feb 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  0
Stoke
L D W L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

7 Mar 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  0
Birmingham

28 Feb 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
0 :  1
Wrexham

17 Feb 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  3
Portsmouth

11 Feb 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  0
Stoke

6 Feb 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
0 :  0
QPR

20 Jan 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  2
Derby County
L D L W D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Feb 2026 - Championship

West Brom
1 :  1
Charlton Athletic

21 Feb 2026 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  1
Charlton Athletic

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Leicester
0 :  2
Charlton Athletic

24 Jan 2026 - Championship

Millwall
4 :  0
Charlton Athletic

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Blackburn
2 :  2
Charlton Athletic

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
2 :  1
Charlton Athletic

Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Middlesbrough

100 %

Draw

0 %

Charlton Athletic

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
100%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  2
Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough against Charlton Athletic Lineups: Starting 11

Middlesbrough

Formation : 4 - 2 - 2 - 2

31
S. Brynn
2
C. Brittain
12
L. Ayling
29
A. Malanda
3
M. Targett
18
A. Morris
7
H. Hackney
11
M. Whittaker
8
R. McGree
13
D. Strelec
9
T. Conway
11
M. Leaburn
23
C. Kelman
19
L. Chambers
10
G. Docherty
14
S. Carey
6
C. Coventry
44
H. Clarke
3
M. Gillesphey
15
C. Coady
36
K. Gough
25
W. Mannion

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Charlton Athletic

Substitutes

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Goalkeeper

J. Wildsmith

Defender

G. Edmundson

F. Munroe

Midfielder

A. Gilbert

L. Castledine

D. Strelec 58'

A. Browne

Forward

J. Sarmiento

M. Whittaker 58'

S. Hansen

M. Targett 89'

M. Sene

R. McGree 74'

Charlton Athletic
Charlton Athletic
Goalkeeper

T. Brooks

Defender

K. Ramsay

K. Gough 58'

L. Jones

G. Docherty 89'

A. Bell

M. Gillesphey 65'

Midfielder

J. Rankin-Costello

I. Fullah

Forward

L. Dykes

C. Kelman 59'

T. Campbell

M. Leaburn 59'

J. Fevrier

Missing players

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Defender

D. Lenihan

A. Jones

Charlton Athletic
Charlton Athletic
Defender

J. Edwards

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Middlesbrough
CD Huachipato Charlton Athletic
Top Goalscorer
England M. Whittaker (14 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England S. Carey (8 Goals)
Best assists
England M. Whittaker (6 Assists)
England H. Hackney (6 Assists)
England C. Brittain (6 Assists)
Best assists
Scotland L. Dykes (3 Assists)

Middlesbrough - Charlton Athletic Key Points

  1. Seven of Charlton’s last eight Championship matches saw under 2.5 goals including their last four in a row.
  2. Five of Charlton’s last eight away league games produced two or fewer goals.
  3. Five of Middlesbrough’s last seven home league games saw fewer than three goals scored.
  4. Middlesbrough kept a clean sheet in four of their last five home league games.
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Our Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic Prediction

Middlesbrough needed the win last weekend to stay clear in the race for automatic promotion. The Boro dropped points in three games to end the month of February on a low but have since won two in a row. There’s still time to catch leaders Coventry, but with Millwall breathing down their neck, Middlesbrough’s objective would be to make the top two spots their own.

Charlton have struggled for consistency lately, but their games have been low on goals. Our Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic prediction is less than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Middlesbrough Charlton Athletic

Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Middlesbrough wins 1.45 1.35 -6.9%
Draw 4.6 6 +30.4%
Charlton Athletic wins 6.75 11 +63.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Middlesbrough is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.9% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 69.0% and is now 74.1% (5.1%)

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Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic Prediction