Middlesbrough vs Blackburn Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Middlesbrough
26/12/2025 10:00
Blackburn

Prediction :

 

Middlesbrough win or draw + over 1.5 goals

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Championship Predictions

Middlesbrough and Blackburn are locked in a fierce round 23 Championship game. The 2nd-placed home side continues their title charge and will look to cut Coventry’s six-point gap on Friday. In contrast, Blackburn fight to stay afloat as just six points separate them from the relegation zone with half the season gone. Check out our match prediction!

After 22 games, Middlesbrough are prime contenders to win their first-ever Championship title. And they've indeed been playing like champions so far. The Boro have won four of their last five league games and only lost their latest to Bristol City (2-0) away from home.

Blackburn, meanwhile, hasn't been so fortunate. While The Rovers just beat Millwall 2-0 at home, that's Blackburn's only win in six games; a run which now threatens their Championship spot. Blackburn now travels to Riverside to face an in-form Middlesbrough. However, Blackburn has been a menace on the road this season, and The Boro should be taking notes.

The Rovers have the fifth-best away record, having won five of ten matches with two away games in hand. Blackburn has also conceded just 10 away goals, the lowest of the season. Can Middlesbrough penetrate Blackburn’s stubborn defence, or will the away side extend their 6-win record over The Boro in their last ten games? See key stats below!

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Middlesbrough v Blackburn Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.74 3.8 4.5
Melbet
1.71 3.82 4.84
Betwinner
1.72 3.72 4.61
Bet365
1.66 3.75 4.5
Roobet
1.71 3.8 4.6
Check all Middlesbrough vs Blackburn odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Middlesbrough and Blackburn?

Our prediction for the Middlesbrough vs Blackburn match is: Middlesbrough win or draw + over 1.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/12/2025 between Middlesbrough and Blackburn in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.98% for a win of Middlesbrough against Blackburn with odds of 1.75 at LSbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Middlesbrough vs Blackburn is 20.6% with odds of 4 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 31.42% chance ⭐ for a win of Blackburn vs Middlesbrough with odds of 4.84 at Melbet.

Middlesbrough - Blackburn Prediction and Best Odds:

Middlesbrough Blackburn Prediction Probability Odds
Middlesbrough wins 47.98% 1.75 at LSbet
Over 2.5 goals 50.56% 2 at Stake
Both Team To Score 67.08%
Half-time: Blackburn / Full-time: Middlesbrough 21.12% 22 at LSbet

Middlesbrough vs Blackburn Form

Middlesbrough and Blackburn's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5 Middlesbrough
80 46 22 14 10 +25
20 Blackburn
52 46 13 13 20 -14

Middlesbrough and Blackburn Last Matches

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough Last matches
L W W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
2 :  0
Middlesbrough

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
3 :  1
QPR

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  2
Middlesbrough

5 Dec 2025 - Championship

Hull
1 :  4
Middlesbrough

29 Nov 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  1
Derby County

25 Nov 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  4
Coventry City
W D W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
100% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
3 :  1
QPR

29 Nov 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  1
Derby County

25 Nov 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  4
Coventry City

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  1
Birmingham

25 Oct 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  1
Wrexham

17 Oct 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  1
Ipswich Town
L D D W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
2 :  0
Middlesbrough

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  2
Middlesbrough

5 Dec 2025 - Championship

Hull
1 :  4
Middlesbrough

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  1
Middlesbrough

4 Nov 2025 - Championship

Leicester
1 :  1
Middlesbrough

1 Nov 2025 - Championship

Watford
3 :  0
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
Blackburn Last matches
L D D D L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
2 :  0
Millwall

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
2 :  1
Blackburn

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  1
Oxford United

2 Dec 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  1
Ipswich Town

29 Nov 2025 - Championship

Wrexham
1 :  1
Blackburn

26 Nov 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
0 :  1
QPR
W L L D D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
2 :  0
Millwall

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  1
Oxford United

2 Dec 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  1
Ipswich Town

26 Nov 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
0 :  1
QPR

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  2
Derby County

25 Oct 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
2 :  1
Southampton
L W W W D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
2 :  1
Blackburn

29 Nov 2025 - Championship

Wrexham
1 :  1
Blackburn

21 Nov 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
1 :  2
Blackburn

4 Nov 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
0 :  1
Blackburn

1 Nov 2025 - Championship

Leicester
0 :  2
Blackburn

18 Oct 2025 - Championship

Coventry City
2 :  0
Blackburn

Middlesbrough vs Blackburn Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Middlesbrough

33 %

Draw

17 %

Blackburn

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.33
Total goals
16.67%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
0.67
Goals conceded
16.67%
Over 2.5
83.33%
Under 2.5

4 Apr 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
0 :  2
Middlesbrough

11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Blackburn

27 Nov 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Blackburn

16 Mar 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  0
Blackburn

29 Dec 2022 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  2
Middlesbrough

24 Jan 2022 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  0
Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough against Blackburn Lineups: Starting 11

Middlesbrough

Formation : 4 - 2 - 2 - 2

31
S. Brynn
2
C. Brittain
12
L. Ayling
5
A. Jones
3
M. Targett
14
A. Gilbert
7
H. Hackney
11
M. Whittaker
17
M. Hamilton
9
T. Conway
13
D. Strelec
18
A. Henriksson
23
Y. Ohashi
10
T. Cantwell
19
R. Hedges
25
R. Morishita
6
S. Trondstad
40
M. Litherland
43
G. Pratt
15
S. McLoughlin
12
L. Miller
1
A. Pears

Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2

Blackburn

Substitutes

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Goalkeeper

J. Mclaughlin

Defender

A. Bangura

M. Targett 73'

D. Fry

G. Edmundson 46'

G. Edmundson

A. Jones 17'

Midfielder

S. Nypan

M. Hamilton 46'

A. Browne

A. Gilbert 67'

Forward

D. Burgzorg

S. Hansen

M. Sene

Blackburn
Blackburn
Goalkeeper

N. Michalski

Defender

D. De Neve

T. Atcheson

Y. Ribeiro

T. Cantwell 90'

H. Pickering

R. Hedges 76'

Midfielder

T. Gardner-Hickman

S. Trondstad 76'

M. Baradji

R. Morishita 45'

Forward

N. Dlamini

A. Henriksson 90'

A. Doherty

Missing players

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Defender

D. Lenihan

Blackburn
Blackburn
Forward

A. Kargbo

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Middlesbrough
CD Huachipato Blackburn
Top Goalscorer
England M. Whittaker (14 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Japan Y. Ohashi (11 Goals)
Best assists
England M. Whittaker (6 Assists)
England H. Hackney (6 Assists)
England C. Brittain (6 Assists)
Best assists
Japan R. Morishita (9 Assists)

Middlesbrough - Blackburn Key Points

  1. Middlesbrough have won four of their last five games, and all four ended with over 1.5 goals.
  2. The Boro are undefeated in nine of ten home games this season, with the last six games featuring 2+ goals.
  3. Middlesbrough have scored the fifth-most goals in this Championship season (33).
  4. Blackburn have only won one of their last six games, with the opponent winning the “win or draw + over 1.5 goals” bet in four games.
  5. Of the 14 games Blackburn didn't win this season, the opponents won the “win or draw + over 1.5 goals” bet in 12 games.
  6. Middlesbrough are undefeated in 18 games this season, and won the “win or draw + over 1.5 goals” bet in 14 games.
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Our Middlesbrough vs Blackburn Prediction

Although Blackburn have been remarkable on the road this season, Middlesbrough have been operating on an entirely different level, especially at home. Middlesbrough have only lost four games this season and and one at home, which are the joint second-lowest.

​And with a league title to chase, only three points will be on the agenda, so we don't see a loss. However, given Blackburn’s away performances and superior H2H against Middlesbrough, the safer bet is backing The Boro not to lose and the game to feature at least 2+ goals. Hence, our Middlesbrough vs Blackburn prediction is Middlesbrough win or draw + over 1.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Middlesbrough win or draw + over 1.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Middlesbrough Blackburn

Middlesbrough vs Blackburn Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Middlesbrough wins 1.9 1.75 -7.9%
Draw 3.4 4 +17.6%
Blackburn wins 4.3 4.84 +12.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Middlesbrough is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.9% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 52.6% and is now 57.1% (4.5%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Middlesbrough vs Blackburn Prediction