Middlesbrough vs Birmingham Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Steve Ashfield | in Championship Predictions
Middlesbrough are third in the Championship but have gone three league games without a win. They are home to eighth-placed Birmingham City this weekend. Can Boro get a home win? Read our match prediction.
The home side begin the weekend five points behind leaders Coventry but only a point adrift of the automatic promotion places. The last three games haven't gone well for Boro with only two points earned, most recently a 1-1 draw at Leicester.
Two of those games were played on the road and Boro are much stronger at home. Along with Coventry, they are the only club in the Championship still unbeaten at home with four wins and two draws. Only ten goals have been scored in their six home league games.
Birmingham City have won both of their last two league games 4-0. Both were played at home with wins over Portsmouth and Millwall. The Blues are two points behind the final promotion play-off position.
Away form isn't great though with two wins, a draw and four defeats. They have only scored four away league goals this season and need to improve on that if they want to win promotion to the Premier League.
We tip under 2.5 goals in this game.
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Middlesbrough v Birmingham Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.47 | 3.25 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.46 | 3.2 | 2.84 |
|
|
2.49 | 3.14 | 2.84 |
|
|
2.32 | 3.4 | 2.82 |
|
|
2.47 | 3.2 | 2.85 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Middlesbrough and Birmingham?
Our prediction for the Middlesbrough vs Birmingham match is: under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/11/2025 between Middlesbrough and Birmingham in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.75% for a win of Middlesbrough against Birmingham with odds of 2.57 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Middlesbrough vs Birmingham is 22.56% with odds of 3.4 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.69% chance ⭐ for a win of Birmingham vs Middlesbrough with odds of 3 at Betway.
Middlesbrough - Birmingham Prediction and Best Odds:
| Middlesbrough Birmingham Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough wins | 55.75% | 2.57 at Shangrila |
| Under 2.5 | 63.72% | 1.93 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 70.83% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Middlesbrough/Middlesbrough | 30.19% | 4 at Bet365 |
Middlesbrough vs Birmingham Form
Middlesbrough and Birmingham's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
80 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | +25 |
|
10
|
64 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | +1 |
Middlesbrough and Birmingham Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
22 Oct 2025 - Championship
17 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
17 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
19 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
3 Oct 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
3 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
29 Aug 2025 - Championship
Middlesbrough vs Birmingham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Mar 2024 - Championship
Middlesbrough against Birmingham Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. McLaughlin
DefenderA. Bangura
G. McCormick
A. Gilbert
S. Nypan
D. Burgzorg
D. Strelec
M. Sene
S. Silvera
R. Allsop
DefenderE. Cashin
J. Robinson
MidfielderM. Leonard
L. Koumas
K. Anderson
B. Osayi-Samuel
ForwardL. Dykes
K. Furuhashi
Missing players
L. Buchanan
Most goals and assists
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
M. Whittaker
(14 Goals)
J. Stansfield
(10 Goals)
, 
M. Ducksch
(10 Goals)
M. Whittaker
(6 Assists)
,
H. Hackney
(6 Assists)
,
C. Brittain
(6 Assists)
J. Stansfield
(7 Assists)
Middlesbrough - Birmingham Key Points
- Under 2.5 goals have been scored in four of Middlesbrough's six home league games.I
- In total, those six home league fixtures have seen only ten goals scored.
- Birmingham have only scored four away goals in the Championship this season.
- Under 2.5 goals have been scored in five of Birmingham's seven away league fixtures, including each of the last three.
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Our Middlesbrough vs Birmingham Prediction
These two clubs have had contrasting weeks so far. Middlesbrough have earned a single point from two away games, while City have had two 4-0 home wins. Boro are better at home and are yet to taste defeat in the Championship this season.
Birmingham have already lost four away league games this season. Only four away league goals have been scored by them in seven matches. With Boro keeping it tight at home with only ten goals in six games, our Middlesbrough v Birmingham prediction is under 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Middlesbrough Birmingham
| Middlesbrough vs Birmingham | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough wins | 2.47 | 2.57 | +4.0% |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.4 | +1.5% |
| Birmingham wins | 2.9 | 3 | +3.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Middlesbrough is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.5% and is now 38.9% (-1.6%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Middlesbrough vs. Birmingham game!
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Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
