Michael van Gerwen vs Andrew Gilding Prediction & Betting Tips - PDC World Matchplay Darts

Darts - PDC World Matchplay Darts

Michael van Gerwen
19/07/2026 08:50
Andrew Gilding

Prediction :

 

Andrew Gilding +4.5

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in PDC World Matchplay Darts Predictions

The 2026 World Matchplay Round 1 action continues on Sunday afternoon with Michael van Gerwen facing Andrew Gilding. Goldfinger beat MVG last month on the European Tour, which sees us going with the value on the Englishman here as our main prediction. 

Michael van Gerwen begins his quest for a fourth Phil Taylor Trophy as the number four seed this year. He was eliminated in Round 2 of this competition last year, 11-8 by Josh Rock. 

Mighty Mike’s form has not been at the level most expect over the past two years. However, while he had a poor Premier League this year, he has picked up two televised World Series crowns. 

The Dutchman lost to Damon Heta in the second round of the 2026 European Darts Open last week, marking his fourth loss in his last 10 matches in all competitions. 

Meanwhile, Andrew Gilding is a ProTour Qualifier and enters this competition ranked 25th in the PDC Order of Merit. He recorded his best performance at the World Matchplay last year, reaching the quarter-final. 

The highlight of Goldfinger’s season to this point was capturing his first career ProTour floor title at the Players Championship16 in May, where he defeated Jonny Clayton 8-3 in the grand final. 

Gilding suffered a first-round defeat to Robert Owen at the 2026 European Darts Open last week. However, he did beat MVG last month and has won three of his last five against the Dutchman.

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Michael van Gerwen vs Andrew Gilding Prediction

Michael van Gerwen - Andrew Gilding Key Points

  1. Michael van Gerwen has lost four of his last six matches in all competitions.
  2. Michael van Gerwen has only won one of his last eight matches by three clear sets.
  3. Andrew Gilding reached the quarter-finals of this competition last year.
  4. Andrew Gilding beat this opponent 6-4 on the European Tour last month.
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Our Michael van Gerwen vs Andrew Gilding Prediction

Michael van Gerwen is unsurprisingly installed as the favourite in this match, but we have our concerns, as the Dutchman has struggled to maintain consistency for the majority of the 2026 season. 

Given the World Matchplay’s format, Andrew Gilding will fancy his chances of pulling off an upset here, as he did against this opponent last month. Even if Goldfinger loses, we do not feel it will be by a wide margin. Our Michael van Gerwen vs Andrew Gilding prediction is Andrew Gilding +4.5. 

Prediction :

 

Andrew Gilding +4.5

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.