Mexico vs Serbia Prediction & Betting Tips - International Friendlies
International - International Friendlies
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Football Predictions
Mexico host Serbia in their final preparation match before the 2026 FIFA World Cup on Thursday night (local time) in Toluca. This match between the co-hosts ‘El Tri’ and the Eagles, who have failed to qualify for the tournament, is likely to be low on entertainment, which is why our prediction is for less than 2.5 goals to be scored.
Being the co-hosts, Mexico qualified for the tournament automatically and have been using friendlies to prepare for the World Cup. Serbia have failed to qualify for the marquee tournament and only have September’s UEFA Nations League commitments to plan ahead for.
The co-hosting Mexican team are drawn alongside South Africa, South Korea, and the Czech Republic in the World Cup. Their last set of friendlies were in May, when they won 2-0 against Ghana and 1-0 against Australia. That extended their unbeaten sequence to seven games (W5, D2). This run has also seen them post six clean sheets, underlining their defensive strengths.
Serbia finished third in their UEFA qualification group (W4, D1, L3), failing to proceed even to the play-offs. The Eagles lost 3-0 to Cape Verde in their latest friendly in May, which was their fifth defeat in the last eight games (W3). Each of those losses have seen them fail to score, so the Eagles will be hard-pressed to improve here.
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Mexico v Serbia Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.25 | 5.2 | 9.2 |
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1.28 | 5.7 | 10 |
|
|
1.22 | 6.4 | 13.5 |
|
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1.29 | 4.5 | 8 |
|
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1.31 | 5.2 | 9.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Mexico and Serbia?
Our prediction for the Mexico vs Serbia match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/06/2026 between Mexico and Serbia in International Friendlies :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.99% for a win of Mexico against Serbia with odds of 1.32 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mexico vs Serbia is 20.06% with odds of 6.4 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.95% chance ⭐ for a win of Serbia vs Mexico with odds of 13.5 at Betwinner.
Mexico - Serbia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Mexico Serbia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mexico wins | 57.99% | 1.32 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 54.74% | 2.18 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score: No | 71.43% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Mexico/Mexico | 32.87% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
Mexico vs Serbia Form
Mexico and Serbia Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 May 2026 - International Friendlies
22 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
25 Feb 2026 - International Friendlies
25 Jan 2026 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 May 2026 - International Friendlies
22 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
25 Feb 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - International Friendlies
22 Jan 2026 - International Friendlies
6 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
18 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
20 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League
21 Jan 2025 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
6 Sept 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
Mexico against Serbia Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
G. Ochoa
C. Acevedo
DefenderI. Reyes
E. Alvarez
M. Chavez
O. Vargas
L. Romo
G. Mora
O. Pineda
L. Chavez
C. Huerta
S. Gimenez
G. Martinez
A. Gonzalez
A. Vega
L. Lijeskic
V. Ilic
O. Mimovic
K. Nedeljkovic
M. Milikic
P. Petrovic
A. Avdic
D. Zukic
V. Kostov
A. Maksimovic
N. Petrovic
V. Birmancevic
M. Ivanovic
Mexico - Serbia Key Points
- Six of Mexico’s last seven matches produced under 2.5 goals.
- Mexico conceded just one goal across their last seven matches.
- Serbia have failed to score in five of their last eight matches.
- Serbia lost their last three away games without conceding a goal.
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Our Mexico vs Serbia Prediction
Mexico are silently making a case for a strong World Cup, not just because they are one of the co-hosts. Their recent run has produced six clean sheets in the last seven games, highlighting their defensive strengths. Serbia are unlikely to change that track, as they have failed to score in five of their last eight matches. The Eagles have also failed to qualify for the World Cup, which keeps ambition levels low for the visitors.
This match is likely to be low on goals and entertainment, so our Mexico vs Serbia prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Mexico Serbia
| Mexico vs Serbia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico wins | 1.38 | 1.32 | -4.3% |
| Draw | 4.1 | 6.4 | +56.1% |
| Serbia wins | 7.4 | 13.5 | +82.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Mexico is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 72.5% and is now 75.8% (3.3%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
