International - International Friendlies
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Football Predictions
Mexico hosts Ecuador in an international friendly on Wednesday. Can Javier Aguirre's side overcome Ecuador to end their recent winless run? Check out our prediction for the match below.
Mexico's fortunes have stalled since their 2025 Gold Cup triumph. They are winless in all three of their international friends since then. This includes a 4-0 defeat to Colombia in their most recent match.
However, Javier Aguirre's side boasts a relatively solid backline capable of frustrating opponents. They have kept clean sheets in five of their last eight matches, including of their recent matchups with Ecuador.
Ecuador drew 1-1 with the USA in their most recent friendly. Pachuca forward Enner Valencia had raced the team into the lead in the 24th minute before Folarin Balogun canceled it out later in the second half.
This result extended Ecuador's unbeaten run to 12 matches since September 2024. Interestingly, they have kept clean sheets in 10 of these matches, including in five of their last six matches. Sebastián Beccacece's side have also maintained a near-spotless defensive record on the road, not conceding in five of their last six away matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Mexico v Ecuador Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.2 | 3.2 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.2 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.2 | 3 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.25 | 2.9 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Mexico and Ecuador?
Our prediction for the Mexico vs Ecuador match is: Both teams to score: No.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/10/2025 between Mexico and Ecuador in International Friendlies :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.45% for a win of Mexico against Ecuador with odds of 2.6 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mexico vs Ecuador is 57.19% with odds of 3.64 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.36% chance ⭐ for a win of Ecuador vs Mexico with odds of 3.04 at 22bet.
Mexico vs Ecuador Form
Mexico and Ecuador Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Sep 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Sep 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
2 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
28 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Sep 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Sep 2025 - International Friendlies
2 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
28 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
22 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
18 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
20 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League
21 Jan 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Sep 2025 - World Cup
4 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sep 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
4 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
Mexico vs Ecuador Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Jun 2024 - Copa America
5 Jun 2022 - International Friendlies
Most goals and assists
Mexico
Ecuador
C. Montes
(3 Goals)
,
R. Jimenez
(3 Goals)
J. Vasquez
(1 Assists)
,
G. Mora
(1 Assists)
,
J. Quinones
(1 Assists)
,
A. Vega
(1 Assists)
,
S. Gimenez
(1 Assists)
,
E. Alvarez
(1 Assists)
,
O. Pineda
(1 Assists)
,
M. Ruiz
(1 Assists)
Mexico - Ecuador Key Points
- Mexico have kept clean sheets in five of their last eight matches.
- Mexico have not conceded in both of their recent encounters with Ecuador.
- Ecuador have kept clean sheets in 10 of their last 12 matches.
- Ecuador have not conceded in five of their last six away matches.
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Our Mexico vs Ecuador Prediction
Mexico will be looking for their first win in four attempts since their 2025 Gold Cup triumph. El Tricolor will bank on the support of the Zapopan crowd to edge out visiting Ecuador but we aren't expecting an easy match for the hosts.
It has been 13 months since Ecuador suffer defeat. A 12-match unbeaten run has positioned Sebastián Beccacece's side as strong contenders in this match. Meanwhile, we expect an intense battle with at least one side keeping a clean sheet given their recent results. Our Mexico vs Ecuador prediction is Both teams to score: No.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Mexico vs. Ecuador game!
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Try your luck on this year's International Friendlies! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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