International - CONCACAF Gold Cup
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions
Mexico will have their best warmup for co-hosting the 2026 World Cup when they host the 2025 Gold Cup. They start it off in Group A on Sunday, with a game against the Dominican Republic. Let’s have a look at the prediction for the match.
El Tri are the defending champions and will be expected to top this group, which also has Costa Rica and Suriname. Mexico opted to face European nations in friendly matches to prepare for this tournament.
In their final warmup game, they beat Turkey 1-0, having earlier lost 4-2 to Switzerland. In general, Mexico are in good shape, having won six of their last 10 matches and lost only twice.
For the Dominican Republic, this is a massive game, and starting off against the defending champions and hosts makes it a tough one.
They haven't played a match of this magnitude in recent times, and this already looks lopsided. The Dominican Republic are coming off a 5-0 rout of Dominica in the World Cup qualifiers.
They’ve lately been involved in high-scoring matches. Los Quisqueyanos have proven in those matches that they can score goals, but they will need to show it more at the Gold Cup. They’ve also been in good shape, losing only once in the last 11 matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Mexico v Dominican Republic Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.14 | 8 | 17 |
|
|
1.13 | 6.5 | 15 |
|
|
1.15 | 7 | 17 |
|
|
1.15 | 7 | 15 |
|
|
1.11 | 8 | 21 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Mexico and Dominican Republic?
Our prediction for the Mexico vs Dominican Republic match is: Mexico to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/06/2025 between Mexico and Dominican Republic in CONCACAF Gold Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.23% for a win of Mexico against Dominican Republic with odds of 1.17 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mexico vs Dominican Republic is 13.44% with odds of 8 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.33% chance ⭐ for a win of Dominican Republic vs Mexico with odds of 21 at Unibet.
Mexico - Dominican Republic Prediction and Best Odds:
| Mexico Dominican Republic Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mexico wins | 54.23% | 1.17 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.89% | 1.44 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 52.38% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Mexico/Mexico | 23.64% | 1.55 at Ladbrokes |
Mexico vs Dominican Republic Form
Mexico and Dominican Republic's standings in the CONCACAF Gold Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
|
3
|
1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 |
Mexico and Dominican Republic Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League
20 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League
21 Jan 2025 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League
19 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - International Friendlies
12 Oct 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League
21 Jan 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Jun 2024 - Copa America
24 Mar 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
Mexico against Dominican Republic Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
J. Vasquez
Most goals and assists
Mexico
Dominican Republic
R. Jimenez
(3 Goals)
,
C. Montes
(3 Goals)
O. Pineda
(1 Assists)
,
E. Alvarez
(1 Assists)
,
S. Gimenez
(1 Assists)
,
A. Vega
(1 Assists)
,
J. Quinones
(1 Assists)
,
G. Mora
(1 Assists)
,
J. Vasquez
(1 Assists)
,
M. Ruiz
(1 Assists)
Mexico - Dominican Republic Key Points
- 14 goals were scored in Mexico’s last five matches.
- Mexico have posted six wins in their last 10 matches.
- The Dominican Republic failed to win six of their last 10 away matches.
- Only two of the Dominican Republic’s last 10 matches had under 2.5 goals.
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Our Mexico vs Dominican Republic Prediction
The Dominican Republic are among the weak teams taking part in this competition. They can only aim to upset the odds at the tournament, starting with the hosts and holders. The Dominican Republic have already proven to be great in attack, though they will want to test themselves against more formidable opponents.
El Tri will offer more than just that; they are playing at home in what is seen as a rehearsal for hosting the World Cup next year. This might end in a heavy beating for the Dominican Republic. Our prediction for Mexico v Dominican Republic is for Mexico to win and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Mexico Dominican Republic
| Mexico vs Dominican Republic | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico wins | 1.17 | 1.14 | -2.6% |
| Draw | 6.5 | 8 | +23.1% |
| Dominican Republic wins | 17 | 17 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Mexico is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 85.5% and is now 87.7% (2.2%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Mexico vs. Dominican Republic game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Mexico and Dominican Republic? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's CONCACAF Gold Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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