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14 January 2024 - 09:00 

- Day 18

France - Ligue 1

Metz
VS
Toulouse

Prediction :

Under 2.5

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Metz vs Toulouse Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

 by Joseph King | in Ligue 1 Prediction

A potential relegation six-pointer is in store for matchday 18 of the French Ligue 1 as 14th-place Metz host 16th-place Toulouse. These two are separated by just two points in the standings with Toulouse currently occupying the relegation playoff position. The three points in this match could be significant come the end of the season as both teams look to separate themselves from the bottom three. Metz come into this fixture off the back of a penalty shootout defeat to Clermont Foot in the French Cup last weekend. It marked an unwelcome return to play after the winter break which saw the Maroons lose their last four consecutive league fixtures prior to the holiday period. The hosts have really struggled to pick up positive results even in front of their home support. Metz have just a single win in their eight home matches while finding the back of the net just seven times.

Toulouse were able to return from the break with a 3-0 away win over lower-division side Chambery in the French Cup last weekend. The victory snapped a three match losing run for Les Violets whose prior win came in the Conference League over LASK. Domestically, it’s been a disappointing first half of the season for the team that finished 13th last season and was crowned champions of the Coupe de France. Their commitments to the Conference League looks to have taken its toll on their league form. Toulouse are winless in the French top flight for over three months with their last victory coming on October 1st. In those 10 winless Ligue 1 fixtures, Toulouse had managed to draw five with the other five ending in defeat. The goals simply haven’t been there for the visitors this season as they’ve found the net only 15 times, the second-lowest mark in the division.

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The Best Betting Odds for Metz v Toulouse Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.88 3.2 2.5
NetBet
2.95 3 2.5
Check all Metz vs Toulouse odds
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Who will win the Metz vs Toulouse Football match?


The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Metz and Toulouse of Ligue 1 on 1/14/24 :

  • There is a probability of 29.59% ⭐ for Metz to win this match against Toulouse ⚽ with odds of 2.95 found at NetBet.
  • Bet365 ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 3.2 which implies a probability of 32.33%.
  • Currently, the best odds ⭐ for Toulouse to win the match are about 2.5 at Bet365. That means a probability of 38.08%.

Metz - Toulouse Prediction and Best Odds:

Metz vs Toulouse prediction

Win Probability

Best Odds
Metz  is favoured to win29.59 %2.95
Draw32.33 %3.2
Toulouse wins the game38.08 %2.5

Metz vs Toulouse Form

Metz and Toulouse's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
11
Toulouse
Toulouse
43 33 11 10 12 -1
16
Metz
Metz
29 33 8 5 20 -21

Metz and Toulouse Last Matches

Metz
Metz Last matches
W L L L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.5
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
1.67
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

5 Jan 2024 - French Cup

Metz
1 :  1
Clermont

20 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  1
Metz

17 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  1
Montpellier Hsc

10 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  1
Brest

3 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Lille Osc
2 :  0
Metz

26 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  3
Metz
Toulouse
Toulouse Last matches
L W D L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.33
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
1.33
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

7 Jan 2024 - French Cup

Chambery SF
0 :  3
Toulouse

3 Jan 2024 - Trophée des Champions

PSG
2 :  0
Toulouse

20 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
1 :  2
Monaco

17 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  0
Rennes

14 Dec 2023 - Europa League

LASK
1 :  2
Toulouse

10 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Lyon
3 :  0
Toulouse

Metz against Toulouse : Head to Head (H2H)

Metz

17 %

Draw

67 %

Toulouse

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
2.33
BTTS
67%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.33
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

1 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
3 :  0
Metz

28 Sep 2019 - Ligue 1

Metz
2 :  2
Toulouse

3 Mar 2018 - Ligue 1

Metz
1 :  1
Toulouse

18 Nov 2017 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  0
Metz

14 May 2017 - Ligue 1

Metz
1 :  1
Toulouse

19 Nov 2016 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
1 :  2
Metz
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Metz against Toulouse Lineups: Starting 11

Metz

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

16
A. Oukidja
2
M. Colin
8
I. Traore
3
M. Udol
29
C. Herelle
21
J. N'Guessan
6
K. N-Doram
27
D. Jean-Jacques
10
G. Mikautadze
99
J. Asoro
14
C. Sabaly
9
T. Dallinga
8
V. Sierro
11
C. Gelabert
15
A. Donnum
24
C. Casseres Jr
4
S. Spierings
17
G. Suazo
2
R. Nicolaisen
12
W. Kamanzi
13
C. Mawissa Elebi
50
G. Restes

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Toulouse

Missing players

Metz
Metz
Defender

M. Udol

Toulouse
Toulouse
Defender

C. Mawissa Elebi

Forward

F. Magri

Metz - Toulouse Key Points

  1. Metz home matches see an average of just 2.00 total goals in Ligue 1.
  2. Five of the hosts' eight home league matches (62.5%) have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
  3. Metz now have just a single goal scored in their last 360 minutes of Ligue 1 football, failing to find the net on three of four occassions.
  4. Toulouse away league matches see an average of just 2.11 total goals scored this campaign.
  5. There have been under 2.5 goals scored in four of the last six for Toulouse in the league.
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Our Metz vs Toulouse Prediction

Two teams struggling to score will face off on Sunday with a massive three points up for grabs. With the way both teams are playing, it's difficult to envision anything other than a low-scoring, tightly-contested type of match. Metz have been decent defensively on their home patch but haven't been able to get the goals. Toulouse's Ligue 1 form has been dreadful with the majority of their matches only involving a goal or two. Our Metz vs Toulouse prediction is for under 2.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

Under 2.5

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Metz vs Toulouse Prediction

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