Metz vs Rennes Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
For three matchdays Metz took Ligue 1 by surprise before being downed last time out and dropping back into the bottom three. They will be looking to bounce back when they host sixth placed Rennes next. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
Metz went winless in their opening nine matches of the season, then emerged with three straight wins. However, despite their best efforts after the international break, they fell 3-2 against fellow strugglers Brest.
Metz had battled twice from behind and were headed to a 2-2 draw before conceding in the 10th minute of added time. Now they are left 17th in the standings, separated from the safe zone by goal difference.
Rennes are flying high. The visitors come into this game on a steady run that has finally seen them break into the top six.
They didn’t have the best of starts but are now sitting higher than the likes of Monaco and Lyon. Rennes are actually coming off a 4-1 win against Monaco last time out.
That granted them their third straight win and a run of four matches without defeat. That, and their form against Metz, should settle this game in favor of les Rouges et Noirs.
They have seven straight wins against Metz, and in each of the last five, Rennes scored at least three goals.
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The Best Betting Odds for Metz v Rennes Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.75 | 3.8 | 1.85 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.95 | 1.97 |
|
|
3.94 | 3.84 | 1.85 |
|
|
4.2 | 3.9 | 1.75 |
|
|
3.85 | 4 | 1.92 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Metz and Rennes?
Our prediction for the Metz vs Rennes match is: Rennes wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/11/2025 between Metz and Rennes in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 23.19% for a win of Metz against Rennes with odds of 4.4 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Metz vs Rennes is 34.92% with odds of 4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.89% chance ⭐ for a win of Rennes vs Metz with odds of 1.97 at Stake.
Metz - Rennes Prediction and Best Odds:
| Metz Rennes Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Rennes wins | 41.89% | 1.97 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.03% | 1.6 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 57.92% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Rennes | 18.06% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Metz vs Rennes Form
Metz and Rennes's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
31 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | +5 |
|
18
|
12 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | -21 |
Metz and Rennes Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
Metz vs Rennes Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 May 2024 - Ligue 1
13 Aug 2023 - Ligue 1
20 Mar 2022 - Ligue 1
17 Oct 2021 - Ligue 1
20 Mar 2021 - Ligue 1
23 Dec 2020 - Ligue 1
Metz against Rennes Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Substitutes
O. Ba
DefenderB. Stambouli
K. Kouao
MidfielderA. Toure
G. Abuashvili
J. Asoro
M. Mbaye
S. Sane
M. Bokele
M. Silistrie
DefenderA. Rouault
A. Seidu
Q. Merlin
M. Nagida
MidfielderL. Blas
G. Kamara
ForwardE. Legendre
M. Meite
Missing players
P. Sy
MidfielderU. Mboula
ForwardH. Diallo
S. Fofana
ForwardN. Mukiele
Most goals and assists
Metz
Rennes
G. Hein
(6 Goals)
E. Lepaul
(9 Goals)
G. Hein
(3 Assists)
Q. Merlin
(3 Assists)
, 
M. Tamari
(3 Assists)
,
E. Lepaul
(3 Assists)
Metz - Rennes Key Points
- Rennes are on three straight wins in Ligue 1.
- Rennes have seven straight wins against Metz.
- Metz have suffered eight defeats in their 13 league games.
- Rennes are unbeaten in their last five away league matches.
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Our Metz vs Rennes Prediction
Rennes are in fine form and will come into this game very confident. This isn’t an opponent with a history of troubling Rennes, despite Metz’s recent rise. In the last seven meetings between the two sides, Rennes posted straight wins.
They have also done well away at Metz, going undefeated in the last 13 meetings with them. Here, Rennes are facing a side on eight defeats in the opening 13 league matches. Our prediction for Metz v Rennes is that Rennes wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Metz Rennes
| Metz vs Rennes | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Metz wins | 3.9 | 4.4 | +12.8% |
| Draw | 3.65 | 4 | +9.6% |
| Rennes wins | 1.93 | 1.97 | +2.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Rennes is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 51.8% and is now 50.8% (-1.1%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Metz vs. Rennes game!
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Try your luck on this year's Ligue 1! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
