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04 February 2024 - 09:00 

- Day 20

France - Ligue 1

Metz
VS
Lorient

Prediction :

Handicap Lorient +1

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Metz vs Lorient Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

 by Devesh Jaganath | in Ligue 1 Prediction

A crucial bottom-half battle in Ligue 1 will unfold this weekend, with Metz playing host to Lorient on Sunday afternoon. The hosts are currently in 15th place in the league standings, while the visitors are at the foot of the table. Having returned to the top flight this season, Metz look as though they are going to battle to stay up unless they can find some form in the second half of the campaign. They are currently on 16 points after 19 matches, just one point above Clermont Foot, who are the first side below the dotted line. The Maroons had a very poor end to last year, and things have not gone well in 2024 so far, either. They lost their last match 1-0 to Nice last weekend, which marked their sixth consecutive league loss. Metz have not won a match since November and have failed to score in five of their last six games. As a result, it comes as little surprise to note that they are the lowest-scoring team in the league this season with 16. The hosts have won only one of their nine home games this season and are looking to avoid a fourth straight loss in this one. 

While Metz could find themselves in the drop zone by the end of this weekend, Lorient have been languishing at the bottom of the league standings for the majority of the season. After finishing tenth last term, Les Merlus would have started the current campaign with aspirations of drawing closer to the top six, but things have gone terribly poorly. They have managed only 13 points with half the season complete and are already four points from safety. Lorient played out a 3-3 draw against newly promoted Le Havre last week, which was their 11th match without a victory and followed five consecutive losses, including a 2-1 defeat against lower league outfit Sochaux in the Coupe de France. In ten away games this season, the visitors have taken just three points, all by way of draws, meaning they are winless on the road this term. They are the clear underdogs in this one.

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The Best Betting Odds for Metz v Lorient Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.05 3.2 4
NetBet
2.02 3.05 3.95
Check all Metz vs Lorient odds
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Who will win the Metz vs Lorient Football match?


The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Metz and Lorient of Ligue 1 on 2/4/24 :

  • There is a probability of 52.91% ⭐ for Metz to win this match against Lorient ⚽ with odds of 2.05 found at Bet365.
  • Bet365 ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 3.2 which implies a probability of 17.79%.
  • Currently, the best odds ⭐ for Lorient to win the match are about 4 at Bet365. That means a probability of 29.3%.

Metz - Lorient Prediction and Best Odds:

Metz vs Lorient prediction

Win Probability

Best Odds
Metz  is favoured to win52.91 %2.05
Draw17.79 %3.2
Lorient wins the game29.3 %4

Metz vs Lorient Form

Metz and Lorient's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
16
Metz
Metz
29 34 8 5 21 -23
17
Lorient
Lorient
29 34 7 8 19 -23

Metz and Lorient Last Matches

Metz
Metz Last matches
L L D L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.33
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
1.33
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

27 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1

Nice
1 :  0
Metz

19 Jan 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Metz
4 :  1
Swift Hesperange

14 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  1
Toulouse

5 Jan 2024 - French Cup

Metz
1 :  1
Clermont

20 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  1
Metz

17 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  1
Montpellier Hsc
Lorient
Lorient Last matches
L L L L L D
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
4.17
BTTS
67%
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
3
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5
0%

28 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1

Lorient
3 :  3
Le Havre

14 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1

Lille Osc
3 :  0
Lorient

6 Jan 2024 - French Cup

Sochaux
2 :  1
Lorient

20 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Brest
4 :  0
Lorient

17 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  2
Strasbourg

10 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  4
Marseille

Metz against Lorient : Head to Head (H2H)

Metz

67 %

Draw

0 %

Lorient

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
3.5
BTTS
83%
Goals scored (Team 1)
2.17
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.33
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5
17%

26 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  3
Metz

20 Apr 2022 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  0
Metz

12 Dec 2021 - Ligue 1

Metz
4 :  1
Lorient

16 May 2021 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  1
Metz

4 Oct 2020 - Ligue 1

Metz
3 :  1
Lorient

31 Mar 2019 - Ligue 2

Metz
2 :  1
Lorient
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Metz against Lorient Lineups: Starting 11

Metz

Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1

16
A. Oukidja
2
M. Colin
8
I. Traore
5
F. Cande
3
M. Udol
6
K. N-Doram
22
K. Van Den Kerkhof
18
L. Camara
27
D. Jean-Jacques
11
D. Lamkel Ze
10
G. Mikautadze
9
B. Mohamed
21
J. Ponceau
44
A. Kari
37
T. Le Bris
6
I. Louza
19
L. Abergel
7
P. Katseris
95
S. Toure
32
N. Adjei
3
M. Talbi
38
Y. Mvogo

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Lorient

Missing players

Metz
Metz
Defender

M. Udol

M. Colin

Forward

P. Diallo

Lorient
Lorient
Defender

I. Silva

S. Toure

N. Adjei

Midfielder

A. Kari

Metz - Lorient Key Points

  1. Metz are on a six-match losing streak in league games
  2. Metz have failed to score in five of their last six matches
  3. Metz have only kept one clean sheet in their last ten matches
  4. Metz are the lowest-scoring team in the division
  5. Lorient have only failed to score in two of their last eight games
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Our Metz vs Lorient Prediction

With the form that both these sides are in, it is difficult to back either with any real confidence. Metz are worthy favourites here but they have struggled to find the net this season, scoring just once in their last six matches. Lorient, on the other hand, have the worst defence despite putting up good attacking numbers. This is a wide-open match, but we feel that only a single goal will separate these two at the final whistle. Therefore, our Metz vs Lorient prediction: Handicap Lorient +1.

Prediction :

Handicap Lorient +1

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Metz vs Lorient Prediction

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