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Melbourne Victory vs Wrexham Prediction & Betting Tips - Clubs Friendlies

Friendlies - Clubs Friendlies

Melbourne Victory
11/07/2025 05:30
Wrexham

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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 by Sridhar | in Football Predictions

In their first visit Down Under for pre-season action, Welsh club Wrexham will face Melbourne Victory on Friday at the neutral location of Marvel Stadium. This is the first friendly match of the pre-season for both teams, and our prediction is for a low-scoring game.

The Victory lost in the grand final of the 2025 A-League Men finals after finishing fifth in the regular season. Wrexham qualified for the EFL Championship 2025-26 season after finishing second in the League One competition last campaign.

The Dark Blues have a few friendlies lined up after this, as they prepare for their season start later in the month in the Australia Cup before beginning their 2025-26 A-League campaign. This is the first time these sides are playing each other, so there’s no history to look back on.

This is Wrexham’s first pre-season tour outside the United States, and the team is already getting attention after a record-breaking three consecutive promotions up to the second-tier Championship in English football.

The Red Dragons will go on to face Sydney FC at Allianz Stadium on the 15th and take a trip to Wellington to meet the Phoenix. These matches will give the side a chance to get into match fitness before the season starts next month.

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The Best Betting Odds for Melbourne Victory v Wrexham Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Betfred
5 3.75 1.62
William Hill
5.5 4 1.5
Betway
5 4 1.53
Ladbrokes
5.25 3.9 1.5
Unibet
4.9 3.9 1.57
Check all Melbourne Victory vs Wrexham odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Melbourne Victory and Wrexham?

Our prediction for the Melbourne Victory vs Wrexham match is: under 2.5.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/07/2025 between Melbourne Victory and Wrexham in Clubs Friendlies :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 19.9% for a win of Melbourne Victory against Wrexham with odds of 5.85 at Melbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Melbourne Victory vs Wrexham is 29.22% with odds of 4.74 at Melbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 50.89% chance ⭐ for a win of Wrexham vs Melbourne Victory with odds of 1.63 at 22bet.

Melbourne Victory - Wrexham Prediction and Best Odds:

Melbourne Victory Wrexham Prediction Probability Odds
Wrexham wins 50.89% 1.63 at 22bet
Under 2.5 53.38% 2.43 at Betobet
Both Team To Score 40.48% 1.73 at Betway
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Wrexham 31.62% 4.5 at Ladbrokes

Melbourne Victory vs Wrexham Form

Melbourne Victory and Wrexham Last Matches

Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory Last matches
W D W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

31 May 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
1 :  0
Melbourne Victory

24 May 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
0 :  2
Melbourne Victory

17 May 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  1
Auckland FC

10 May 2025 - A-League

Western Sydney Wanderers
1 :  2
Melbourne Victory

4 May 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
1 :  1
Newcastle United Jets

25 Apr 2025 - A-League

Macarthur FC
1 :  2
Melbourne Victory
D W W L D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 May 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  1
Auckland FC

4 May 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
1 :  1
Newcastle United Jets

19 Apr 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  2
Auckland FC

29 Mar 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
5 :  3
Adelaide United

8 Mar 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
3 :  0
Central Coast Mariners

22 Feb 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
2 :  2
Melbourne City
L W W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

31 May 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
1 :  0
Melbourne Victory

24 May 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
0 :  2
Melbourne Victory

10 May 2025 - A-League

Western Sydney Wanderers
1 :  2
Melbourne Victory

25 Apr 2025 - A-League

Macarthur FC
1 :  2
Melbourne Victory

12 Apr 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
2 :  3
Melbourne Victory

15 Mar 2025 - A-League

Western Sydney Wanderers
4 :  2
Melbourne Victory
Wrexham
Wrexham Last matches
W D D W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

3 May 2025 - League One

Lincoln City
0 :  2
Wrexham

26 Apr 2025 - League One

Wrexham
3 :  0
Charlton Athletic

21 Apr 2025 - League One

Blackpool
1 :  2
Wrexham

18 Apr 2025 - League One

Wrexham
1 :  1
Bristol Rovers

12 Apr 2025 - League One

Wigan
0 :  0
Wrexham

5 Apr 2025 - League One

Wrexham
3 :  0
Burton Albion
D W W W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 Apr 2025 - League One

Wrexham
3 :  0
Charlton Athletic

18 Apr 2025 - League One

Wrexham
1 :  1
Bristol Rovers

5 Apr 2025 - League One

Wrexham
3 :  0
Burton Albion

22 Mar 2025 - League One

Wrexham
1 :  0
Stockport County FC

8 Mar 2025 - League One

Wrexham
1 :  0
Rotherham

1 Mar 2025 - League One

Wrexham
0 :  0
Bolton
W W D D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

3 May 2025 - League One

Lincoln City
0 :  2
Wrexham

21 Apr 2025 - League One

Blackpool
1 :  2
Wrexham

12 Apr 2025 - League One

Wigan
0 :  0
Wrexham

1 Apr 2025 - League One

Cambridge United
2 :  2
Wrexham

29 Mar 2025 - League One

Exeter City
0 :  2
Wrexham

15 Mar 2025 - League One

Wycombe Wanderers
0 :  1
Wrexham
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Melbourne Victory - Wrexham Key Points

  1. Five of Victory’s last seven games in the previous season ended with under 2.5 goals.
  2. Melbourne Victory failed to score in two of their last three matches in May in the A-League playoffs.
  3. Wrexham kept a clean sheet in four of their last six matches in May to finish their League One season.
  4. In three of Wrexham’s last five games, there have been fewer than three goals.
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Our Melbourne Victory vs Wrexham Prediction

Attention continues to be the middle name for Wrexham AFC, who are basking in the glory of successive promotions. While they continue to push for Premier League promotion back home, their tour to Australia has also seen a lot of star power. Their action on the pitch could suffer as they will have to adjust to the conditions quickly. The lack of preparation could play a part, as even Melbourne Victory are set to play their first friendly match of the off-season.

This match could be a low-scorer, and our Melbourne Victory vs Wrexham prediction is under 2.5.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Melbourne Victory Wrexham

Melbourne Victory vs Wrexham Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Melbourne Victory wins 3.2 5 +56.3%
Draw 3.6 3.75 +4.2%
Wrexham wins 1.91 1.62 -15.2%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Wrexham is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 15.2% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 52.4% and is now 61.7% (9.4%)

Use £/€50 free bets for the Melbourne Victory vs. Wrexham game!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Melbourne Victory vs Wrexham Prediction
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