Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League

Australia - A-League

Melbourne Victory
14/02/2025 03:35
Wellington Phoenix

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions

Matchday 19 in the A-League will see Melbourne Victory playing host to Wellington Phoenix at AAMI Park on Friday. The Big V are sixth in the league standings while the Nix are 10th. Let’s get into the match prediction.

Melbourne Victory have struggled for consistency this season and are unlikely to have much say in the title race unless they can start finding results in the second half of the season. 

The Big V suffered their fifth defeat of the season last weekend when they were beaten comprehensively by the Newcastle Jets on the road. That was also their third loss in four. 

However, the hosts have been good at home, taking 14 points from a possible 21 at AAMI Park this season, while only conceding a single defeat (W4 D2 L1). 

Meanwhile, Wellington Phoenix have experienced a major drop-off from their second-place finish last season, as they are currently on just 19 points after 10 games. 

However, there has been a marginal improvement from the Nix of late. A 1-1 draw to Brisbane last time out extended their unbeaten run to four games (W1 D3 L0), which is a notable uptick after losing five of their preceding six matches.

The visitors have played six away games this term and have split the results three wins and three defeats.

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Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Form

Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix's standings in the A-League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5 Melbourne Victory
43 26 12 7 7 +8
11 Wellington Phoenix
24 26 6 6 14 -16

Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix Last Matches

Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory Last matches
D L L W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

8 Feb 2025 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
3 :  0
Melbourne Victory

1 Feb 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
0 :  2
Melbourne Victory

24 Jan 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
2 :  0
Sydney

18 Jan 2025 - A-League

Adelaide United
3 :  2
Melbourne Victory

10 Jan 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
3 :  4
Western United

4 Jan 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
2 :  2
Western Sydney Wanderers
W W D D L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

24 Jan 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
2 :  0
Sydney

10 Jan 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
3 :  4
Western United

4 Jan 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
2 :  2
Western Sydney Wanderers

21 Dec 2024 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
1 :  1
Melbourne City

8 Dec 2024 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
2 :  0
Perth Glory

9 Nov 2024 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
2 :  0
Brisbane Roar
W L D L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

8 Feb 2025 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
3 :  0
Melbourne Victory

1 Feb 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
0 :  2
Melbourne Victory

18 Jan 2025 - A-League

Adelaide United
3 :  2
Melbourne Victory

31 Dec 2024 - A-League

Auckland FC
0 :  0
Melbourne Victory

28 Dec 2024 - A-League

Sydney
3 :  0
Melbourne Victory

1 Dec 2024 - A-League

Western United
1 :  3
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
Wellington Phoenix Last matches
L L D W D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

5 Feb 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
1 :  1
Brisbane Roar

24 Jan 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
0 :  0
Central Coast Mariners

20 Jan 2025 - A-League

Macarthur FC
1 :  2
Wellington Phoenix

15 Jan 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
0 :  0
Sydney

10 Jan 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
1 :  2
Adelaide United

3 Jan 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
2 :  0
Wellington Phoenix
L W L D D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Feb 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
1 :  1
Brisbane Roar

24 Jan 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
0 :  0
Central Coast Mariners

15 Jan 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
0 :  0
Sydney

10 Jan 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
1 :  2
Adelaide United

27 Dec 2024 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
2 :  1
Newcastle United Jets

13 Dec 2024 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
1 :  2
Macarthur FC
W W L L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

20 Jan 2025 - A-League

Macarthur FC
1 :  2
Wellington Phoenix

3 Jan 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
2 :  0
Wellington Phoenix

22 Dec 2024 - A-League

Western Sydney Wanderers
4 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

6 Dec 2024 - A-League

Auckland FC
2 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

10 Nov 2024 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
0 :  3
Wellington Phoenix

26 Oct 2024 - A-League

Perth Glory
0 :  2
Wellington Phoenix

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Melbourne Victory

25 %

Draw

25 %

Wellington Phoenix

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.25
Total goals
25%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored
0.75
Goals conceded
25%
Over 2.5
75%
Under 2.5

23 Nov 2024 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
1 :  0
Melbourne Victory

18 May 2024 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
1 :  2
Melbourne Victory

12 May 2024 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  0
Wellington Phoenix

12 Apr 2024 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
1 :  0
Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory against Wellington Phoenix Lineups: Starting 11

Melbourne Victory

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
M. Langerak
22
J. Rawlins
5
B. Hamill
21
R. Miranda
3
A. Traore
14
J. Valadon
6
R. Teague
17
N. Velupillay
8
Z. Machach
27
R. Piscopo
9
N. Vergos
7
K. Barbarouses
9
H. Ishige
8
P. Retre
27
M. Sheridan
3
C. Piper
19
S. Sutton
18
L. Kelly-Heald
4
S. Wootton
15
I. Hughes
6
T. Payne
18
A. Kelly-Heald

Formation : 5 - 4 - 1

Wellington Phoenix

Substitutes

Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory
Goalkeeper

J. Duncan

Defender

L. Jackson

Midfielder

F. Monge

C. Santos Rodrigus

N. Velupillay 46'

Forward

D. Arzani

R. Piscopo 66'

K. Bos

A. Traore 75'

B. Fornaroli

N. Vergos 75'

Wellington Phoenix
Wellington Phoenix
Goalkeeper

J. Oluwayemi

Defender

J. Smith

Midfielder

K. Nagasawa

H. Ishige 68'

F. Conchie

L. Brooke-Smith

C. Piper 77'

A. Rufer

P. Retre 68'

Forward

N. Walker

L. Kelly-Heald 68'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Melbourne Victory
CD Huachipato Wellington Phoenix
Top Goalscorer
Greece N. Vergos (7 Goals) , 
Australia N. Velupillay (7 Goals) , 
France Z. Machach (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
New Zeland K. Barbarouses (10 Goals)
Best assists
France Z. Machach (6 Assists) , 
Australia D. Arzani (6 Assists) , 
Australia J. Valadon (6 Assists)
Best assists
Japan H. Ishige (8 Assists)

Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix Key Points

  1. Four of Melbourne Victory’s last six league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
  2. Melbourne Victory scored two or more goals in six of their seven home games this season.
  3. Four of Wellington Phoenix’s last five away league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
  4. Wellington Phoenix conceded two or more goals in three of their last four away games.
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Our Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction

Both of these sides have experienced a fall from grace this season, dropping from the top three into mid-table, while struggling to string together a consistent run of results. 

However, Melbourne Victory have been good at home, particularly in attack where they've only failed to score two or more goals in one match so far. Our Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix prediction is over 2.5.

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction