Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle United Jets Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
Australia - A-League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions
The penultimate Matchday in the A-League kicks off with Melbourne Victory taking on the Newcastle Jets at AAMI Park on Friday. The Big V are in fifth place, while the Jets lead the league standings. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Melbourne Victory will guarantee their spot in this season’s Finals series with a win here. They enter this match following a hard-fought 2-2 draw on the road against Auckland FC last weekend.
The Big V have been solid during the run-in, losing only one of their last nine league games (W4 D4). They scored two or more goals in six matches during this period but failed to keep a single clean sheet.
The hosts have the best home record in the top flight this season with 21 points earned in 12 matches, and they are unbeaten in their last three against this opponent at this venue (W2 D1).
Meanwhile, the Newcastle Jets can be crowned Premiers this weekend if they take at least a point from this match and Auckland loses their fixture against the Mariners.
However, the Jets have been stuttering toward the finish line. They have only won one of their last four league games following a 1-1 draw at home to Adelaide United last week.
Still, the visitors have the best away record in the division this term with 25 points taken from their 12 outings. They are also the highest-scoring team in the A-League this season.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Melbourne Victory v Newcastle United Jets Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.99 | 4.1 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.13 | 3.98 | 3.01 |
|
|
2.02 | 4.02 | 3.24 |
|
|
2.01 | 4.1 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.06 | 3.95 | 2.96 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Melbourne Victory and Newcastle United Jets?
Our prediction for the Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle United Jets match is: BTTS & over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/04/2026 between Melbourne Victory and Newcastle United Jets in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.84% for a win of Melbourne Victory against Newcastle United Jets with odds of 2.13 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle United Jets is 28.84% with odds of 4.2 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.32% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle United Jets vs Melbourne Victory with odds of 3.3 at LSbet.
Melbourne Victory - Newcastle United Jets Prediction and Best Odds:
| Melbourne Victory Newcastle United Jets Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United Jets wins | 38.32% | 3.3 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.13% | |
| Both Team To Score | 78.75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Newcastle United Jets | 16.34% | 9 at LSbet |
Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle United Jets Form
Melbourne Victory and Newcastle United Jets's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
48 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | +16 |
|
4
|
40 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +11 |
Melbourne Victory and Newcastle United Jets Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - A-League
5 Apr 2026 - A-League
21 Mar 2026 - A-League
15 Mar 2026 - A-League
7 Mar 2026 - A-League
27 Feb 2026 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - A-League
21 Mar 2026 - A-League
15 Mar 2026 - A-League
27 Feb 2026 - A-League
14 Feb 2026 - A-League
26 Jan 2026 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - A-League
7 Mar 2026 - A-League
21 Feb 2026 - A-League
6 Feb 2026 - A-League
1 Feb 2026 - A-League
17 Jan 2026 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - A-League
2 Apr 2026 - A-League
22 Mar 2026 - A-League
14 Mar 2026 - A-League
7 Mar 2026 - A-League
28 Feb 2026 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - A-League
14 Mar 2026 - A-League
7 Mar 2026 - A-League
22 Feb 2026 - A-League
31 Jan 2026 - A-League
23 Jan 2026 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Apr 2026 - A-League
22 Mar 2026 - A-League
28 Feb 2026 - A-League
13 Feb 2026 - A-League
8 Feb 2026 - A-League
17 Jan 2026 - A-League
Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle United Jets Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
40 %
60 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Oct 2025 - A-League
4 May 2025 - A-League
8 Feb 2025 - A-League
3 Feb 2024 - A-League
11 Feb 2023 - A-League
Melbourne Victory against Newcastle United Jets Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
J. Duncan
DefenderB. Hamill
MidfielderC. Santos Rodrigus
M. Grimaldi
L. D'Arrigo
R. Piscopo
N. Vergos
A. Nassiep
DefenderM. Cooper
MidfielderK. Mizunuma
L. Dean Scicluna
A. Nunes
B. Gibson
X. Bertoncello
Most goals and assists
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle United Jets
N. Vergos
(7 Goals)
E. Adams
(10 Goals)
J. Mata
(12 Assists)
D. Wilmering
(9 Assists)
Melbourne Victory - Newcastle United Jets Key Points
- Eight of Melbourne Victory’s last 10 games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Melbourne Victory have scored two or more goals in six of their last 10 home games.
- Eight of Newcastle Jets’ last 10 games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Newcastle Jets are averaging 2.04 goals per game this season.
- Both teams scored in six of the last seven matches between these sides in all competitions.
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Our Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle United Jets Prediction
This is a crucial match for both these teams, as three points from the hosts will guarantee their spot in the Finals series, while a victory for the visitors could see them crowned Premiers by the end of the weekend.
As a result, we’re expecting both teams to go all out for the win here. Matches between these two sides have been high-scoring affairs in recent seasons, and we’re expecting that to be the case in this one as well. Our Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets prediction is BTTS & over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Melbourne Victory Newcastle United Jets
| Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle United Jets | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory wins | 1.94 | 2.13 | +9.8% |
| Draw | 4.12 | 4.2 | +1.9% |
| Newcastle United Jets wins | 3.36 | 3.3 | -1.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Newcastle United Jets is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 29.8% and is now 30.3% (0.5%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
