Australia - A-League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions
We’re off to AAMI Park for the first Melbourne Derby of the season - it’s Melbourne Victory taking on Melbourne City on Saturday. The Big V are seventh in the league standings, while the City Boys are third. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Melbourne Victory have made a mixed start to the season, having taken four points from their first three games, which were split, one win, one draw and one loss.
The Big V got their first win of the season last week, beating basement club Perth Glory 2-0. Summer signing Keegan Jelacic has made a bright start for his new employers, netting in each of his last two appearances.
The hosts went eight games unbeaten against this opponent between February 2024 and 2025, but they lost 1-0 to their cross-town rivals here in the Playoffs finals in May.
Meanwhile, after clinching the title last season, Melbourne City have made a positive start to the new campaign, still unbeaten after three games with five points to date (W1 D2).
City notched up their second win in the AFC Champions League in midweek, beating Machida 2-1 on the road. They have now scored two or more goals in three of their last four matches.
Notably, the last match between these sides was the first time that only one team scored in their last six encounters.
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The Best Betting Odds for Melbourne Victory v Melbourne City Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.75 | 3.6 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.2 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.25 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.25 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.4 | 2.32 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Melbourne Victory and Melbourne City?
Our prediction for the Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/11/2025 between Melbourne Victory and Melbourne City in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.85% for a win of Melbourne Victory against Melbourne City with odds of 2.9 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City is 31.43% with odds of 3.6 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.71% chance ⭐ for a win of Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory with odds of 2.4 at Betway.
Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Melbourne Victory Melbourne City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Melbourne City wins | 41.71% | 2.4 at Betway |
| Under 2.5 | 59.38% | 1.93 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 41.25% | 1.73 at Unibet |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Melbourne City | 22.37% | 6.25 at Unibet |
Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City Form
Melbourne Victory and Melbourne City's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
|
9
|
4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 |
Melbourne Victory and Melbourne City Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Oct 2025 - A-League
24 Oct 2025 - A-League
18 Oct 2025 - A-League
29 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 May 2025 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - A-League
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - A-League
4 May 2025 - A-League
19 Apr 2025 - A-League
29 Mar 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Oct 2025 - A-League
24 Oct 2025 - A-League
29 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup
31 May 2025 - A-League
24 May 2025 - A-League
10 May 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Nov 2025 - AFC Champions League
31 Oct 2025 - A-League
25 Oct 2025 - A-League
21 Oct 2025 - AFC Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - A-League
1 Oct 2025 - AFC Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - A-League
21 Oct 2025 - AFC Champions League
16 Sept 2025 - AFC Champions League
31 May 2025 - A-League
24 May 2025 - A-League
3 May 2025 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Nov 2025 - AFC Champions League
31 Oct 2025 - A-League
18 Oct 2025 - A-League
1 Oct 2025 - AFC Champions League
30 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup
16 May 2025 - A-League
Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 May 2025 - A-League
22 Feb 2025 - A-League
21 Dec 2024 - A-League
26 Oct 2024 - A-League
5 May 2024 - A-League
6 Apr 2024 - A-League
Melbourne Victory against Melbourne City Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
K. Jelacic
(2 Goals)
M. Caputo
(5 Goals)
M. Grimaldi
(2 Assists)
T. Kanamori
(2 Assists)
, 
A. Kuen
(2 Assists)
Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City Key Points
- Four of Melbourne Victory’s last six matches have ended with both teams scoring.
- Melbourne Victory have only kept one clean sheet in their last six regular-season home games.
- Melbourne City have scored two or more goals in three of their last four matches.
- Both teams scored in five of the last six matches between these sides.
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Our Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City Prediction
Melbourne Victory will be aching to get their revenge for their Playoff Finals disappointment this week, and they will enter this match with confidence after a solid outing against Perth Glory last week.
Melbourne City have made the better start to the season, but fatigue could be a factor here, as they were in AFC Champions League action in Japan in midweek. We feel this is going to be a very close contest. Our Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Melbourne Victory Melbourne City
| Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory wins | 3.2 | 2.75 | -14.1% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.6 | +5.9% |
| Melbourne City wins | 2.15 | 2.3 | +7.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Melbourne City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 46.5% and is now 43.5% (-3.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Melbourne Victory vs. Melbourne City game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Melbourne Victory and Melbourne City? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's A-League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
