Melbourne Victory vs Macarthur FC Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
Australia - A-League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions
Melbourne Victory will play host to Macarthur at AAMI Park on Matchday 21 in the A-League this Sunday. The Big V are fifth in the league standings, while the Bulls are seventh after 20 games. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Melbourne Victory were left gutted after squandering a 2-0 lead against Sydney FC and had to settle for a 2-2 draw last week, a result that saw them miss the chance to move to fourth in the table.
Still, the Big V are unbeaten in their last five games (W2 D3). Former Man United midfielder Juan Mata has now recorded six direct goal contributions in his last four league matches.
The hosts are unbeaten in their last three home league games and have earned 15 points in nine matches here this term (W4 D3 L2). They’ve also conceded the second-fewest home goals in the division (9).
Meanwhile, MD20 proved to be another disappointment for Macarthur, as a 3-1 loss to Central Coast Mariners at home saw them drop a spot in the table, now down to seventh place.
That result marked the Bulls' third straight league defeat and seventh match without victory in all competitions (D3 L4). They have also conceded two or more goals in five of their last six matches.
The visitors have split their nine away games this season, W3 D3 L3, but they have lost three of their last four league visits to this venue.
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Melbourne Victory v Macarthur FC Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.79 | 4 | 3.95 |
|
|
1.78 | 4.06 | 4.04 |
|
|
1.78 | 4.06 | 4.04 |
|
|
1.71 | 4.1 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.76 | 3.95 | 3.95 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Melbourne Victory and Macarthur FC?
Our prediction for the Melbourne Victory vs Macarthur FC match is: Melbourne Victory wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/03/2026 between Melbourne Victory and Macarthur FC in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.27% for a win of Melbourne Victory against Macarthur FC with odds of 1.85 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Melbourne Victory vs Macarthur FC is 30.2% with odds of 4.1 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.53% chance ⭐ for a win of Macarthur FC vs Melbourne Victory with odds of 4.1 at Bet365.
Melbourne Victory - Macarthur FC Prediction and Best Odds:
| Melbourne Victory Macarthur FC Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory wins | 46.27% | 1.85 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 53.81% | 4 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 59.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Melbourne Victory | 18.62% | 5.25 at LSbet |
Melbourne Victory vs Macarthur FC Form
Melbourne Victory and Macarthur FC's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
40 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +11 |
|
7
|
34 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | -7 |
Melbourne Victory and Macarthur FC Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - A-League
27 Feb 2026 - A-League
21 Feb 2026 - A-League
14 Feb 2026 - A-League
6 Feb 2026 - A-League
1 Feb 2026 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Feb 2026 - A-League
14 Feb 2026 - A-League
26 Jan 2026 - A-League
10 Jan 2026 - A-League
2 Jan 2026 - A-League
29 Dec 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - A-League
21 Feb 2026 - A-League
6 Feb 2026 - A-League
1 Feb 2026 - A-League
17 Jan 2026 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2026 - A-League
28 Feb 2026 - A-League
22 Feb 2026 - A-League
19 Feb 2026 - AFC Cup, Group A
12 Feb 2026 - AFC Cup, Group A
6 Feb 2026 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2026 - A-League
28 Feb 2026 - A-League
19 Feb 2026 - AFC Cup, Group A
6 Feb 2026 - A-League
24 Jan 2026 - A-League
10 Jan 2026 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - A-League
12 Feb 2026 - AFC Cup, Group A
30 Jan 2026 - A-League
17 Jan 2026 - A-League
1 Jan 2026 - A-League
26 Dec 2025 - A-League
Melbourne Victory vs Macarthur FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
20 %
40 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Dec 2025 - A-League
25 Apr 2025 - A-League
3 Nov 2024 - A-League
29 Sept 2024 - FFA Cup
10 Feb 2024 - A-League
Melbourne Victory against Macarthur FC Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Duncan
DefenderL. Jackson
A. Traore
X. Stella
C. Santos Rodrigus
M. Grimaldi
N. Vergos
J. Lakkis
DefenderW. McKay
M. Jurman
MidfielderF. Deli
C. Ikonomidis
H. Sawyer
H. Oliveira
Most goals and assists
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur FC
N. Vergos
(7 Goals)
H. Sawyer
(6 Goals)
J. Mata
(12 Assists)
C. Talbot
(6 Assists)
Melbourne Victory - Macarthur FC Key Points
- Melbourne Victory are unbeaten in their last five league games.
- Melbourne Victory have conceded the second-fewest home goals in the division this season.
- Melbourne Victory have won three of their last four home league games against this opponent.
- Macarthur are winless in their last seven league matches.
- Macarthur have conceded two or more goals in five of their last six matches.
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Our Melbourne Victory vs Macarthur FC Prediction
After a very impressive start to the season, things have gone pear-shaped for Macarthur since the start of this year, as they are now on a seven-game winless run and have lost their last three ahead of this match.
Melbourne Victory dropped points in their last two games, but those were against top-five opposition in Adelaide and Sydney. The Big V have won three of their last four home games against the Bulls, and we feel they will take all three points from this one as well. Our Melbourne Victory vs Macarthur prediction is Melbourne Victory wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Melbourne Victory Macarthur FC
| Melbourne Victory vs Macarthur FC | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory wins | 1.88 | 1.85 | -1.6% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 4.1 | +5.1% |
| Macarthur FC wins | 3.8 | 4.1 | +7.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Melbourne Victory is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 53.2% and is now 54.1% (0.9%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Melbourne Victory vs. Macarthur FC game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Melbourne Victory and Macarthur FC when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on A-League!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
