Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
Australia - A-League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions
AAMI Park sets the stage for the opening fixture of Matchday 19 in the A-League, when Melbourne Victory take on Adelaide United. The Big V are fifth in the league standings, while the Reds are one above in fourth. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Melbourne Victory will come into this weekend’s match feeling good about themselves, having come out on top in the Melbourne Derby 3-1 last week - their third league game unbeaten (W2 D1).
Former Manchester United midfielder Juan Mata played a starring role for the Big V, notching up two goals and an assist. Clarismario came off the bench in the final 10 minutes and got on the scoresheet as well.
The hosts have earned 14 points from eight home games this season (W4 D2 L2), but have won their last four at this venue against this opponent across all competitions.
Meanwhile, Adelaide United maintained their top-four standing on MD18 when they delivered a commanding performance against Perth Glory, scoring four unanswered goals on their home patch.
The Reds have now scored two or more goals in six of their last seven league matches, taking their tally for the season to 32, which is the second-most in the division behind high-flying Newcastle.
The visitors started the season with four consecutive away defeats but are now unbeaten in their last four on the road, winning three and drawing one.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Melbourne Victory v Adelaide United Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.6 | 4.5 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.62 | 4.52 | 4.66 |
|
|
1.59 | 4.56 | 4.88 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.5 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.59 | 4.4 | 4.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Melbourne Victory and Adelaide United?
Our prediction for the Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/02/2026 between Melbourne Victory and Adelaide United in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.65% for a win of Melbourne Victory against Adelaide United with odds of 1.62 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United is 15.95% with odds of 4.56 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.4% chance ⭐ for a win of Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory with odds of 4.9 at LSbet.
Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United Prediction and Best Odds:
| Melbourne Victory Adelaide United Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory wins | 52.65% | 1.62 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73.16% | |
| Both Team To Score | 74.58% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Melbourne Victory/Melbourne Victory | 24.35% | 2.4 at Bet365 |
Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Form
Melbourne Victory and Adelaide United's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
43 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | +10 |
|
4
|
40 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +11 |
Melbourne Victory and Adelaide United Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - A-League
14 Feb 2026 - A-League
6 Feb 2026 - A-League
1 Feb 2026 - A-League
26 Jan 2026 - A-League
17 Jan 2026 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - A-League
26 Jan 2026 - A-League
10 Jan 2026 - A-League
2 Jan 2026 - A-League
29 Dec 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - A-League
6 Feb 2026 - A-League
1 Feb 2026 - A-League
17 Jan 2026 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
5 Dec 2025 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Feb 2026 - A-League
14 Feb 2026 - A-League
8 Feb 2026 - A-League
30 Jan 2026 - A-League
24 Jan 2026 - A-League
17 Jan 2026 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Feb 2026 - A-League
8 Feb 2026 - A-League
30 Jan 2026 - A-League
17 Jan 2026 - A-League
4 Jan 2026 - A-League
27 Dec 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - A-League
24 Jan 2026 - A-League
10 Jan 2026 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
28 Nov 2025 - A-League
Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Jan 2026 - A-League
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
29 Mar 2025 - A-League
18 Jan 2025 - A-League
21 Sept 2024 - FFA Cup
9 Mar 2024 - A-League
Melbourne Victory against Adelaide United Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
J. Duncan
DefenderJ. Inserra
MidfielderX. Stella
C. Santos Rodrigus
M. Grimaldi
N. Vergos
R. Piscopo
E. Cox
DefenderP. Madanha
S. Phillis
MidfielderL. Duzel
B. Burkitt
J. Garuccio
B. Folami
Most goals and assists
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
N. Vergos
(7 Goals)
L. Jovanovic
(11 Goals)
J. Mata
(12 Assists)
Y. Dukuly
(7 Assists)
Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United Key Points
- Six of Melbourne Victory’s last nine league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Melbourne Victory have scored two or more goals in four of their last six home games.
- Adelaide United are the second-highest scoring team in the league this season.
- Seven of Adelaide United’s eight away games this season have ended with both teams scoring.
- Both teams have scored in each of the last four games between these sides.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Prediction
Melbourne Victory will be in high spirits coming into this match after beating their cross-town rivals here last week. They are the favourites in this fixture but have now failed to keep a clean sheet in their last four matches.
Adelaide United took their tally to 32 goals for the season after smashing four past Perth Glory last week. Both these sides are on a nice run of form at present, and we feel both will get on the scoresheet in this one. Our Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Melbourne Victory Adelaide United
| Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory wins | 1.84 | 1.62 | -12.0% |
| Draw | 4.12 | 4.56 | +10.7% |
| Adelaide United wins | 3.74 | 4.9 | +31.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Melbourne Victory is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 12.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.3% and is now 61.7% (7.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
