Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
Australia - A-League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in A-League Predictions
Basement club Melbourne Victory can get to one point adrift of their visitors Adelaide United as the sides meet on matchday eight of the 2025-26 A-League. This match on Saturday (local time) in Melbourne between the 12th-placed ‘Dark Blues’ and the sixth-placed ‘Reds’ comes with our prediction of a win for the visitors.
With five points (W1, D2, L4), the hosts are four points outside the top six. Adelaide have nine points (W3, L4) and are three points adrift of fourth-placed Melbourne City.
Victory drew 0-0 away at Macarthur FC last weekend to halt a run of three consecutive defeats. The downtrend is largely attribute to their inferior scoring abilities, as they have scored only four goals this season.
That included failing to score in both home league matches this season (D1, L1), although they kept their visitors quiet by conceding only two strikes in this sequence.
Adelaide lost 1-0 at home to the Roar last weekend. That was their second loss in a row and four from the last six league games. In a clear contrast to their home team, Adelaide have scored 11 goals, which is the joint-high among teams that scored the most.
One big concern for the visitors who have lost all three away league matches, each by a 2-1 result.
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Melbourne Victory v Adelaide United Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.28 | 3.75 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.28 | 3.94 | 2.77 |
|
|
2.29 | 3.98 | 2.74 |
|
|
2.2 | 4 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.24 | 3.85 | 2.7 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Melbourne Victory and Adelaide United?
Our prediction for the Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United match is: Adelaide United wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/12/2025 between Melbourne Victory and Adelaide United in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.59% for a win of Melbourne Victory against Adelaide United with odds of 2.3 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United is 16.53% with odds of 4 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.88% chance ⭐ for a win of Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory with odds of 2.85 at LSbet.
Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United Prediction and Best Odds:
| Melbourne Victory Adelaide United Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory wins | 42.59% | 2.3 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.05% | 1.58 at 888Starz |
| Both Team To Score: No | 51.04% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Melbourne Victory | 22.1% | 6.25 at LSbet |
Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Form
Melbourne Victory and Adelaide United's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
43 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | +10 |
|
4
|
40 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +11 |
Melbourne Victory and Adelaide United Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Dec 2025 - A-League
28 Nov 2025 - A-League
22 Nov 2025 - A-League
8 Nov 2025 - A-League
31 Oct 2025 - A-League
24 Oct 2025 - A-League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Nov 2025 - A-League
18 Oct 2025 - A-League
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - A-League
4 May 2025 - A-League
19 Apr 2025 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Dec 2025 - A-League
28 Nov 2025 - A-League
22 Nov 2025 - A-League
31 Oct 2025 - A-League
24 Oct 2025 - A-League
29 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - A-League
28 Nov 2025 - A-League
21 Nov 2025 - A-League
7 Nov 2025 - A-League
1 Nov 2025 - A-League
27 Oct 2025 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - A-League
21 Nov 2025 - A-League
7 Nov 2025 - A-League
17 Oct 2025 - A-League
18 Apr 2025 - A-League
5 Apr 2025 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Nov 2025 - A-League
1 Nov 2025 - A-League
27 Oct 2025 - A-League
5 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup
9 May 2025 - A-League
Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
0 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Mar 2025 - A-League
18 Jan 2025 - A-League
21 Sept 2024 - FFA Cup
9 Mar 2024 - A-League
Melbourne Victory against Adelaide United Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
J. Warshawsky
DefenderJ. Inserra
L. Jackson
O. Dragicevic
K. Jelacic
M. Grimaldi
J. Reec
E. Cox
DefenderP. Madanha
J. Barnett
J. Yull
R. White
A. de Moraes
B. Folami
Most goals and assists
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
N. Vergos
(7 Goals)
L. Jovanovic
(11 Goals)
J. Mata
(12 Assists)
Y. Dukuly
(7 Assists)
Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United Key Points
- Melbourne lost three of their four previous league games, drawing the other.
- In a league-high five of their seven league games, Victory failed to score a goal.
- Melbourne failed to score in their last four matches in a row.
- Adelaide won two of their last four league matches.
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Our Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Prediction
Melbourne Victory are stuck at the basement of the points tally and are only three points outside the top seven, but their scoring record doesn’t inspire confidence. They scored a league-low four goals and have failed to score in five of their seven matches this season. Adelaide haven’t had such problems and have won two of their last four league fixtures. Incidentally, the visitors are looking to improve their away form, and this could be the right game.
Adelaide could edge out a goal-shy Victory, and our Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United prediction is Adelaide United wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Melbourne Victory Adelaide United
| Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory wins | 2.47 | 2.3 | -6.9% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 4 | +12.7% |
| Adelaide United wins | 2.43 | 2.85 | +17.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Melbourne Victory is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.5% and is now 43.5% (3.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
