Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
Australia - A-League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions
On Sunday, we head to AAMI Park, where Melbourne City will be playing host to Wellington Phoenix in the A-League. The City Boys are sixth in the league standings, while the Nix are in eighth place after 23 games. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Melbourne City kept their hopes of featuring in the Finals Series alive last week by beating Central Coast Mariners 2-1 at home. However, they are not out the woods yet, as they are still only two points above eighth.
Since bowing out of the AFC Champions League last month, the City Boys have gone four games unbeaten in the league (W3 D1), which is now their best run of the season to date.
The hosts have won their last two home games and scored two or more goals in each match. They have also won each of their last four against this opponent at this venue in all competitions.
Meanwhile, Wellington Phoenix remained within striking distance of the top six in the league standings last weekend when they defeated Melbourne Victory 1-0 at this venue.
The Nix are now riding a three-match win streak and are unbeaten in four, a massive improvement after failing to win any of their preceding six top-flight matches D2 L4).
The visitors are also unbeaten in their last four away games and have scored in 11 consecutive matches on the road ahead of this one.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Melbourne City v Wellington Phoenix Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.66 | 3.95 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.9 | 4.16 |
|
|
1.67 | 4.04 | 4.82 |
|
|
1.68 | 4.1 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.76 | 3.85 | 4.1 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix?
Our prediction for the Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/04/2026 between Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.57% for a win of Melbourne City against Wellington Phoenix with odds of 1.82 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix is 30.02% with odds of 4.2 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.41% chance ⭐ for a win of Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City with odds of 4.9 at Stake.
Melbourne City - Wellington Phoenix Prediction and Best Odds:
| Melbourne City Wellington Phoenix Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Melbourne City wins | 44.57% | 1.82 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.45% | 1.63 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 57.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Melbourne City | 17.14% | 5 at Bet365 |
Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix Form
Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
38 | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
|
8
|
33 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -12 |
Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Apr 2026 - A-League
4 Apr 2026 - A-League
22 Mar 2026 - A-League
17 Mar 2026 - A-League
10 Mar 2026 - AFC Champions League
3 Mar 2026 - AFC Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Apr 2026 - A-League
4 Apr 2026 - A-League
3 Mar 2026 - AFC Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - A-League
18 Feb 2026 - AFC Champions League
16 Jan 2026 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - A-League
17 Mar 2026 - A-League
10 Mar 2026 - AFC Champions League
27 Feb 2026 - A-League
11 Feb 2026 - AFC Champions League
7 Feb 2026 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - A-League
21 Mar 2026 - A-League
13 Mar 2026 - A-League
6 Mar 2026 - A-League
28 Feb 2026 - A-League
20 Feb 2026 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Mar 2026 - A-League
28 Feb 2026 - A-League
20 Feb 2026 - A-League
6 Feb 2026 - A-League
30 Jan 2026 - A-League
10 Jan 2026 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - A-League
21 Mar 2026 - A-League
6 Mar 2026 - A-League
13 Feb 2026 - A-League
23 Jan 2026 - A-League
18 Jan 2026 - A-League
Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
80 %
20 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Jan 2026 - A-League
28 Feb 2025 - A-League
3 Jan 2025 - A-League
9 Mar 2024 - A-League
10 Apr 2023 - A-League
Melbourne City against Wellington Phoenix Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
J. Nieuwenhuizen
DefenderH. Delbridge
H. Shillington
MidfielderM. Caputo
M. Memeti
M. Leckie
K. Rahmani
A. Kelly-Heald
DefenderM. James
L. Kelly-Heald
M. Sheridan
L. Brooke-Smith
S. Kartum
C. Armiento
Most goals and assists
Melbourne City
Wellington Phoenix
M. Caputo
(8 Goals)
E. Ifeanyi
(10 Goals)
A. Kuen
(4 Assists)
K. Nagasawa
(4 Assists)
, 
C. Piper
(4 Assists)
,
T. Payne
(4 Assists)
Melbourne City - Wellington Phoenix Key Points
- Seven of Melbourne City’s last 10 league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Melbourne City have only kept one clean sheet in their last five home league matches.
- Six of Wellington Phoenix’s last 10 league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Wellington Phoenix have scored in 11 consecutive matches on the road.
- Both teams scored in the reverse fixture back in January.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction
Since exiting the AFC Champions League, Melbourne City have experienced a notable improvement in their league results, but they have to continue winning to maintain their top-six placement to keep their hopes of defending their title alive.
Wellington Phoenix have also been in great shape of late, and their four-match unbeaten run has kept them within striking distance of qualifying for the Finals series. Given what’s at stake here, we’re expecting a very close contest. Our Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Melbourne City Wellington Phoenix
| Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne City wins | 1.57 | 1.82 | +15.9% |
| Draw | 4.1 | 4.2 | +2.4% |
| Wellington Phoenix wins | 5.8 | 4.9 | -15.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Melbourne City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 15.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 63.7% and is now 54.9% (-8.7%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Melbourne City vs. Wellington Phoenix game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on A-League!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
