Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
Australia - A-League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in A-League Predictions
Two of the A-League’s top-three defensive units will be on display as Melbourne City and Brisbane Roar square off in a rescheduled matchday 20 fixture. This match on Tuesday in Melbourne between the eighth-placed City Blues and the third-placed Orange comes with our prediction of less than 2.5 goals.
City’s 14 points from 11 matches (W3, D5, L3) will see them start this round one point above the tenth, while Brisbane’s 18 points from 11 games (W5, D3, L3) put them two points behind leaders Auckland coming into Sunday.
City had a 0-0 home draw with Sydney at the weekend in their first match of the year 2026. This result extended their wait for a win (D2, L2) and made it just one win across their last seven league games (D3, L3).
Results at home have been equally poor, as City are winless here across four league matches (D2, L2).
The Roar were silenced at home in a 3-0 loss to Wellington Phoenix last weekend. That was their second loss in three league games and made it a single win across four A-League matches (D1, L2).
Interestingly, Brisbane had a steady road record this season. They won two of their last four away league games (D1, L1) after a 2-1 win at Central Coast Mariners on 31st December.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Melbourne City v Brisbane Roar Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.85 | 3.45 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.76 | 5 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.52 | 4.48 |
|
|
1.68 | 3.75 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.71 | 3.55 | 4.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Melbourne City and Brisbane Roar?
Our prediction for the Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/01/2026 between Melbourne City and Brisbane Roar in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.74% for a win of Melbourne City against Brisbane Roar with odds of 1.85 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar is 30.62% with odds of 3.76 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.63% chance ⭐ for a win of Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City with odds of 5 at Melbet.
Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar Prediction and Best Odds:
| Melbourne City Brisbane Roar Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Melbourne City wins | 39.74% | 1.85 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 55.79% | 1.98 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 52.92% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Melbourne City | 21.56% | 4.6 at LSbet |
Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar Form
Melbourne City and Brisbane Roar's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
38 | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
|
11
|
26 | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | -9 |
Melbourne City and Brisbane Roar Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - A-League
28 Dec 2025 - A-League
23 Dec 2025 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
10 Dec 2025 - AFC Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - A-League
28 Dec 2025 - A-League
23 Dec 2025 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
25 Nov 2025 - AFC Champions League
25 Oct 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Dec 2025 - AFC Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - A-League
29 Nov 2025 - A-League
21 Nov 2025 - A-League
8 Nov 2025 - A-League
4 Nov 2025 - AFC Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - A-League
31 Dec 2025 - A-League
19 Dec 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
7 Dec 2025 - A-League
28 Nov 2025 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - A-League
28 Nov 2025 - A-League
9 Nov 2025 - A-League
31 Oct 2025 - A-League
17 Oct 2025 - A-League
26 Apr 2025 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Dec 2025 - A-League
19 Dec 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
7 Dec 2025 - A-League
22 Nov 2025 - A-League
25 Oct 2025 - A-League
Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 Oct 2025 - A-League
11 Apr 2025 - A-League
11 Jan 2025 - A-League
6 Dec 2024 - A-League
10 Feb 2024 - A-League
28 Dec 2023 - A-League
Melbourne City against Brisbane Roar Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 3 - 2
Substitutes
J. Nieuwenhuizen
DefenderB. Kutleshi
H. Shillington
MidfielderL. Wong
A. Lopane
B. Baker
ForwardA. Nabbout
M. Freke
DefenderM. Dench
M. Evagorou-Alao
J. O'Reilly
MidfielderE. Shaw
J. Vidic
N. Maieroni
Most goals and assists
Melbourne City
Brisbane Roar
M. Caputo
(8 Goals)
J. Vidic
(4 Goals)
,
S. Klein
(4 Goals)
, 
C. Long
(4 Goals)
A. Kuen
(4 Assists)
J. McGarry
(3 Assists)
Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar Key Points
- Seven of City’s last eight matches in all competition saw under 2.5 goals scored.
- In seven of their last nine league matches, City have seen fewer than three goals scored.
- Likewise, in three of their last four home league games, City have seen less than three goals scored.
- In four of their last seven league games, Brisbane have seen two or fewer goals scored.
- That’s also true in three of Brisbane’s last five away league matches.
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Our Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar Prediction
Melbourne City and Brisbane Roar are among the lowest scorers in the division, with both teams netting 11 goals in this league campaign. Only the Western Sydney Warriors have scored fewer goals (eight) after Sunday’s matches, underlining the poor goal output from these sides. On the other hand, both these teams have an impressive defensive record in the league. Only Sydney FC have conceded fewer goals than Brisbane (nine) and City (ten) ahead of this round.
This match could also end up being a low-scorer, and our Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Melbourne City Brisbane Roar
| Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne City wins | 1.78 | 1.85 | +3.9% |
| Draw | 3.45 | 3.76 | +9.0% |
| Brisbane Roar wins | 4.4 | 5 | +13.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Melbourne City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 56.2% and is now 54.1% (-2.1%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
