Melbourne City vs Adelaide United Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
Australia - A-League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions
The 2025-26 A-League regular season will conclude at AMMI Park with Melbourne City taking on Adelaide United on Sunday. The City Boys are fifth in the league standings, while the Reds are in third place. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Since exiting the AFC Champions League, Melbourne City have been one of the hottest teams in the A-League and could end the season as high as third place with a victory this weekend.
Hearts won a five-goal thriller 3-2 against Brisbane Roar last week and are now on a four-match win streak and unbeaten in six (W5 D1). They have scored two or more goals in each of their last four matches.
The hosts are also riding a three-game win streak at home and have kept clean sheets in two of those games. They are unbeaten in their last four against this opponent at this venue.
Meanwhile, Adelaide United are also ending the season impressively and could overtake Auckland FC to second in the standings if they win here and the Black Knights drop points.
The Reds defeated Macarthur 3-1 at home last week and are now unbeaten in their last nine league matches (W4 D5), dating back to February 8 against Premiers Newcastle Jets.
The visitors have earned 16 points from 14 away games (W4 D4 L4) - the fourth-best record in the league. They are unbeaten in their last eight on the road ahead of this one.
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Melbourne City v Adelaide United Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.02 | 3.75 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.14 | 3.66 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.04 | 3.66 | 3.46 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.8 | 3 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.65 | 3.05 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Melbourne City and Adelaide United?
Our prediction for the Melbourne City vs Adelaide United match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/04/2026 between Melbourne City and Adelaide United in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.2% for a win of Melbourne City against Adelaide United with odds of 2.18 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Melbourne City vs Adelaide United is 36.93% with odds of 3.8 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.87% chance ⭐ for a win of Adelaide United vs Melbourne City with odds of 3.46 at Betwinner.
Melbourne City - Adelaide United Prediction and Best Odds:
| Melbourne City Adelaide United Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 36.93% | 3.8 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 50.83% | 2.42 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score | 69.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 16.07% | 6.5 at Bet365 |
Melbourne City vs Adelaide United Form
Melbourne City and Adelaide United's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
43 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | +10 |
|
6
|
38 | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
Melbourne City and Adelaide United Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - A-League
12 Apr 2026 - A-League
7 Apr 2026 - A-League
4 Apr 2026 - A-League
22 Mar 2026 - A-League
17 Mar 2026 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - A-League
7 Apr 2026 - A-League
4 Apr 2026 - A-League
3 Mar 2026 - AFC Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - A-League
18 Feb 2026 - AFC Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - A-League
22 Mar 2026 - A-League
17 Mar 2026 - A-League
10 Mar 2026 - AFC Champions League
27 Feb 2026 - A-League
11 Feb 2026 - AFC Champions League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - A-League
11 Apr 2026 - A-League
3 Apr 2026 - A-League
20 Mar 2026 - A-League
14 Mar 2026 - A-League
6 Mar 2026 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - A-League
3 Apr 2026 - A-League
6 Mar 2026 - A-League
20 Feb 2026 - A-League
8 Feb 2026 - A-League
30 Jan 2026 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - A-League
20 Mar 2026 - A-League
14 Mar 2026 - A-League
27 Feb 2026 - A-League
14 Feb 2026 - A-League
24 Jan 2026 - A-League
Melbourne City vs Adelaide United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Nov 2025 - A-League
26 Apr 2025 - A-League
7 Feb 2025 - A-League
25 Jan 2024 - A-League
29 Oct 2023 - A-League
3 Mar 2023 - A-League
Melbourne City against Adelaide United Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Nieuwenhuizen
DefenderH. Delbridge
B. Kutleshi
L. Wong
T. Kanamori
M. Memeti
M. Leckie
E. Cox
DefenderS. Phillis
F. Talladira
MidfielderA. Ayoubi
J. Muniz
L. Jovanovic
C. Goodwin
Most goals and assists
Melbourne City
Adelaide United
M. Caputo
(8 Goals)
L. Jovanovic
(11 Goals)
A. Kuen
(4 Assists)
Y. Dukuly
(7 Assists)
Melbourne City - Adelaide United Key Points
- Melbourne City have scored two or more goals in each of their last four games.
- Three of Melbourne City’s last five home league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Each of Adelaide United’s last seven games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Adelaide United have only kept one clean sheet in their last 10 away matches.
- Both teams scored in six of the last eight games between these sides at this venue.
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Our Melbourne City vs Adelaide United Prediction
While both these sides have already locked down their spots in the Finals series, precious placement is still on the line here, and three points for either team could prove decisive in the coming weeks.
Given the above, we are expecting both teams to throw caution to the wind and go all-out for the victory here. As a result, we feel there will be a few goals in this match before the final whistle blasts. Our Melbourne City vs Adelaide United prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Melbourne City Adelaide United
| Melbourne City vs Adelaide United | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne City wins | 1.93 | 2.18 | +13.0% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 3.8 | 0% |
| Adelaide United wins | 3.7 | 3.46 | -6.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 26.3% and is now 26.3% (0.0%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Melbourne City vs. Adelaide United game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
