Mattia Bellucci vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Acapulco Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Last year saw Alejandro Davidovich Fokina reach the final of the Abierto Mexicano Telcel in Acapulco. He is the fourth seed this year and in round two of this outdoor hard court tournament, he faces unseeded Mattia Bellucci. Read our match prediction below.
The quarter-final opponent for the winner will be either eighth seed Frances Tiafoe or unseeded Aleksandar Kovacevic.
Davidovich Fokina beat unseeded Daniel Altmaier in straight sets in round one. The Spaniard is down to 18th in the live rankings as he's defending all the points he won here last year when losing to Jakub Mensik in the final.
He has won seven of his 11 matches this year with one quarter-final and a last four appearance.
This is the second match between these two players. Davidovich Fokina won the other played in round one of this tournament last year. That went to a third and final set but we believe this will only see two sets played.
Mattia Bellucci has a 5-6 record this year. Three of those wins came when making it to the semi-final of a Challenger Tour event played in Manama. The Italian had lost three matches in a row before defeating Rinky Hijikata in round one here and is 103rd in the live rankings.
We tip Davidovich-Fokina to win in straight sets.
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Mattia Bellucci v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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4.56 | 1.2 |
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4.62 | 1.2 |
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5 | 1.17 |
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4.4 | 1.18 |
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4.4 | 1.18 |
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Who will win the Mattia Bellucci vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Mattia Bellucci vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina match is: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina wins in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Mattia Bellucci vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina game on 25/02/2026 of the current ATP Acapulco Open season:
- Mattia Bellucci has a 26.13% chance to win against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 5.
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has a 73.87% probability of winning facing Mattia Bellucci ⭐ with odds of 1.2 at Melbet.
Mattia Bellucci vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Mattia Bellucci has a 26.13 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Mattia Bellucci | 26.13 % |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 73.87 % |
Mattia Bellucci vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Form
Mattia Bellucci and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
24 Feb 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open
17 Feb 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open
9 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open
19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
10 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
9 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
23 Feb 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open
13 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open
11 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open
9 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open
20 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
18 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Mattia Bellucci vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
25 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open
Mattia Bellucci - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Key Points
- Davidovich Fokina is 83 places above Bellucci in the live rankings.
- Davidovich Fokina won the only previous match between these players.
- Davidovich Fokina has made one semi-final appearance this year and also reached another quarter-final.
- Davidovich Fokina was the losing finalist in this tournament last year.
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Our Mattia Bellucci vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction
For the second successive year, these two players meet in Acapulco. Davidovich Fokina needed three sets to beat Bellucci last year on his way to the final. He comes into this tournament in much better form than Bellucci having gone deep in two events this year.
His opponent's best run this year has been on the Challenger Tour. His win over Rinky Hijikata in round one avoided a fourth successive defeat. Our Mattia Bellucci v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina prediction is Alejandro Davidovich Fokina wins in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.