Mattia Bellucci vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Acapulco Open

ATP - ATP Acapulco Open

ATP 79 Italy
Mattia Bellucci
25/02/2026 22:50
ATP 20 Spain
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Prediction :

 

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina wins in straight sets

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

Last year saw Alejandro Davidovich Fokina reach the final of the Abierto Mexicano Telcel in Acapulco. He is the fourth seed this year and in round two of this outdoor hard court tournament, he faces unseeded Mattia Bellucci. Read our match prediction below.

The quarter-final opponent for the winner will be either eighth seed Frances Tiafoe or unseeded Aleksandar Kovacevic.

Davidovich Fokina beat unseeded Daniel Altmaier in straight sets in round one. The Spaniard is down to 18th in the live rankings as he's defending all the points he won here last year when losing to Jakub Mensik in the final.

He has won seven of his 11 matches this year with one quarter-final and a last four appearance.

This is the second match between these two players. Davidovich Fokina won the other played in round one of this tournament last year. That went to a third and final set but we believe this will only see two sets played.

Mattia Bellucci has a 5-6 record this year. Three of those wins came when making it to the semi-final of a Challenger Tour event played in Manama. The Italian had lost three matches in a row before defeating Rinky Hijikata in round one here and is 103rd in the live rankings.

We tip Davidovich-Fokina to win in straight sets.

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Mattia Bellucci v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
4.56 1.2
Betwinner
4.62 1.2
Bet365
5 1.17
Roobet
4.4 1.18
BC Game
4.4 1.18
Check all Mattia Bellucci vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina odds

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Who will win the Mattia Bellucci vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Mattia Bellucci vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina match is: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina wins in straight sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Mattia Bellucci vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina game on 25/02/2026 of the current ATP Acapulco Open season:

  • Mattia Bellucci has a 26.13% chance to win against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 5.
  • Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has a 73.87% probability of winning facing Mattia Bellucci ⭐ with odds of 1.2 at Melbet.

Mattia Bellucci vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Mattia Bellucci has a 26.13 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Mattia Bellucci26.13 %
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina73.87 %

Mattia Bellucci vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Form

Mattia Bellucci and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Last Matches

Mattia Bellucci Last matches
W L L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

24 Feb 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open

Rinky Hijikata
0 :  2
Mattia Bellucci

17 Feb 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open

Miomir Kecmanovic
2 :  0
Mattia Bellucci

9 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open

Brandon Nakashima
2 :  0
Mattia Bellucci

19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Mattia Bellucci
0 :  3
Casper Ruud

10 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic

Mattia Bellucci
0 :  2
Hamad Medjedovic

9 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic

Mattia Bellucci
2 :  0
Geoffrey Blancaneaux
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Last matches
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

23 Feb 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open

Daniel Altmaier
0 :  2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

13 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open

Denis Shapovalov
2 :  1
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

11 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open

Alex Michelsen
0 :  2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

9 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open

Zachary Svajda
0 :  2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

20 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Reilly Opelka
2 :  3
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

18 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Filip Misolic
0 :  3
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Mattia Bellucci vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Mattia Bellucci

0 %

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

100 %

25 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
2 :  1
Mattia Bellucci
Mattia Bellucci vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction

Mattia Bellucci - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Key Points

  1. Davidovich Fokina is 83 places above Bellucci in the live rankings.
  2. Davidovich Fokina won the only previous match between these players.
  3. Davidovich Fokina has made one semi-final appearance this year and also reached another quarter-final.
  4. Davidovich Fokina was the losing finalist in this tournament last year.
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Our Mattia Bellucci vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction

For the second successive year, these two players meet in Acapulco. Davidovich Fokina needed three sets to beat Bellucci last year on his way to the final. He comes into this tournament in much better form than Bellucci having gone deep in two events this year.

His opponent's best run this year has been on the Challenger Tour. His win over Rinky Hijikata in round one avoided a fourth successive defeat. Our Mattia Bellucci v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina prediction is Alejandro Davidovich Fokina wins in straight sets.

Prediction :

 

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina wins in straight sets

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.