Matteo Arnaldi vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Indian Wells

ATP - ATP Indian Wells

ATP 37 Italy
Matteo Arnaldi
06/03/2025 17:40
ATP 82 USA
Aleksandar Kovacevic

Prediction :

 

Aleksandar Kovacevic wins

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Indian Wells Predictions

Aleksandar Kovacevic makes his third successive Indian Wells appearance and will take on fellow unseeded player Matteo Arnaldi in the first round. The winner of their second career meeting will then play seventh seed Andrey Rublev for a place in the third round. Below is our prediction for this match.

Matteo Arnaldi has returned to Indian Wells after his main draw debut last season. He finished in the second round then.

Arnaldi's slow start to the season could cost him in Palm Springs. The Italian has lost half of his last 10 matches. He is coming off a first-round exit in Acapulco and starts his campaign this week 36th in the live ranking.

Aleksandar Kovacevic lost to Arnaldi in their first career meeting, two seasons ago in Toronto. As he is having a stronger season than Arnaldi, Kovacevic will be confident of tying this series at 1-1.

The American has won 14 times in 20 outings thus far. This impressive form has resulted in a runner-up finish in Montpellier and a challenger title in Oeiras.

Lately, however, Kovacevic has struggled, managing just one win from his last four fixtures. The world number 94 is coming off a qualifying round exit in Acapulco.

Kovacevic has never progressed past the first round at Indian Wells and is seeking to avoid a third successive first-round loss.

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Matteo Arnaldi vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Form

Matteo Arnaldi and Aleksandar Kovacevic Last Matches

Matteo Arnaldi Last matches
W L W W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

25 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open

Alexander Zverev
2 :  1
Matteo Arnaldi

15 Feb 2025 - ATP Delray Beach Open

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
2 :  0
Matteo Arnaldi

14 Feb 2025 - ATP Delray Beach Open

Matteo Arnaldi
2 :  0
Brandon Nakashima

13 Feb 2025 - ATP Delray Beach Open

Matteo Arnaldi
2 :  1
Learner Tien

7 Feb 2025 - Dallas Open

Matteo Arnaldi
1 :  2
Jaume Munar

6 Feb 2025 - Dallas Open

Matteo Arnaldi
2 :  0
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Aleksandar Kovacevic Last matches
W W W L W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

23 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open

Aleksandar Kovacevic
1 :  2
Adam Walton

22 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open

Aleksandar Kovacevic
2 :  1
Alan Magadan

2 Feb 2025 - ATP Montpellier

Aleksandar Kovacevic
1 :  2
Felix Auger Aliassime

1 Feb 2025 - ATP Montpellier

Andrey Rublev
0 :  2
Aleksandar Kovacevic

31 Jan 2025 - ATP Montpellier

Alexander Bublik
0 :  2
Aleksandar Kovacevic

30 Jan 2025 - ATP Montpellier

Mattia Bellucci
0 :  2
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Matteo Arnaldi vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Prediction

Matteo Arnaldi - Aleksandar Kovacevic Key Points

  1. Kovacevic has won 14 times in 20 outings this season.
  2. Arnaldi has lost half of the 10 matches he has contested this season.
  3. In seven outings on hardcourts, Arnaldi has lost four times.
  4. Kovacevic has managed almost 120 victories on hardcourts in his career.
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Our Matteo Arnaldi vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Prediction

Our prediction for Matteo Arnaldi vs Aleksandar Kovacevic is that Aleksandar Kovacevic wins the match. Kovacevic has been one of the form players this season and so far has registered 14 victories from 20 outings. He, however, has been static in recent matches and could struggle here against Arnaldi.

The Italian defeated Kovacevic in their only encounter to date and will be a tough draw. He has lacked consistency this season though, and has struggled especially on hardcourts. As he is currently on a two-match losing run, Arnaldi is likely to be pegged back here by Kovacevic.

Prediction :

 

Aleksandar Kovacevic wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.