France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Marseille are set to wrap up their Ligue 1 campaign with a home match against Rennes. Starting this game in second place, Marseille are assured of a Champions League place, while Rennes will stay up. We have below a prediction for this match.
This has been a successful campaign for Marseille on many fronts. At 62 points, they’ve already surpassed last season’s tally by 12 points and could make it 15.
They are also assured of a top three finish as compared to eighth last season. The future already looks bright for Les Phoceens. They are coming from a 3-1 win against Le Havre and look to go four straight wins at home on Saturday.
As for Rennes, once again there will be no continental football, though they might match their 10th-placed finish with a win here. The visitors’ last act was a 2-0 home win against Nice, denting their European ambitions.
Rennes will also target soiling Marseille’s celebration upon returning to the Champions League. They do have a small problem, though. The visitors’ form on the road hasn’t been so encouraging.
They have lost six times in the last 10 Ligue 1 matches, and in such shape, they could struggle away to Marseille. Rennes also lost in the reverse match, falling 2-1 at home.
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The Best Betting Odds for Marseille v Rennes Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.57 | 4.33 | 5 |
|
|
1.67 | 4.33 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.62 | 4 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.5 | 5 |
|
|
1.61 | 4.2 | 4.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Marseille and Rennes?
Our prediction for the Marseille vs Rennes match is: Marseille to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2025 between Marseille and Rennes in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.01% for a win of Marseille against Rennes with odds of 1.67 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Marseille vs Rennes is 8.11% with odds of 4.6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.88% chance ⭐ for a win of Rennes vs Marseille with odds of 5.33 at 22bet.
Marseille - Rennes Prediction and Best Odds:
| Marseille Rennes Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins | 61.01% | 1.67 at Betfred |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.01% | 1.44 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 55% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Marseille/Marseille | 23.13% | 2.5 at Bet365 |
Marseille vs Rennes Form
Marseille and Rennes's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
65 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 27 |
|
12
|
41 | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 1 |
Marseille and Rennes Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
4 May 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
4 May 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
3 May 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
13 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
13 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
Marseille vs Rennes Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
21 Jan 2024 - French Cup
3 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
5 Mar 2023 - Ligue 1
20 Jan 2023 - French Cup
Marseille against Rennes Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
G. Kondogbia
A. Seidu
C. Wooh
Most goals and assists
Marseille
Rennes
M. Greenwood
(21 Goals)
A. Kalimuendo
(17 Goals)
Luis Henrique
(6 Assists)
L. Blas
(7 Assists)
Marseille - Rennes Key Points
- Marseille are unbeaten in their last four matches, winning three.
- Marseille have posted three straight wins at home in Ligue 1.
- Marseille’s last five home league games had 18 goals.
- Four of Rennes’ last five matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Rennes lost six of their last 10 away league outings.
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Our Marseille vs Rennes Prediction
Rennes have secured survival at the end of an unconvincing campaign. They travel to Marseille knowing they can either rise one place up or tumble one down. Either way, staying in Ligue 1 is a win for Les Rouges et Noirs.
They will go into this one as underdogs, having lost six of their last 10 away league games. Marseille, on the other hand had a good run at home in the league, and their matches have mostly hit three or more goals. Our prediction for Marseille v Rennes is for Marseille to win and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Marseille Rennes
| Marseille vs Rennes | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins | 1.73 | 1.57 | -9.2% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 4.33 | +13.9% |
| Rennes wins | 4 | 5 | +25.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Marseille is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 9.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.8% and is now 63.7% (5.9%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Marseille vs. Rennes game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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