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28 April 2024 - 15:00 

- Day 31

France - Ligue 1

Marseille
VS
Lens

Prediction :

Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals

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Marseille vs Lens Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

 by Ian John | in Ligue 1 Prediction

Ligue One sees an important clash at the Stade Velodrome on Sunday evening as eighth-place Marseille host sixth-place Lens. It is a game that could have significant repercussions on which team gets the sixth and final European qualifying spot next season. Marseille lie five points behind Lens after a miserable run of form which has seen them go five games without a win, three of those losses. A 2-2 draw in Toulouse ended that run of defeats but they then could only draw 2-2 at home to Nice on Wednesday night in the Derby de la Mediterranee. With just one defeat at home this season, Marseille will start as favourites, but it is their away form that has prevented them from being in the upper-reaches of the table. Just two away wins and the third-worst record on the road is not good enough for Jean-Louis Gasset’s team.

Sixth-place Lens hold a four-point lead over Rennes in seventh and Marseille are a point further back in the table. Up until a couple of games ago, Lens away form had been excellent, with three wins and a draw in their previous four. However, successive 2-1 defeats away to Lille and Metz have seen them fall to sixth. A 1-0 home win over Clermont last weekend steadied the ship after four games without a win. With this game against Marseille and another away game at Rennes to come, Franck Haise’s team may need to get something from both those games to keep their rivals for that sixth spot at bay.

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The Best Betting Odds for Marseille v Lens Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.02 19 501
Ladbrokes
2.3 3.4 3
NetBet
2.17 3.45 3.1
Check all Marseille vs Lens odds
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Who will win the Marseille vs Lens Football match?


The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Marseille and Lens of Ligue 1 on 4/28/24 :

  • There is a probability of 46.87% ⭐ for Marseille to win this match against Lens ⚽ with odds of 2.3 found at Ladbrokes.
  • Bet365 ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 19 which implies a probability of 18.75%.
  • Currently, the best odds ⭐ for Lens to win the match are about 501 at Bet365. That means a probability of 34.38%.

Marseille - Lens Prediction and Best Odds:

Marseille vs Lens prediction

Win Probability

Best Odds
Marseille  is favoured to win46.87 %2.3
Draw18.75 %19
Lens wins the game34.38 %501

Marseille vs Lens Form

Marseille and Lens's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6
Lens
Lens
49 32 14 7 11 8
9
Marseille
Marseille
44 31 11 11 9 9

Marseille and Lens Last Matches

Marseille
Marseille Last matches
L L L W D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3
BTTS
67%
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
1.83
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

24 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  2
Nice

21 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
2 :  2
Marseille

18 Apr 2024 - Europa League

Marseille
1 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

11 Apr 2024 - Europa League

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  1
Marseille

5 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

Lille Osc
3 :  1
Marseille

31 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  2
PSG
Lens
Lens Last matches
W L L D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.33
BTTS
67%
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
1.33
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

20 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  0
Clermont

12 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

Metz
2 :  1
Lens

6 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  1
Le Havre

29 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Lille Osc
2 :  1
Lens

16 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  3
Nice

9 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  0
Brest

Marseille against Lens : Head to Head (H2H)

Marseille

17 %

Draw

17 %

Lens

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
2.67
BTTS
50%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.17
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.5
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

12 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  0
Marseille

6 May 2023 - Ligue 1

Lens
2 :  1
Marseille

22 Oct 2022 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  1
Lens

22 Jan 2022 - Ligue 1

Lens
0 :  2
Marseille

26 Sep 2021 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  3
Lens

3 Feb 2021 - Ligue 1

Lens
2 :  2
Marseille
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Marseille against Lens Lineups: Starting 11

Marseille

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

16
P. Lopez
5
L. Balerdi
4
S. Gigot
62
M. Murillo
7
J. Clauss
11
A. Harit
22
P. Gueye
27
J. Veretout
6
U. Garcia
29
I. Ndiaye
10
P. Aubameyang
11
A. Fulgini
9
S. Wahi
7
F. Sotoca
3
D. Machado
23
N. El Aynaoui
26
N. Mendy
29
P. Frankowski
14
F. Medina
4
K. Danso
21
M. Haidara
30
B. Samba

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Lens

Missing players

Marseille
Marseille
Defender

B. Meite

Midfielder

V. Rongier

B. Nadir

Lens
Lens
Defender

A. Khusanov

Midfielder

J. Cabot

S. Abdul Samed

N. El Aynaoui

Marseille - Lens Key Points

  1. Both teams have scored in four of Lens’ last five games.
  2. All of Marseille’s last three games have had Over 2.5 Goals and both teams score.
  3. There have been Over 2.5 Goals in six of Lens’ last eight games.
  4. Lens have scored in 12 successive matches.
  5. 26 of Marseille’s 45 goals in Ligue One this season have come at home.
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Our Marseille vs Lens Prediction

In the context of European Football next season, the Marseille v Lens clash this weekend is huge. A win for Lens puts them eight points ahead of Marseille with just three games left. A win for Marseille and that gap is cut to just two points. Nice, Rennes and Lyon will be watching the outcome of this game closely as their fates are intertwined with these two teams over the next four games. Recent form suggests that both teams have been amongst the goals of late and while Lens have better form, Marseille have lost just once at home. As such, our Marseille v Lens prediction here precludes a results-based option and we’ve gone for Over 2.5 Goals and both teams to score.

Prediction :

Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals

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Marseille vs Lens Prediction

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