France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Marseille have the chance to make it 10 straight wins against Le Havre when they return to action after the international break. Second-placed Les Phoceens welcome 14th-placed Le Havre to Stade Velodrome. Let’s have a look at our prediction of the match.
Marseille thumped Metz 3-0 in their last outing to close in on PSG as they pump up their title ambitions. As PSG face a tough game against Strasbourg, Marseille will want to position themselves well to go top.
Roberto De Zerbi’s men have done well, winning each of their last four league games. Wins in each of their last seven Ligue 1 home games place them as clear favorites.
Le Havre look set for another relegation scrap this season. After their opening seven Ligue 1 matches, they’ve managed just one win - against the struggling Nice.
Depending on how they look at it, Le Havre can declare the last three matches a success. The 2-2 draw with Rennes in the last outing marked a third straight draw.
On the road, Le Havre have no win this season, losing two and collecting just one point from a possible nine. Head-to-head, Le Havre have suffered in this fixture. The last two meetings alone saw Le Club Doyen concede eight times while scoring twice.
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The Best Betting Odds for Marseille v Le Havre Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.3 | 5.25 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.36 | 5 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.36 | 4.8 | 8 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.5 | 9 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.25 | 8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Marseille and Le Havre?
Our prediction for the Marseille vs Le Havre match is: Marseille to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/10/2025 between Marseille and Le Havre in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 72.71% for a win of Marseille against Le Havre with odds of 1.38 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Marseille vs Le Havre is 21.92% with odds of 5.61 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 5.37% chance ⭐ for a win of Le Havre vs Marseille with odds of 10.6 at 22bet.
Marseille - Le Havre Prediction and Best Odds:
| Marseille Le Havre Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins | 72.71% | 1.38 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.29% | 1.67 at Betfred |
| Both Team To Score | 51.04% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Marseille | 37.9% | 4.3 at Unibet |
Marseille vs Le Havre Form
Marseille and Le Havre's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
29 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 20 |
|
15
|
15 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -8 |
Marseille and Le Havre Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
26 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Sept 2025 - Champions League
12 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
22 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Sept 2025 - Champions League
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Marseille vs Le Havre Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
19 May 2024 - Ligue 1
8 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1
Marseille against Le Havre Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Missing players
F. Medina
MidfielderH. Traore
G. Kondogbia
ForwardA. Gouiri
T. Delaine
MidfielderR. Khadra
ForwardA. Logbo
Most goals and assists
Marseille
Le Havre
M. Greenwood
(11 Goals)
I. Soumare
(3 Goals)
,
R. N'Diaye
(3 Goals)
P. Aubameyang
(8 Assists)
I. Soumare
(2 Assists)
Marseille - Le Havre Key Points
- Marseille have nine straight wins in this fixture.
- Le Havre are winless in their last four matches.
- Le Havre haven't won an away match this season.
- 16 goals were scored in Marseille’s last four home matches.
- Four of five meetings between these sides had over 2.5 goals.
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Our Marseille vs Le Havre Prediction
These two sides are a stark contrast; in-form Marseille are seen as challengers to PSG’s dominance, while Le Havre are merely trying to stay up. History and form seem to indicate that Le Havre will be dropping to the relegation region after this weekend.
That is because Marseille are in flying shape and come here in a free-scoring mode. Le Havre have struggled in this fixture as well. Our prediction for Marseille v Le Havre is for Marseille to win and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Marseille Le Havre
| Marseille vs Le Havre | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins | 1.29 | 1.3 | +0.8% |
| Draw | 5.5 | 5.25 | -4.5% |
| Le Havre wins | 10 | 9.5 | -5.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Marseille is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 0.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 77.5% and is now 76.9% (-0.6%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Marseille vs. Le Havre game!
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Try your luck on this year's Ligue 1! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
