Marin Cilic vs Nuno Borges Prediction & Betting Tips - Hong Kong Open
ATP - Hong Kong Open
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Tennis Predictions
Fans have waited almost five long years to see the rematch between Marin Cilic and Nuno Borges. Both players take to the hardcourt of the Hong Kong Open this time, with Borges looking to settle the score after blowing a set lead to give Cilic the win. Let's get into this match prediction!
Cilic may be ranked only 70th, but the 37-year-old is one of the most decorated active tennis players. The former world no.3 has won a staggering 21 ATP Tour-level singles titles, which include a major at the 2014 US Open. In contrast, Borges has won only one career singles title.
Cilic is eager to add a Hong Kong Open title to his cabinet, and is already off to a great start with a 12-5 win over Adrian Mannarino in his opener. However, the 28-year-old Borges, who is in his physical peak, threatens Marin's title hunt.
Borges will remember the only career loss to Cilic quite fondly, as it was at this very stage that the Croatian beat him with a comeback in the last two sets. Borges is arguably a much sharper player since 2021 and has a 2024 Swedish Open title over the legendary Raphael Nadal to prove it.
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The Best Betting Odds for Marin Cilic v Nuno Borges Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.91 | 1.91 |
|
|
1.91 | 1.91 |
|
|
1.94 | 1.86 |
|
|
1.85 | 1.95 |
|
|
1.83 | 1.85 |
|
Who will win the Marin Cilic vs Nuno Borges Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Marin Cilic vs Nuno Borges match is: Over 9.5 1st Set Games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Marin Cilic vs Nuno Borges game on 07/01/2026 of the current Hong Kong Open season:
- Marin Cilic has a 52.62% chance to win against Nuno Borges according to Unibet ⭐ with the odds of 1.94.
- Nuno Borges has a 47.38% probability of winning facing Marin Cilic ⭐ with odds of 1.95 at Betway.
Marin Cilic vs Nuno Borges Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Marin Cilic has a 52.62 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Marin Cilic | 52.62 % |
| Nuno Borges | 47.38 % |
Marin Cilic vs Nuno Borges Form
Marin Cilic and Nuno Borges Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
5 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open
7 Nov 2025 - Helsinki, Finland
5 Nov 2025 - Helsinki, Finland
3 Nov 2025 - Helsinki, Finland
23 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
21 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
5 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open
6 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
4 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
2 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
27 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
22 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
Marin Cilic - Nuno Borges Key Points
- The first set of their last meeting ended with 13 games, with Borges winning Set 1.
- Borges' last four singles have seen Set 1 end with 10+ games, including a 13-game Set 1 thriller against Djokovic.
- There have been 10+ games in the first set of ten of Borges’s last 11 singles.
- Additionally, eight of Cilic’s last 11 singles have witnessed over 9.5 games in Set 1.
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Our Marin Cilic vs Nuno Borges Prediction
On paper, picking a winner is incredibly tough, even for the books that set the odds for both players to 1.91. That's understandable considering that Borges actually edges Cilic in career win rate and career hardcourt win rate despite the latter boasting far more experience and trophies.
For us, it's more likely to be a thriller where any player wins, just like their last outing meeting that ended 7-6 in Set 1. Hence, our Marin Cilic vs Nuno Borges prediction is Over 9.5 1st Set Games.
Get up to €100 to bet on the Marin Cilic vs. Nuno Borges game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Marin Cilic and Nuno Borges when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Hong Kong Open!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
