Mariano Navone vs Andrey Rublev Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Barcelona

ATP - ATP Barcelona

ATP 39 Argentina
Mariano Navone
14/04/2026 11:45
ATP 13
Andrey Rublev

Prediction :

 

More than 20.5 games

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

Andrey Rublev is seeded fifth in the outdoor clay court Barcelona Open. He has a tough opening match as his first round opponent is recent Bucharest champion Mariano Navone. Find out more in our match prediction.

Mariano Navone has won seven of his ten clay court matches played this year. He won five matches to win the title in Bucharest and this is his first tournament since then  Earlier in 2026, he also won the Cap Cana hard court Challenger Tour title.

Navone won a couple of Challenger Tour clay court titles last year and made it to round three at Roland Garros. Each of his last three clay court matches have gone to a deciding set with five of the last six seeing more than 20.5 games played.

He is 42nd in the live rankings, 27 places below his opponent. Rublev reached the last eight of this tournament in 2021 but has been beaten in round two for the past couple of years. He also lost at that stage in Monte Carlo last week, being beaten in straight sets by Zizou Bergs.

Rublev is struggling for form with four of his last five matches being lost. Ten of the 12 matches he has played in this tournament have seen more than 20.5 games played. We tip that stat to come up here.

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Mariano Navone v Andrey Rublev Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
2.18 1.69
Betwinner
2.32 1.61
Bet365
2.2 1.67
Roobet
2.16 1.63
BC Game
2.16 1.63
Check all Mariano Navone vs Andrey Rublev odds

Who will win the Mariano Navone vs Andrey Rublev Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Mariano Navone vs Andrey Rublev match is: more than 20.5 games.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Mariano Navone vs Andrey Rublev game on 14/04/2026 of the current ATP Barcelona season:

  • Mariano Navone has a 56.07% chance to win against Andrey Rublev according to Betwinner ⭐ with the odds of 2.32.
  • Andrey Rublev has a 43.93% probability of winning facing Mariano Navone ⭐ with odds of 1.7 at Betway.

Mariano Navone vs Andrey Rublev Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Mariano Navone has a 56.07 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Mariano Navone56.07 %
Andrey Rublev43.93 %

Mariano Navone vs Andrey Rublev Form

Mariano Navone and Andrey Rublev Last Matches

Mariano Navone Last matches
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

5 Apr 2026 - ATP BCR Open Romania

Mariano Navone
2 :  1
Daniel Merida

4 Apr 2026 - ATP BCR Open Romania

Mariano Navone
2 :  1
Botic Van De Zandschulp

3 Apr 2026 - ATP BCR Open Romania

Alex Molcan
1 :  2
Mariano Navone

1 Apr 2026 - ATP BCR Open Romania

Elmer Moller
0 :  2
Mariano Navone

31 Mar 2026 - ATP BCR Open Romania

Christopher O'Connell
0 :  2
Mariano Navone

20 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami

Mariano Navone
0 :  2
Valentin Vacherot
Andrey Rublev Last matches
W L L L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

8 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Andrey Rublev
0 :  2
Zizou Bergs

6 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Andrey Rublev
2 :  1
Nuno Borges

21 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami

Andrey Rublev
1 :  2
Alejandro Tabilo

7 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells

Andrey Rublev
1 :  2
Gabriel Diallo

27 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open

Andrey Rublev
0 :  2
Tallon Griekspoor

26 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open

Andrey Rublev
2 :  0
Arthur Rinderknech

Mariano Navone - Andrey Rublev Key Points

  1. More than 20.5 games have been played in five of Navone's last six clay court matches.
  2. A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction and Navone has played at least one in seven of his last ten matches.
  3. Of the last 12 matches Rublev has played in this tournament, ten have had more than 20.5 games played in them.
  4. More than 20.5 games have been played in seven of Rublev's last ten matches.
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Our Mariano Navone vs Andrey Rublev Prediction

The last three matches Mariano Navone has played have all gone to a deciding set. He won the Bucharest clay court title and is making his debut in Barcelona. Last year saw him win 30 matches on this surface with two titles won.

Andrey Rublev is struggling for form at present with only one of his last five matches being won. He has a 1-1 record on clay this year and has lost in the second round of this tournament for the past two years.Our Mariano Navone v Andrey Rublev prediction is more than 20.5 games.

Prediction :

 

More than 20.5 games

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Mariano Navone vs Andrey Rublev Prediction