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Manchester United vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips - Clubs Friendlies

Friendlies - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
19/07/2025 08:00
Leeds

Prediction :

 

Manchester United wins the match

 
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 by Ian John | in Football Predictions

The Friends Stadium in Stockholm, Sweden, will host a prestigious friendly clash between Manchester United and Leeds United on Saturday afternoon. The Red Devils and The Whites are fierce rivals who will meet in the league next season, but this will be their first warm-up game and a chance to give their squads a run-out. It can be tricky to make a prediction for these games, but there'e some key facts to understand about this match.

As this is both teams' first pre-season friendly, managers Ruben Amorim and Daniel Farke will want to give more than their first-choice teams game time. As such, you can expect lots of substitutions at half-time nd throughout the second half. This will of course favour the team with the deeper and stronger squad, which at present, is Manchester United.

The Red Devils finished last season 15th in the Premier League and lost in the Europa League Final to Tottenham. Leeds were promoted to the Premier League as Champions of the Championship.

Manchester United have played two friendlies in post-season, losing 1-0 to an ASEAN All-Star team, before beating a Hong Kong XI 3-1 two days later.  Prior to that, their final competitive match was a 2-0 home win over Aston Villa.

Leeds last action saw them win their last six games, their last three seeing big home wins over Stoke (6-0) and Bristol City (4-0) before a final day away win at Plymouth (2-1) that saw them win the title.

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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester United v Leeds Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.7 4.1 4.5
Betfred
1.67 3.75 4.2
William Hill
1.67 3.9 4
Betway
1.7 4 3.8
Ladbrokes
1.67 3.8 3.9
Check all Manchester United vs Leeds odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester United and Leeds?

Our prediction for the Manchester United vs Leeds match is: Manchester United wins the match.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/07/2025 between Manchester United and Leeds in Clubs Friendlies :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.65% for a win of Manchester United against Leeds with odds of 3.1 at BC Game.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester United vs Leeds is 23.27% with odds of 6.4 at BC Game.
  • Our prediction model gives a 39.08% chance ⭐ for a win of Leeds vs Manchester United with odds of 4.5 at Bet365.

Manchester United vs Leeds Form

Manchester United and Leeds Last Matches

Manchester United
Manchester United Last matches
L L L W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

30 May 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Hong Kong
1 :  3
Manchester United

28 May 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Asean All-Stars
1 :  0
Manchester United

25 May 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  0
Aston Villa

21 May 2025 - Europa League

Tottenham
1 :  0
Manchester United

16 May 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Manchester United

11 May 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  2
West Ham
D W L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

25 May 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  0
Aston Villa

11 May 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  2
West Ham

8 May 2025 - Europa League

Manchester United
4 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

20 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  1
Wolves

17 Apr 2025 - Europa League

Manchester United
5 :  4
Lyon

6 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  0
Manchester City
W L L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

30 May 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Hong Kong
1 :  3
Manchester United

28 May 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Asean All-Stars
1 :  0
Manchester United

21 May 2025 - Europa League

Tottenham
1 :  0
Manchester United

16 May 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Manchester United

4 May 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
4 :  3
Manchester United

1 May 2025 - Europa League

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  3
Manchester United
Leeds
Leeds Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

3 May 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
1 :  2
Leeds

28 Apr 2025 - Championship

Leeds
4 :  0
Bristol City

21 Apr 2025 - Championship

Leeds
6 :  0
Stoke

18 Apr 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
0 :  1
Leeds

12 Apr 2025 - Championship

Leeds
2 :  1
Preston North End

8 Apr 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Leeds
D W D W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

28 Apr 2025 - Championship

Leeds
4 :  0
Bristol City

21 Apr 2025 - Championship

Leeds
6 :  0
Stoke

12 Apr 2025 - Championship

Leeds
2 :  1
Preston North End

29 Mar 2025 - Championship

Leeds
2 :  2
Swansea

12 Mar 2025 - Championship

Leeds
2 :  0
Millwall

1 Mar 2025 - Championship

Leeds
1 :  1
West Brom
L D D W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

3 May 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
1 :  2
Leeds

18 Apr 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
0 :  1
Leeds

8 Apr 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Leeds

5 Apr 2025 - Championship

Luton Town
1 :  1
Leeds

15 Mar 2025 - Championship

QPR
2 :  2
Leeds

9 Mar 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  0
Leeds

Manchester United vs Leeds Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Manchester United

67 %

Draw

33 %

Leeds

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.33
Total goals
67%
BTTS
3.17
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.17
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

12 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  2
Manchester United

8 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  2
Leeds

20 Feb 2022 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  4
Manchester United

14 Aug 2021 - Premier League

Manchester United
5 :  1
Leeds

25 Apr 2021 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  0
Manchester United

20 Dec 2020 - Premier League

Manchester United
6 :  2
Leeds
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Manchester United vs Leeds last Lineups

Manchester United

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

1
A. Bayindir
2
V. Lindelof
5
H. Maguire
26
A. Heaven
3
N. Mazraoui
8
B. Fernandes
18
Casemiro
13
P. Dorgu
16
A. Diallo
7
M. Mount
9
R. Hojlund
10
J. Piroe
14
M. Solomon
11
B. Aaronson
29
G. Wilfried
44
I. Gruev
22
A. Tanaka
25
S. Byram
4
E. Ampadu
6
J. Rodon
2
J. Bogle
26
K. Darlow

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Leeds

Manchester United - Leeds Key Points

  1. This is both teams' first pre-season fixture. As such, both teams will likely use the majority of their squads throughout the game.
  2. Leeds have won their last six games, but all against Championship teams, not Premier League opponents.
  3. The last four games between the teams have seen United score 13 goals and Leeds just five.
  4. Manchester United have lost just one of their last dozen games against Leeds United, winning eight, drawing two.
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Our Manchester United vs Leeds Prediction

Our prediction for the Manchester United vs, Leeds United friendly match is: Manchester United wins the match.

These two great rivals will reignite their rivalry early in pre-season in this friendly in Stockholm, Sweden. It is both teams first game, so expect both managers to give almost all of their squad significant game time in this game. That plays into the hand of Manchester United, who have a significantly stronger squad than newly-promoted Leeds and as such, backing them to win this friendly is the sensible option.

Prediction :

 

Manchester United wins the match

 
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Try your luck on this year's Clubs Friendlies! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Manchester United vs Leeds Prediction
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