England - Premier League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi in Premier League Predictions
Manchester United will hope to bounce back against Burnley at home in a matchday three fixture of the 2025-26 English Premier League as the teams look to go into the international break on a high. This match in Manchester on Saturday between the 16th-placed Red Devils (one point) and the 11th-placed Clarets (three points) comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.
It's early in the campaign, but the signs are not at all good for United, who went into the season with optimism after a summer of overhaul. The enthusiasm from the confident display against Arsenal has vanished, and the midweek defeat at Grimsby Town has added a few more alarm bells. With Manchester City and Chelsea fixtures right after the international break, this could be a tricky test for the hosts.
Burnley are coming off consecutive wins, both coming at home. While that puts them on a better pedestal than United, their away form is still questionable. Can they celebrate on United's struggles and clinch something out of this trip? Read more for our match analysis, team news, and predictions to find what's in store at Old Trafford this weekend.
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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester United v Burnley Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.36 | 5 | 8 |
|
|
1.36 | 5 | 9 |
|
|
1.36 | 4.8 | 8 |
|
|
1.38 | 5 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.37 | 4.9 | 8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester United and Burnley?
Our prediction for the Manchester United vs Burnley match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/08/2025 between Manchester United and Burnley in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.46% for a win of Manchester United against Burnley with odds of 1.39 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester United vs Burnley is 31.16% with odds of 5.22 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.38% chance ⭐ for a win of Burnley vs Manchester United with odds of 9.1 at Melbet.
Manchester United vs Burnley Form
Manchester United and Burnley's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
|
16
|
1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 |
Manchester United and Burnley Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2025 - Premier League
17 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2025 - Premier League
30 May 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 May 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 May 2025 - Europa League
16 May 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
25 Aug 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
18 Aug 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
13 Aug 2025 - National League Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
18 Aug 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - Championship
22 Apr 2025 - Professional Development League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
13 Aug 2025 - National League Cup
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Manchester United vs Burnley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Apr 2024 - Premier League
23 Sep 2023 - Premier League
21 Dec 2022 - Carabao Cup
8 Feb 2022 - Premier League
30 Dec 2021 - Premier League
18 Apr 2021 - Premier League
Manchester United - Burnley: Form Analysis
Manchester United boss Ruben Amorim is under pressure after his revamped attack failed to click in the midweek loss to Grimsby Town in the EFL Cup second round. They could only draw 1-1 at Fulham in last weekend's Premier League game, leaving them with just a point.
Even that goal was declared an own goal by Fulham's Muniz, so theoretically United are yet to score a Premier League goal this season. With some grueling matches ahead after the international break, this could be a must-win game for United.
United failed to score in four of their last five Premier League home games!
Burnley's season back in the top flight saw them grab a 2-0 home win over Sunderland last weekend in a match between two recently promoted sides. They followed it up with a 2-1 home win over Derby in the EFL Cup, adding momentum to their season.
Scott Parker had a 1-1 draw with Fulham at this venue in his only away match against United and would perhaps take that point in this fixture. That's because their only away game of the season saw them lose 3-0 at Tottenham on matchday one.
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Missing players
L. Martinez
N. Mazraoui
B. Humphreys
C. Roberts
A. Tuanzebe
J. Beyer
ForwardZ. Amdouni
A. Broja
Manchester United & Burnley Squad Analysis
United will be without Lisandro Martinez, while Noussair Mazraoui could be back in contention. Andre Onana had another blunder-filled game at Grimsby but could still replace Altay Bayindir, who himself had a couple of horror games in the Premier League.
Lack of goals could force Amorim's hand and see him start Benjamin Sesko from the start to lead his 3-4-2-1 formation. United's hopes of finding goals could rest on Bryan Mbeumo, who scored during regular time against Grimsby.
Mbeumo has a goal and an assist in his last two games against Burnley!
Those came as a Brentford player, but United will hope he extends that with a strike here. The visitors will be without Zeki Amdouni, Jordan Beyer, and Bashir Humphreys, with all three being long-term absentees. The duo of Maxime Esteve and Lesley Ugochukwu limped off against Sunderland and could be racing against time to be fit.
Aaron Ramsey scored in the EFL Cup against Derby but will have to wait for his turn, as Lyle Foster is likely to get the nod in their 4-2-3-1 formation. Former United academy graduate Hannibal Mejbri may slot right behind him and show his former employers that he can be a handful.
Most goals and assists
Manchester United
Burnley
H. Maguire
(1 Goals)
, 
B. Mbeumo
(1 Goals)
J. Cullen
(1 Goals)
,
J. Anthony
(1 Goals)
, 
O. Sonne
(1 Goals)
,
A. Ramsey
(1 Goals)
J. Cullen
(1 Assists)
,
J. Anthony
(1 Assists)
Manchester United - Burnley Key Points
- Seven of United’s last eight Premier League matches produced under 2.5 goals, including the last five.
- In their last six home league games, United saw two or fewer goals scored.
- The last four competitive matches between United and Burnley produced fewer than three goals scored.
- Burnley won their last two competitive games, each time scoring two goals.
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Our Manchester United vs Burnley Prediction
The midweek defeat to fourth-tier opposition Grimsby Town underlined Manchester United's struggles. One of the goals they scored during regular time came deep in the second half from a defender. In their two league games so far, they could score only one goal, and the new-look attack hasn't yet clicked. Burnley have done better, although their only away match in this campaign came in a loss at Tottenham.
This match could test the patience of fans with goals likely to be scarce from the misfiring attacks. Our Manchester United vs Burnley prediction is under 2.5.
Manchester United vs Burnley - Other Interesting Predictions
Draw or Burnley win
The 1-0 defeat to Arsenal that looked like a positive dawn for United seems to be a false dawn after all. The Red Devils are looking every bit an incohesive side that is easily steamrollered in the midfield, while their problems in the goalkeeping position are well documented. Can Burnley pounce on this? Don't be surprised if they go back home with a point, let alone a win.
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Manchester United vs Burnley match : Frequently asked questions
The Manchester United vs Burnley English Premier League match won't be shown live in the UK due to a nationwide broadcast restriction for matches at 3 pm kick-off.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our English Premier League Livescore page!
There's never a worse time to be a United fan because another failure to win here will make it just the fourth time that they started a Premier League campaign without a win in the first three matches. The last three times it happened were in 2014-15, 2007-08, and 1992-93.
If Burnley win this game, they will have the same number of points that United have won in the Premier League since the start of April. To make it humiliating for the home team, the visitors would have played just three matches, while United are playing their 12th match in that period.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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