Manchester City vs Wolves Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
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by Joseph King | in Premier League Predictions
Matchday 23 in the Premier League sees second-place Manchester City in desperate need of a bounce-back victory when they host 20th-placed Wolverhampton Wanderers on Saturday. Check out our match prediction below!
It’s been a difficult 2026 for Pep Guardiola and the Citizens who have seen the gap between themselves and leaders Arsenal increase to seven points. The hosts are tied with third-place Aston Villa on 43 points and hold an eight-point lead over fifth-place Manchester United. A meeting with bottom-feeders Wolves could be just what the doctor ordered, considering that City have won their last four straight against the West Midlands club by a combined score of 12-2.
After looking like they might break records in the 2025-26 season for all the wrong reasons, Wolves have finally started to put some positive results on the board. They’re still overwhelming favourites to be relegated as they sit 14 points from safety with 16 games remaining. Will they be able to spring a huge upset in Manchester on Saturday or are they doomed to a 17th league defeat?
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Manchester City v Wolves Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.35 | 5.6 | 8.4 |
|
|
1.29 | 5.75 | 9.4 |
|
|
1.31 | 5.5 | 9 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.75 | 9 |
|
|
1.29 | 5.4 | 10 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester City and Wolves?
Our prediction for the Manchester City vs Wolves match is: BTTS + over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/01/2026 between Manchester City and Wolves in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 64% for a win of Manchester City against Wolves with odds of 1.35 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester City vs Wolves is 25.52% with odds of 6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 10.48% chance ⭐ for a win of Wolves vs Manchester City with odds of 10 at Roobet.
Manchester City - Wolves Prediction and Best Odds:
| Manchester City Wolves Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 64% | 1.35 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.07% | 1.58 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 55.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Manchester City/Manchester City | 36.3% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
Manchester City vs Wolves Form
Manchester City and Wolves's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
78 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | +42 |
|
20
|
20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | -41 |
Manchester City and Wolves Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
13 Jan 2026 - Carabao Cup
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
17 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
13 Jan 2026 - Carabao Cup
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
8 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
Manchester City vs Wolves Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
0 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
2 May 2025 - Premier League
20 Oct 2024 - Premier League
4 May 2024 - Premier League
30 Sept 2023 - Premier League
22 Jan 2023 - Premier League
Manchester City - Wolves: Form Analysis
While Manchester City did have to play in freezing conditions and on an artificial pitch, there’s still no excuse for their performance in Norway on Tuesday. The 2022-23 treble winners were beaten 3-1 by Bodo/Glimt, handing the Norwegian side their first ever win in the UCL.
Man City have two wins in seven matches (D3, L2) in 2026 across all competitions, with one of those victories coming across League One side Exeter. In the Premier League, City are on a four-match winless run (D3, L1) after their comprehensive 2-0 away loss to rivals Manchester United last weekend.
Manchester City have lost back-to-back games for the first time since late 2024.
Wolverhampton Wanderers managed to earn just three points at the halfway point in the season a few weeks ago, putting them on course to break Derby’s record-low points haul of 11 – a record which has stood since 2008.
Since then, however, they’ve earned their first league win (3-0 against West Ham) and are on a five match unbeaten run across all competitions (W2, D3). They held Newcastle to a 0-0 draw at the Molineaux last weekend in what was a tight match which failed to produce a single clear cut scoring chance.
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Manchester City against Wolves Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Substitutes
J. Trafford
DefenderR. Ait-Nouri
R. Lewis
N. Ake
M. Alleyne
MidfielderP. Foden
D. Mukasa
ForwardJ. Doku
E. Haaland
S. Johnstone
DefenderE. Agbadou
D. Moller Wolfe
M. Doherty
P. Lima
ForwardJ. Strand Larsen
R. Gomes
T. Arokodare
F. Lopez
Missing players
R. Dias
J. Gvardiol
MidfielderM. Kovacic
N. Gonzalez
T. Gomes
Manchester City & Wolves Squad Analysis
Pep Guardiola has a lengthy injury list of no fewer than eight players to contend with. Among them are a trio of center backs. Josko Gvardiol is out for the season while Ruben Dias is expected to be out for another 4-5 weeks with a hamstring injury. John Stones, meanwhile, hasn’t featured since early December as he recovers from a muscle injury.
As a result, the Sky Blues opted to bring in Crystal Palace’s Marc Guehi in a £20 million transfer. The 25-year-old is expected to make his debut on Saturday, likely taking the place of youngster Max Alleyne.
Antoine Semenyo has scored two goals in three appearances for Man City.
Antonie Semenyo, City’s other January signing, should return to the starting 11 as he looks to build on his 10 league goals (the third most in 2025-26).
Wolves put in the fourth most crosses in the Premier League (342) so expect the wingbacks in Rob Edwards’ 3-5-2 system to be heavily involved in the attacking play. Among them, left-sided Hugo Bueno is one of the team’s central creators and leads the team in chances created (20) in the EPL.
On the injury front, Wolves have mostly a clean bill of health. Only Jean-Ricner Bellegarde and Toti Gomes are sidelined with each dealing with a hamstring injury.
Most goals and assists
Manchester City
Wolves
E. Haaland
(27 Goals)
R. Gomes
(3 Goals)
, 
S. Bueno
(3 Goals)
, 
T. Arokodare
(3 Goals)
, 
M. Mane
(3 Goals)
R. Cherki
(12 Assists)
D. Moller Wolfe
(2 Assists)
, 
H. Hee-chan
(2 Assists)
, 
H. Bueno
(2 Assists)
,
A. Armstrong
(2 Assists)
Manchester City - Wolves Key Points
- Man City have conceded at least one goal in five of their last six overall.
- Manchester City have conceded a total of 25 big scoring chances in their last six appearances.
- The hosts lead the Premier League in big scoring chances created at 72.
- Both teams have scored in six of Wolves last nine matches across all competitions.
- Wolves have allowed the third most goals in the Premier League at 41.
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Our Manchester City vs Wolves Prediction
This is a must-win match for Manchester City as they attempt to return to winning ways following a stretch of just three points in four in the Premier League. Fortunately for them, they’ll be facing a Wolves side that has avoided defeat just six times in 22 fixtures so far.
While getting a result is likely too big an ask for Wolves, they should be able to at least find the net against a Manchester City defence that has been reeling in recent weeks. Our Manchester City vs Wolves prediction: BTTS + over 2.5.
Manchester City vs Wolves Alternative Predictions
Antoine Semenyo anytime goalscorer
Semenyo has found the net in six of his last nine appearances overall and has already scored twice in three outings for his new team. Manchester City are big favourites facing a Wolves defence that has given up the third-most goals in the league.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Manchester City Wolves
| Manchester City vs Wolves | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 1.16 | 1.35 | +16.4% |
| Draw | 8.4 | 6 | -28.6% |
| Wolves wins | 17 | 10 | -41.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 16.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 86.2% and is now 74.1% (-12.1%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
