Manchester City vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
England - FA Cup
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by Steve Ashfield | in FA Cup Predictions
50 years ago, Southampton famously won the FA Cup. Half a century later, they take on Manchester City at Wembley for a place in the final of this historic competition. Can the Saints beat a third Premier League side? Read our match prediction below.
Southampton made a slow start to this season but they are now in with a chance of being promoted from the Championship. They were in that league 50 years ago (then called Division Two) when beating Manchester United to lift the FA Cup for the one and only time. The Saints last reached the final 23 years ago and now face the other half of Manchester as they bid to again win a semi-final.
Manchester City haven't always been at their best this season. Yet here we are in April with them in with a chance of winning the treble. The EFL Cup has already been won and the Citizens are now top of the Premier League. Will they get to their third successive FA Cup final?
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Manchester City v Southampton Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.23 | 6.4 | 10 |
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1.2 | 6.95 | 13 |
|
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1.2 | 6.95 | 13 |
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1.23 | 6.8 | 11 |
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1.23 | 6.8 | 11 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester City and Southampton?
Our prediction for the Manchester City vs Southampton match is: Manchester City wins and leads at half and full time.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/04/2026 between Manchester City and Southampton in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.9% for a win of Manchester City against Southampton with odds of 1.25 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester City vs Southampton is 16.32% with odds of 7 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Southampton vs Manchester City with odds of 13 at Melbet.
Manchester City - Southampton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Manchester City Southampton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 46.9% | 1.25 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.31% | |
| Both Team To Score | 62.92% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Manchester City/Manchester City | 24.04% | 1.65 at LSbet |
Manchester City vs Southampton Form
Manchester City and Southampton Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Apr 2026 - Premier League
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
22 Mar 2026 - Carabao Cup
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
22 Mar 2026 - Carabao Cup
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2026 - Championship
18 Apr 2026 - Championship
14 Apr 2026 - Championship
11 Apr 2026 - Championship
7 Apr 2026 - Championship
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2026 - Championship
14 Apr 2026 - Championship
11 Apr 2026 - Championship
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
18 Mar 2026 - Championship
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Championship
7 Apr 2026 - Championship
14 Mar 2026 - Championship
11 Mar 2026 - Championship
8 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
Manchester City vs Southampton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 May 2025 - Premier League
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
8 Apr 2023 - Premier League
11 Jan 2023 - Carabao Cup
8 Oct 2022 - Premier League
20 Mar 2022 - FA Cup
Manchester City - Southampton: Form Analysis
Midweek saw Manchester City win 1-0 at Burnley to go top of the Premier League. That was their fifth successive victory with 12 goals scored and just one conceded. It's beginning to look like one of their famous winning runs that ends with lots of silverware being won.
In this season's FA Cup, the Blues have beaten Salford City, Exeter City, Newcastle United and Liverpool. 19 goals have been scored (10 against Exeter) with only a couple scored by their opponents.
This is their eighth straight FA Cup semi-final. They have been the runners-up for the past two seasons.
Half a century on.
One of the most famous FA Cup finals was played in 1976. A Bobby Stokes goal saw Southampton beat Manchester United 1-0 to lift the trophy. This is their first time in the semi-finals since 2020-21.
They beat Arsenal that season and repeated that feat in this season's quarter-finals. Leicester City, Doncaster Rovers and Fulham have also been beaten on the way to this semi-final. They will be hoping to reach the FA Cup final for the first time since the 2002-03 season.
The Saints are unbeaten in their last 20 matches, last losing in January. They are fourth in the Championship, three points behind the one remaining automatic promotion place. A form guide for the last 15 league games has them eight points clear at the top.
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Manchester City against Southampton Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
G. Donnarumma
DefenderA. Khusanov
N. OReilly
R. Lewis
M. Guehi
MidfielderSavinho
B. Silva
J. Doku
E. Haaland
G. Long
DefenderE. Jelert
J. Quarshie
MidfielderS. Charles
K. Matsuki
C. Archer
S. Edozie
J. Robinson
C. Larin
Missing players
R. Dias
J. Gvardiol
M. Roerslev
Manchester City & Southampton Squad Analysis
It wouldn't be the usual season for a Manchester City fan if they didn't see their team reach the FA Cup semi-finals. This is the eighth consecutive season in which they have made it to this stage and four of the previous seven have seen them go on to reach the final.
City have already won the EFL Cup this season. They are attempting to repeat the EFL/FA Cup double that they achieved in the 2018-19 season. City have won their last five games and the goals are starting to flow again for Erling Haaland.
He's scored five goals for City in his last three games and that includes a hat-trick in their 4-0 win over Liverpool in the quarter-finals.
Rodri may miss this game against Southampton. Ruben Dias is likely to be included.
Southampton would lo repeat their heroics of 1976. They are going strong in the Championship and have been the clear form pick in that division for the past few months. Only a slow start to the season may see them end up in the play-offs rather than secure automatic promotion.
Selection problems for the Saints.
The Saints have a couple of players suspended for this semi-final. Both Flynn Downes and Ryan Manning will be absent this weekend. There is also an injury doubt over their captin Jac Stephens.
Manchester City - Southampton Key Points
- Manchester City are playing in their eighth consecutive FA Cup semi-final.
- Manchester City have won their last five games.
- Manchester City are unbeaten in their last three games against Southampton.
- Southampton haven't won an FA Cup semi-final since 1976.
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Our Manchester City vs Southampton Prediction
Southampton could play at Wembley three times before the end of this season. The future could see them play finals in the FA Cup and the Championship play-offs. Their first visit sees them take on Premier League leaders Manchester City.
The Saints are on a long unbeaten run and already they have beaten two Premier League sides. Manchester City are bidding to win a sixth straight game Our main Manchester City v Southampton prediction is Manchester City wins and leads at half and full time.
Manchester City vs Southampton Alternative Predictions
Manchester City wins
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Manchester City Southampton
| Manchester City vs Southampton | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 1.23 | 1.25 | +1.6% |
| Draw | 6 | 7 | +16.7% |
| Southampton wins | 11 | 13 | +18.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 81.3% and is now 80.0% (-1.3%)
Manchester City vs Southampton - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
