Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Premier League Predictions
In-form Manchester City seek to continue with their title push in the English Premier League this week as they welcome a relegation-threatened Nottingham Forest side. With 10 matches left to play for both teams, City arrive on the day in second place and having won 11 more games than their visitors, who sit just above the drop zone in 17th. Read on for our preview and a prediction of the match.
The Sky Blues won the reverse game back in December, claiming their sixth victory in this fixture in the last eight meetings. With this dominance and their current hot streak, the hosts are backed to carry the day here. In the last three matches at home against Forest, City won all, scoring 11 goals without conceding.
Forest will definitely want to banish that stat, but their recent form is a betrayal of their ambitions. It makes things worse that Vitor Pereira hasn’t had a great start at the team. The manager faces Pep Guardiola, who has 17 wins in 20 league matches against Portuguese head coaches.
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Manchester City v Nottingham Forest Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.42 | 5 | 7.2 |
|
|
1.42 | 4.82 | 7 |
|
|
1.43 | 4.88 | 6.85 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.75 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.8 | 7.4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester City and Nottingham Forest?
Our prediction for the Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/03/2026 between Manchester City and Nottingham Forest in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 73.26% for a win of Manchester City against Nottingham Forest with odds of 1.5 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest is 12.31% with odds of 5.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 14.43% chance ⭐ for a win of Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City with odds of 8.2 at Tonybet.
Manchester City - Nottingham Forest Prediction and Best Odds:
| Manchester City Nottingham Forest Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 73.26% | 1.5 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.39% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 60% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Manchester City/Manchester City | 48.08% | 2.1 at Bet365 |
Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest Form
Manchester City and Nottingham Forest's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
78 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | +42 |
|
16
|
44 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | -3 |
Manchester City and Nottingham Forest Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
4 Feb 2026 - Carabao Cup
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
4 Feb 2026 - Carabao Cup
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
13 Jan 2026 - Carabao Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
6 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
6 Feb 2026 - Premier League
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
9 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
0 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Apr 2025 - FA Cup
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
28 Apr 2024 - Premier League
23 Sept 2023 - Premier League
Manchester City - Nottingham Forest: Form Analysis
Manchester City are in red-hot form. The Cityzens haven’t lost any of their last nine games and have failed to win only once in this unbeaten run. Currently on a six-match winning streak, Pep Guardiola’s men are firmly in the hunt for a quadruple.
The hosts have accumulated 59 points in the league after securing 18 wins and drawing five. They trail league leaders Arsenal by five points but have a game in hand. City are coming off a 1-0 away win against Leeds and have an even longer unbeaten streak at home, at 13 straight games without defeat.
Forest lost 11-0 in their last three visits to City.
Recent performances have continued to put Forest into a deeper hole in the race to avoid the drop. The Reds haven’t won any of their last five league matches and are on a two-match losing run. They have been unable to put further daylight between themselves and the drop zone and currently sit just two points in safety.
Forest’s latest coaching change, their fourth so far this season, hasn’t had the desired effect. Vitor Perreira has won just one of the five matches in which he has been in charge. That was in the Europa League, and since then, the Tricky Trees have lost three in a row. Playing their first of back-to-back away league matches, Forest were defeated 2-1 by Brighton over the weekend.
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Manchester City against Nottingham Forest Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 3 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
J. Trafford
DefenderN. Ake
J. Stones
A. Khusanov
T. Reijnders
N. Gonzalez
Savinho
J. Doku
O. Marmoush
A. Gunn
DefenderL. Netz
Morato
R. Yates
O. Hutchinson
J. McAtee
ForwardC. Hudson-Odoi
D. Ndoye
T. Awoniyi
Missing players
J. Gvardiol
MidfielderM. Kovacic
S. Ortega
DefenderW. Boly
N. Savona
ForwardC. Wood
Manchester City & Nottingham Forest Squad Analysis
This has been one of the worst seasons for City in terms of injuries. Mateo Kovacic and Josko Gvardiol have missed a combined 59 games through injury. They remain unavailable. Erling Haaland was a surprise absentee over the weekend against Leeds, and the forward could miss Forest's trip.
If so, it will be a big blow, as the Norwegian easily passes as City's most important player. Haaland has scored 29 goals this term, with 22 of those coming in the league. In his absence at Elland Road, Antoine Semenyo continued his superb form, scoring the winner to improve his tally to six in 11 outings.
Forest’s Stefan Ortega is injured and will not be facing his former employers.
At Forest, knee injuries continue to keep Chris Wood, Nicolo Savona, and John Victor on the sidelines. Matz Sels had missed five games but returned to start at Brighton over the weekend. The Belgian keeper's return is a big boost for Forest, who have struggled in defence.
Igor Jesus has scored 12 goals and leads all other scorers at Forest. Morgan Gibbs-White, who grabbed a consolation against Brighton, follows the Brazilian closely with nine goals, while Callum Hudson-Odoi has found the net six times.
Most goals and assists
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
E. Haaland
(27 Goals)
M. Gibbs-White
(15 Goals)
R. Cherki
(12 Assists)
O. Hutchinson
(5 Assists)
Manchester City - Nottingham Forest Key Points
- City’s 14 home league games have averaged 3.07 goals.
- 2.6 goals were netted in Forest’s last five away encounters.
- 14 goals were scored in Manchester City’s last five home matches.
- Forest conceded 11 times in their last three visits to City.
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Our Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest Prediction
Our prediction for Manchester City v Nottingham Forest is for the match to have more than 2.5 goals. City are one of the most potent teams in the EPL. They are averaging at least a goal a game. This should continue in their next outing as they come up against one of the league’s porous defences.
This season’s title race could go down to the wire, and goal difference is an area City will be keen to strengthen. It is also important to remember that Forest are seeking to avoid the drop and will have their chances here.
Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest Alternative Predictions
Manchester City wins
In our second prediction, we are settling for City to win. The hosts have lost just once in the last eight meetings with Forest. They are also coming into this latest showdown in red-hot form, having won six games on the trot.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Manchester City Nottingham Forest
| Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 1.4 | 1.5 | +7.1% |
| Draw | 5.21 | 5.4 | +3.6% |
| Nottingham Forest wins | 9.3 | 8.2 | -11.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 71.4% and is now 66.7% (-4.8%)
Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest - FAQs
This match will be played on Wednesday, 4 March.
This match will be played at City’s Etihad Stadium in Manchester, England.
Fans in the UK will have this match for live telecast on TNT Sports 4. Detailed updates of the same and for other Premier League fixtures this week will also be available on Sportytrader.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
