Manchester City vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Premier League Predictions
Newcastle United are back in Premier League action this weekend after back-to-back cup engagements, and they will be traveling to Manchester City. The Magpies have posted straight wins in their last three outings and will feel energized for this encounter scheduled for Saturday. Read on to find our prediction for the match.
This will mark the fourth meeting of the season between the two sides. In addition to their November EPL meeting, they battled again in a two-legged semi-final tie in the League Cup. City enter the weekend in second place in the standings and 17 points ahead of their visitors, who are down in 10th.
The Magpies won the reverse league match but are not billed as favorites to secure the double. Bookmakers have installed City as the overwhelming favorites. With the chance to narrow the gap at the top to two points, City have a big game here.
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Manchester City v Newcastle Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.57 | 4.7 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.74 | 5.35 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.74 | 5.35 |
|
|
1.53 | 5 | 5 |
|
|
1.56 | 4.7 | 4.7 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester City and Newcastle?
Our prediction for the Manchester City vs Newcastle match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/02/2026 between Manchester City and Newcastle in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 64% for a win of Manchester City against Newcastle with odds of 1.6 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester City vs Newcastle is 12.59% with odds of 5 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.41% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs Manchester City with odds of 5.52 at 888Starz.
Manchester City - Newcastle Prediction and Best Odds:
| Manchester City Newcastle Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 64% | 1.6 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.14% | |
| Both Team To Score | 65.83% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Manchester City/Manchester City | 41.82% | 2.3 at Bet365 |
Manchester City vs Newcastle Form
Manchester City and Newcastle's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
78 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | +42 |
|
12
|
49 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -2 |
Manchester City and Newcastle Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
4 Feb 2026 - Carabao Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
4 Feb 2026 - Carabao Cup
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
13 Jan 2026 - Carabao Cup
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Feb 2026 - Champions League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
4 Feb 2026 - Carabao Cup
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
13 Jan 2026 - Carabao Cup
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Feb 2026 - Champions League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
4 Feb 2026 - Carabao Cup
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
Manchester City vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Feb 2026 - Carabao Cup
13 Jan 2026 - Carabao Cup
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
28 Sept 2024 - Premier League
16 Mar 2024 - FA Cup
Manchester City - Newcastle: Form Analysis
Manchester City won both legs against Newcastle to advance to the League Cup final and are here on a seven-game unbeaten streak. Apart from the final, City have progressed in the FA Cup during this purple patch and kept alive their title hopes.
Pep Guardiola’s men, who are on a four-match winning run, sit five points behind league leaders Arsenal with a game in hand. They have won 16 of their 26 league matches and, with five draws, have amassed 53 points. City defeated Salford City 2-0 in the FA Cup last time out.
The Cityzens lost 2-1 to Newcastle in the first meeting this season.
Newcastle United were in magnificent form in midweek in the Champions League and will look to replicate this in Manchester. Eddie Howe’s men have one foot in the round of 16 after demolishing Qarabag 6-1 in the opening leg of their playoff tie.
Newcastle have been lackluster this season. The Geordies, who come here on three straight victories, have also won 10 league matches, which is the same number of games they have lost. They have accumulated 36 points and sit six points adrift of the European places. Newcastle defeated Tottenham away from home last time out in the EPL to end a five-game winless run.
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Manchester City against Newcastle Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 3 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
J. Trafford
DefenderR. Lewis
A. Khusanov
J. Stones
MidfielderT. Reijnders
N. Gonzalez
R. Cherki
Savinho
P. Foden
J. Ruddy
A. Ramsdale
DefenderL. Shahar
A. Murphy
MidfielderJ. Murphy
H. Barnes
W. Osula
S. Neave
Joelinton
Missing players
J. Gvardiol
MidfielderM. Kovacic
F. Schar
E. Krafth
S. Botman
MidfielderY. Wissa
B. Guimaraes
L. Miley
Manchester City & Newcastle Squad Analysis
Manchester City’s Josko Gvardiol and Mateo Kovacic remain sidelined with shin and ankle injuries, respectively. Erling Haaland, the Premier League’s top scorer, is dealing with a knee issue and is doubtful for the weekend. Missing out would be a massive blow for City.
If Haaland is unable to go, City could once again have Omar Marmoush lead the line with Phil Foden and Antoine Semenyo on either flank. Semenyo is having quite the start to life at City and has netted five times, with three goals coming in the league.
Anthony Gordon had a man-of-the-match performance in midweek as he netted four times.
For Newcastle, this match couldn’t have come at a worse time. The Magpies are in the midst of an injury crisis. They could be without seven players in Manchester. Bruno Guimaraes, Fabian Schar, Emil Krafth, and Valentin Livramento will continue to be on the sidelines for considerably longer.
Yoann Wissa is doubtful, and so too are Sven Botman and Lewis Miley. Guimaraes is one of Newcastle’s leading scorers, with nine goals in the league. Wissa has been preferred recently by Eddie Howe, but with his uncertainty, Nick Woltemade should come in in his place. The German forward has scored seven of his 10 goals in the league.
Most goals and assists
Manchester City
Newcastle
E. Haaland
(27 Goals)
B. Guimaraes
(9 Goals)
R. Cherki
(12 Assists)
B. Guimaraes
(5 Assists)
Manchester City - Newcastle Key Points
- Newcastle have failed to score once in their last eight games.
- City have found the back of the net in their last eight outings.
- Newcastle have kept just one clean sheet in their last 15 away matches.
- Two of the three meetings between these sides this season saw both teams score.
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Our Manchester City vs Newcastle Prediction
Our prediction for Manchester City v Newcastle United is BTTS. Though they have blown hot and cold this season, Newcastle are a strong attacking side. The visitors have scored 11 goals in their last three matches and bagged six goals last time out.
City, on the other hand, are the league’s leading scorers with 54 goals in 26 matches. The hosts have found the back of the net in each of their last eight games and in all three meetings with Newcastle.
Manchester City vs Newcastle Alternative Predictions
Manchester City wins
For our second prediction, we pick City to win. The Blues have won the last two meetings with the Magpies and arrive for this latest encounter unbeaten in seven games.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Manchester City Newcastle
| Manchester City vs Newcastle | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 1.57 | 1.6 | +1.9% |
| Draw | 4.45 | 5 | +12.4% |
| Newcastle wins | 5.4 | 5.52 | +2.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 63.7% and is now 62.5% (-1.2%)
Manchester City vs Newcastle - FAQs
This match will be played on Saturday, 21 February.
This match will be played at City’s Etihad Stadium in Manchester, England.
Fans in the UK can watch this game live on TNT Sports 1. For detailed updates of the same and for other EPL fixtures this weekend, check out Sportytrader
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
