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Manchester City vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Manchester City
29/11/2025 09:00
Leeds

Prediction :

 

Half-time/Full-time: Manchester City/Manchester City

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions

Manchester City have lost their last two games but will hope to get back into winning ways on Saturday. They are third in the Premier League and this weekend are home to 18th-placed Leeds United. Read our match prediction below.

City have lost to Newcastle United and Bayer Leverkusen in the past week. They are seven points behind Premier League leaders Arsenal and can't let that gap widen much further if they want to regain their title. Home league form is good though and they will fully expect three points this weekend.

Newly promoted Leeds United are in the relegation zone after the first twelve games of the new season. Just three league games have been won but as you will read in the form section of this preview, the Whites are going through a very rough patch at present. They are poor on their travels and concede far too many goals. That's not what you need when making your way to the Etihad.

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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester City v Leeds Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.22 6.5 12
Betfred
1.22 6.5 13
William Hill
1.25 6 11
Betway
1.22 6.5 11
Unibet
1.23 6.4 12.5
Check all Manchester City vs Leeds odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester City and Leeds?

Our prediction for the Manchester City vs Leeds match is: Manchester City wins and leads at half and full time.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/11/2025 between Manchester City and Leeds in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 73.62% for a win of Manchester City against Leeds with odds of 1.28 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester City vs Leeds is 7.9% with odds of 6.6 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 18.48% chance ⭐ for a win of Leeds vs Manchester City with odds of 13 at Betfred.

Manchester City vs Leeds Form

Manchester City and Leeds's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Manchester City
Manchester City
22 12 7 1 4 14
18
Leeds
Leeds
11 12 3 2 7 -11

Manchester City and Leeds Last Matches

Manchester City
Manchester City Last matches
W W W W L L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

25 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
0 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

22 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  1
Manchester City

9 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Liverpool

5 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
4 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

2 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Bournemouth

29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup

Swansea
1 :  3
Manchester City
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
0 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

9 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Liverpool

5 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
4 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

2 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Bournemouth

18 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Everton

27 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
5 :  1
Burnley
D W W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

22 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  1
Manchester City

29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup

Swansea
1 :  3
Manchester City

26 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Manchester City

21 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Villarreal
0 :  2
Manchester City

5 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  1
Manchester City

1 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Monaco
2 :  2
Manchester City
Leeds
Leeds Last matches
L L W L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

23 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Aston Villa

9 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
3 :  1
Leeds

1 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Leeds

24 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  1
West Ham

18 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  0
Leeds

4 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Tottenham
W D D L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Aston Villa

24 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  1
West Ham

4 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Tottenham

27 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  2
Bournemouth

30 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  0
Newcastle

18 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  0
Everton
D L W L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
3 :  1
Leeds

1 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Leeds

18 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  0
Leeds

20 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  3
Leeds

13 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  0
Leeds

26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Sheffield Wednesday
1 :  1
Leeds

Manchester City vs Leeds Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Manchester City

67 %

Draw

17 %

Leeds

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.83
Total goals
67%
BTTS
3
Goals scored (home team)
0.83
Goals scored (away team)
83%
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5

6 May 2023 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Leeds

28 Dec 2022 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  3
Manchester City

30 Apr 2022 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  4
Manchester City

14 Dec 2021 - Premier League

Manchester City
7 :  0
Leeds

10 Apr 2021 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  2
Leeds

3 Oct 2020 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  1
Manchester City
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Manchester City - Leeds: Form Analysis

Last season Manchester City went through a terrible patch of form and they never recovered from it. Pep Guardiola will be hoping that isn't going to be repeated as 2025 draws to a close. His side has lost their last two games, though the Champions League defeat was after making too many changes.

The Citizens have lost four games in this season's Premier League. Only one of those has come on home soil. That was in their opening home game of the season when being beaten by Tottenham. 

The goals are flowing at the Etihad.

Since then, City have won five consecutive home league games by an aggregate score of 16-2. At least a couple of goals have been scored by City in each of their five home league wins this season.

Leeds United are in the relegation zone on goal difference. They have only 11 league points this season, exactly half of the total earned by their opponents in this game. United have lost five of their last six games with eight goals conceded in the last three.

On the road, Leeds have won at Wolves but lost their other five away league fixtures.

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Manchester City vs Leeds last Lineups

Manchester City

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
J. Trafford
45
A. Khusanov
5
J. Stones
6
N. Ake
21
R. Ait-Nouri
4
T. Reijnders
14
N. Gonzalez
82
R. Lewis
52
O. Bobb
7
O. Marmoush
26
Savinho
19
N. Okafor
14
L. Nmecha
11
B. Aaronson
18
A. Stach
4
E. Ampadu
8
S. Longstaff
3
G. Gudmundsson
5
P. Struijk
6
J. Rodon
2
J. Bogle
1
L. Perri

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Leeds

Missing players

Manchester City
Manchester City
Midfielder

M. Kovacic

Rodri

R. McAidoo

Leeds
Leeds
Defender

S. Bornauw

Midfielder

A. Stach

Manchester City & Leeds Squad Analysis

Manchester City played a weakened line-up against Bayer Leverkusen in midweek. They paid the price for that with a 2-0 home loss to the German Bundesliga side. Even Pep Guardiola admits he probably made too many changes.

With Premier League points being so important at present, City will be fielding a much stronger line-up for the visit of Leeds Uniited on Saturday.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Manchester City
CD Huachipato Leeds
Top Goalscorer
Norway E. Haaland (19 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Germany L. Nmecha (3 Goals)
Best assists
Netherlands T. Reijnders (5 Assists)
Best assists
England S. Longstaff (2 Assists)

Manchester City and Leeds Stats in Premier League

Manchester City
Manchester City
Leeds
Leeds
58%
Wins
25%
8%
Draw
17%
33%
Losses
58%
2.83
Total goals per match
2.75
2
Goals scored per match
0.92
0.83
Goals conceded per match
1.83
58%
Over 2.5
67%
42%
Under 2.5
33%
42%
BTTS
50%
42%
Clean Sheet
17%

Manchester City - Leeds Key Points

  1. Manchester City have won their last four games against Leeds with 16 goals scored.
  2. Manchester City have won their last five home league games by an aggregate score of 16-2.
  3. Leeds have lost five of their six away league games this season.
  4. Leeds have lost five of their last six matches.
  5. Three of City's five home league wins saw them ahead at both half and full time.
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Our Manchester City vs Leeds Prediction

This looks to be an ideal opportunity for Manchester City to earn three league points. They have won their last five home league fixtures with 16 goals being put past their opponents. A few more should be scored this weekend.

Leeds United are in the bottom three and are struggling for results. They have only avoided defeat in one of their last six games. 15 goals have been conceded in their six away league games. Our main Manchester City v Leeds prediction is Manchester City wins and leads at half and full time.

Prediction :

 

Half-time/Full-time: Manchester City/Manchester City

 
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Manchester City vs Leeds - Other Interesting Predictions

Jeremy Doku to score or assist

Odds 1.91
Jeremy Doku has been in excellent form for City in recent games. We tip him to score or achieve an assist in this game.
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Manchester City vs Leeds match : Frequently asked questions

Manchester City are playing Leeds United at home on Saturday November 29. This Premier League fixture kicks-off at 15:00 UK time.

Manchester City are the home team in this Premier League match. It will be played at the Etihad in Manchester. City will be hoping to get their sixth straight Premier League home win of the season.

Premier League matches that kick-off at 15:00 on a Saturday afternoon are not shown live on television. You can keep up to date with the latest in this game by going to our Premier League livescore with live text commentary and updated statistics.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Manchester City vs Leeds Prediction

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