Manchester City vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
Manchester City have lost their last two games but will hope to get back into winning ways on Saturday. They are third in the Premier League and this weekend are home to 18th-placed Leeds United. Read our match prediction below.
City have lost to Newcastle United and Bayer Leverkusen in the past week. They are seven points behind Premier League leaders Arsenal and can't let that gap widen much further if they want to regain their title. Home league form is good though and they will fully expect three points this weekend.
Newly promoted Leeds United are in the relegation zone after the first twelve games of the new season. Just three league games have been won but as you will read in the form section of this preview, the Whites are going through a very rough patch at present. They are poor on their travels and concede far too many goals. That's not what you need when making your way to the Etihad.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
The Best Betting Odds for Manchester City v Leeds Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.22 | 7 | 11 |
|
|
1.26 | 6.4 | 11 |
|
|
1.2 | 7.7 | 11 |
|
|
1.22 | 6.6 | 11 |
|
|
1.25 | 6.8 | 12 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester City and Leeds?
Our prediction for the Manchester City vs Leeds match is: Manchester City wins and leads at half and full time.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/11/2025 between Manchester City and Leeds in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 73.39% for a win of Manchester City against Leeds with odds of 1.29 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester City vs Leeds is 7.94% with odds of 7.7 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 18.67% chance ⭐ for a win of Leeds vs Manchester City with odds of 13.5 at Shangrila.
Manchester City - Leeds Prediction and Best Odds:
| Manchester City Leeds Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 73.39% | 1.29 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.89% | |
| Both Team To Score | 55.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Manchester City/Manchester City | 32.61% | 1.73 at Bet365 |
Manchester City vs Leeds Form
Manchester City and Leeds's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
43 | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | +26 |
|
16
|
22 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | -8 |
Manchester City and Leeds Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
2 Nov 2025 - Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
2 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2025 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
24 Oct 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2025 - Premier League
24 Oct 2025 - Premier League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
18 Aug 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
20 Sept 2025 - Premier League
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
Manchester City vs Leeds Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 May 2023 - Premier League
28 Dec 2022 - Premier League
30 Apr 2022 - Premier League
14 Dec 2021 - Premier League
10 Apr 2021 - Premier League
3 Oct 2020 - Premier League
Manchester City - Leeds: Form Analysis
Last season Manchester City went through a terrible patch of form and they never recovered from it. Pep Guardiola will be hoping that isn't going to be repeated as 2025 draws to a close. His side has lost their last two games, though the Champions League defeat was after making too many changes.
The Citizens have lost four games in this season's Premier League. Only one of those has come on home soil. That was in their opening home game of the season when being beaten by Tottenham.
The goals are flowing at the Etihad.
Since then, City have won five consecutive home league games by an aggregate score of 16-2. At least a couple of goals have been scored by City in each of their five home league wins this season.
Leeds United are in the relegation zone on goal difference. They have only 11 league points this season, exactly half of the total earned by their opponents in this game. United have lost five of their last six games with eight goals conceded in the last three.
On the road, Leeds have won at Wolves but lost their other five away league fixtures.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
Manchester City against Leeds Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
J. Trafford
DefenderN. Ake
A. Khusanov
R. Ait-Nouri
R. Lewis
J. Stones
R. Cherki
Savinho
ForwardO. Marmoush
I. Meslier
DefenderJ. Bijol
G. Gudmundsson
S. Byram
MidfielderB. Aaronson
J. Harrison
ForwardJ. Piroe
N. Okafor
D. Calvert-Lewin
Missing players
M. Kovacic
Manchester City & Leeds Squad Analysis
Manchester City played a weakened line-up against Bayer Leverkusen in midweek. They paid the price for that with a 2-0 home loss to the German Bundesliga side. Even Pep Guardiola admits he probably made too many changes.
With Premier League points being so important at present, City will be fielding a much stronger line-up for the visit of Leeds. A goal for Erling Haaland will be his 100th in the Premier League and in record time.
The biggest change for Leeds could come at the top. Coach Daniel Farke is coming under increasing pressure and a heavy loss at the weekend could well see him be removed from his position as coach,
Injuries piling up for United.
United have some injury problems ahead of this trip to City. Anton Stach had to leave the pitch during last weekend's loss to Aston Villa due to a head injury. He will not be fit to play this weekend. Also out is influential midfielder Sean Longstaff and he's likely to be out for four to six weeks.
Most goals and assists
Manchester City
Leeds
E. Haaland
(20 Goals)
D. Calvert-Lewin
(9 Goals)
R. Cherki
(7 Assists)
B. Aaronson
(3 Assists)
Manchester City - Leeds Key Points
- Manchester City have won their last four games against Leeds with 16 goals scored.
- Manchester City have won their last five home league games by an aggregate score of 16-2.
- Leeds have lost five of their six away league games this season.
- Leeds have lost five of their last six matches.
- Three of City's five home league wins saw them ahead at both half and full time.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
Our Manchester City vs Leeds Prediction
This looks to be an ideal opportunity for Manchester City to earn three league points. They have won their last five home league fixtures with 16 goals being put past their opponents. A few more should be scored this weekend.
Leeds United are in the bottom three and are struggling for results. They have only avoided defeat in one of their last six games. 15 goals have been conceded in their six away league games. Our main Manchester City v Leeds prediction is Manchester City wins and leads at half and full time.
Manchester City vs Leeds - Other Interesting Predictions
Jeremy Doku to score or assist
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Manchester City Leeds
| Manchester City vs Leeds | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 1.28 | 1.29 | +0.8% |
| Draw | 6.49 | 7.7 | +18.6% |
| Leeds wins | 12.9 | 13.5 | +4.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 0.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 78.1% and is now 77.5% (-0.6%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Manchester City vs. Leeds game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Manchester City and Leeds? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Premier League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Manchester City vs Leeds - FAQs
Manchester City are playing Leeds United at home on Saturday November 29. This Premier League fixture kicks-off at 15:00 UK time.
Manchester City are the home team in this Premier League match. It will be played at the Etihad in Manchester. City will be hoping to get their sixth straight Premier League home win of the season.
Premier League matches that kick-off at 15:00 on a Saturday afternoon are not shown live on television. You can keep up to date with the latest in this game by going to our Premier League livescore with live text commentary and updated statistics.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
