Manchester City vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Manchester City
25/01/2025 12:30
Chelsea

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions

Manchester City can climb back into the Champions League places if they win this match. The Citizens are fifth in the Premier League and host fourth-placed Chelsea who are two points ahead of them. Can City win? Read our match prediction below.

A torrid final few months of 2024 had been replaced by a return to form for City. The goals have been flowing again but then came the 4-2 loss at PSG on Wednesday that shows there are still plenty of problems for Pep Guaridola to try and solve.

Chelsea have struggled for wins of late but beat Wolves 3-1 at home on Monday. Their faint title hopes are even slimmer now but a return to the Champions League is still possible. Cole Palmer will be up against his former club and there must have been times this season when City wished they hadn’t sold him. A fascinating Premier League game awaits us.

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Manchester City vs Chelsea Form

Manchester City and Chelsea's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Manchester City
71 38 21 8 9 +28
4 Chelsea
69 38 20 9 9 +21

Manchester City and Chelsea Last Matches

Manchester City
Manchester City Last matches
W W W D W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
4 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

22 Jan 2025 - Champions League

PSG
4 :  2
Manchester City

19 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
0 :  6
Manchester City

14 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
2 :  2
Manchester City

11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Manchester City
8 :  0
Salford City

4 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
4 :  1
West Ham

29 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Leicester
0 :  2
Manchester City
D W L D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Manchester City
8 :  0
Salford City

4 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
4 :  1
West Ham

26 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  1
Everton

15 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  2
Manchester United

4 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Nottingham Forest

26 Nov 2024 - Champions League

Manchester City
3 :  3
Feyenoord
L L W D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Jan 2025 - Champions League

PSG
4 :  2
Manchester City

19 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
0 :  6
Manchester City

14 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
2 :  2
Manchester City

29 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Leicester
0 :  2
Manchester City

21 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Manchester City

11 Dec 2024 - Champions League

Juventus
2 :  0
Manchester City
Chelsea
Chelsea Last matches
L L D W D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

20 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  1
Wolves

14 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Bournemouth

11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Chelsea
5 :  0
Morecambe

4 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  1
Chelsea

30 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
2 :  0
Chelsea

26 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  2
Fulham
W W L W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

20 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  1
Wolves

14 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Bournemouth

11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Chelsea
5 :  0
Morecambe

26 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  2
Fulham

19 Dec 2024 - Conference League

Chelsea
5 :  1
Shamrock Rovers

15 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  1
Brentford
W W W D L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  1
Chelsea

30 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
2 :  0
Chelsea

22 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  0
Chelsea

12 Dec 2024 - Conference League

FC Astana
1 :  3
Chelsea

8 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Tottenham
3 :  4
Chelsea

4 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  5
Chelsea

Manchester City vs Chelsea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Manchester City

67 %

Draw

33 %

Chelsea

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2.17
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

18 Aug 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  2
Manchester City

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
2 :  4
Manchester City

20 Apr 2024 - FA Cup

Manchester City
1 :  0
Chelsea

17 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  1
Chelsea

12 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
4 :  4
Manchester City

21 May 2023 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  0
Chelsea

Manchester City - Chelsea: Form Analysis

Manchester City had been unbeaten in six league and cup games before Wednesday's trip to PSG. When they wemt 2-0 up in Paris, it looked like that would become seven. Then they conceded four goals and the Blues slipped back to their bad old ways.

That was the second time in three games that they have conceded at least two goals. 29 Premier League goals have been conceded already this season in 22 games, just five less than they had put past them in their 38 league games last term.

Six home league games have been won this season by City with both teams scoring in the last three. Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 12 of their last 14 home league games. 

Chelsea are two points ahead of Manchester City and are unbeaten in their last three Premier League games,  Two had been drawn before a 3-1 home win over Wolves on Monday. Earlier in the season their away form was excellent but they've gone three in the league without a victory.

Both teams have scored in seven of their last nine league games. Over 2.5 goals have been scored in eight of the last 11 league games and more could be on the way this Saturday.

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Manchester City vs Chelsea last Lineups

Manchester City

Formation : 4 - 2 - 2 - 2

31
Ederson
25
M. Akanji
45
A. Khusanov
24
J. Gvardiol
27
M. Nunes
8
M. Kovacic
19
I. Gundogan
20
B. Silva
7
O. Marmoush
47
P. Foden
9
E. Haaland
15
N. Jackson
19
J. Sancho
20
C. Palmer
11
N. Madueke
8
E. Fernandez
25
M. Caicedo
3
M. Cucurella
23
T. Chalobah
6
L. Colwill
24
R. James
1
R. Sanchez

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Chelsea

Substitutes

Manchester City
Manchester City
Goalkeeper

S. Ortega

Defender

V. Reis

R. Lewis

N. O'Reilly

J. Stones

A. Khusanov 54'

Midfielder

Savinho

J. McAtee

K. De Bruyne

O. Marmoush 74'

J. Grealish

Chelsea
Chelsea
Goalkeeper

F. Jorgensen

Defender

M. Gusto

R. James 73'

A. Disasi

T. Adarabioyo

J. Acheampong

Midfielder

K. Dewsbury-Hall

Forward

C. Nkunku

N. Jackson 61'

M. Guiu

P. Neto

J. Sancho 73'

Missing players

Manchester City
Manchester City
Midfielder

Rodri

Chelsea
Chelsea
Forward

M. Mudryk

O. Kellyman

Manchester City & Chelsea Squad Analysis

The 4-2 loss at PSG on Wednesday was disappointing enough but Ruben Dias only played in the first half. He's now doubtful for this match against Chelsea.

City have been busy in the transfer market this week with three expensie additions to their squad. Vitor Reis, Abukodir Khusanov and Omar Marmoush have all arrived at the Etihad and could feature in this match, though most likely starting on the subs bench. Kyle Walker is on his way to AC Milan on loan.

Jack Grealish was in form at PSG and could start this match but the odds are Guardiola will stick with Savinho.

Will Chelsea keep Sanchez in goal?

Unlike City, Chelsea didn't have a midweek European fixture. They did host Wolves on Monday and that game saw goalkeeper Robert Sanchez make a major error. He seems to have the support of Maresca though and could again be between the sticks.

Chelsea have Romeo Lavia and Wesley Fofana on their injury list. Mykhayio Mudryk is suspended for this Premier League game. Other doubts are Enzo Fernandez, Reece James and Levi Colwill.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Manchester City
CD Huachipato Chelsea
Top Goalscorer
Norway E. Haaland (21 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England C. Palmer (15 Goals)
Best assists
Belgium K. De Bruyne (8 Assists)
Brazil Savinho (8 Assists)
Best assists
England C. Palmer (8 Assists)

Manchester City - Chelsea Key Points

  1. Six of Chelsea's last nine Premier League games have seen both teams score and over 2.5 goals.
  2. That statistic has come up in six of Chelsea's last eight away Premier League fixtures.
  3. Both teams have scored with over 2.5 goals in the game in ten of Manchester City's last 14 home league matches.
  4. That statistic has come up in three of Manchester City's last four league and cup games.
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Our Manchester City vs Chelsea Prediction

Manchester City could move into the Champions League places on Saturday and then be knocked out of this season's competition a few days later. Their fragile defence was again exposed at PSG when conceding four goals after taking a 2-0 lead.  They return to the English Premier League unbeaten in their last five games but in their next six league games, they play the five sides above them iin the table.

Chelsea have had their problems too in recent weeks and aren't doing too well on the road. Our main Manchester City v Chelsea prediction is both teams to score and over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals

 
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Manchester City vs Chelsea Alternative Predictions

Manchester City to win and both teams to score

Odds 3.1
Manchester City are unbeaten in their last ten matches against Chelsea. With home advantage and Chelsea not firing on the road, we believe City can be backed to win but it's hard to trust their defence to keep a clean sheet.
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Manchester City vs Chelsea - FAQs

This Premier League match between Manchester City and Chelsea is being played on Saturday January 25. It has a scheduled start of 17:30 UK time.
This game against Chelsea is a home fixture for Manchester City. That means the game will be played at the Etihad in Manchester. They last lost at home to Chelsea in 2021.
This is the Saturday tea-time match for Sky Sports. A monthly subscription or day pass is required to be able to watch the game. Go to our Premier League livescore for the latest statistics and live text commentary.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Manchester City vs Chelsea Prediction