England - Premier League
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by Nella Wagah | in Premier League Predictions
Manchester City will be back at home for their next Premier League match, this time hosting newly promoted side Burnley. Manchester City haven't had their usual dominance at this stage of the season and arrive for this game sitting ninth in the league standings. As for Burnley, nothing unexpected has happened in their season so far. Their main target remains survival, and they’ll hope to avoid defeat here. Read on for our preview and a prediction of this match.
Manchester City playing at home against Burnley captures exactly the kind of matches the former champions have risen to for their success. We expect a dominant game from the home side, who have already dropped points in three matches in 2025/26.
Burnley will come here with vulnerability written all over. They have both defensive leaks and shortcomings in attack that have conspired to leave them just a point above the relegation region. Compared to their peers, though, the Clarets are doing better defensively.
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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester City v Burnley Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.17 | 7.5 | 15 |
|
|
1.18 | 7.5 | 17 |
|
|
1.18 | 7 | 15 |
|
|
1.18 | 7.5 | 13 |
|
|
1.17 | 7.5 | 15 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester City and Burnley?
Our prediction for the Manchester City vs Burnley match is: Manchester City to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/09/2025 between Manchester City and Burnley in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 71.56% for a win of Manchester City against Burnley with odds of 1.2 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester City vs Burnley is 10.67% with odds of 8.1 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 17.77% chance ⭐ for a win of Burnley vs Manchester City with odds of 17 at Betfred.
Manchester City vs Burnley Form
Manchester City and Burnley's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
|
16
|
4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 |
Manchester City and Burnley Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup
21 Sep 2025 - Premier League
18 Sep 2025 - Champions League
14 Sep 2025 - Premier League
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Sep 2025 - Champions League
14 Sep 2025 - Premier League
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
30 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
22 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
18 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup
21 Sep 2025 - Premier League
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup
20 Sep 2025 - Premier League
14 Sep 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup
20 Sep 2025 - Premier League
14 Sep 2025 - Premier League
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Manchester City vs Burnley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 Jan 2024 - Premier League
11 Aug 2023 - Premier League
18 Mar 2023 - FA Cup
2 Apr 2022 - Premier League
16 Oct 2021 - Premier League
3 Feb 2021 - Premier League
Manchester City - Burnley: Form Analysis
It isn’t on many occasions that Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City is dominated. Last Sunday witnessed one such occurrence at Arsenal. The Citizens had to resort to parking the bus to contain a barrage of Arsenal’s attacks as they held on to a slim lead.
They couldn’t do it all day, as Arsenal left it late to bag the equalizer, leaving City dejected as the match ended 1-1. If City look to rise into the title race, the Arsenal match showed they are a bit light, not in terms of personnel but confidence.
It is for this reason that they have already dropped eight points after five matches. Losses to Tottenham and Brighton are stark reminders of just how low Pep Guardiola’s side has dropped.
City are enduring their worst start in five Premier League matches since 2006/07.
Burnley might want to cash in on Manchester City’s problems, but they will also know this is a fixture that has caused the team a lot of pain.
This is already their fourth match against the traditional top six of the Premier League, and it means they’ll have a streak of ‘easier’ matches at some point. For now, though, the focus is on halting their poor run against City.
In the last 13 matches against Manchester City across all competitions, Burnley suffered straight defeats. The Clarets are also winless in 19 away league games against City, losing 13.
That, and their slow start this season, already tells a story of what will be. Scott Parker’s side is coming off a 2-1 loss to lower league side Cardiff City in the Carabao Cup.
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Missing players
R. Ait Nouri
A. Khusanov
MidfielderM. Kovacic
R. Cherki
ForwardO. Marmoush
C. Roberts
J. Beyer
ForwardZ. Amdouni
J. Bruun Larsen
Manchester City & Burnley Squad Analysis
Erling Haaland will be on show again. He has five goals against Burnley in previous matches and will be charged after another strong start to the season.
The Norwegian is already leading the scoring charts with six goals and will definitely be a handful for Burnley. Rodri is another player with a good run against Burnley, having scored three times in this fixture.
City’s defensive approach in their game against Arsenal had casualties. Abdukodir Khusanov lasted one half in the game and remains a doubt here.
Rayan Ait-Nouri, Rayan Cherki, and Omar Marmoush are all injured for Manchester City.
Burnley could welcome back midfielder Lesley Ugochukwu to their Premier League lineup after serving his suspension. He missed last weekend’s game but was back for the midweek League Cup match.
With Burnley expected to line up defensively, a five-man back line could be deployed here. The highlight there will be right-back Kyle Walker returning to face the side he skippered at this stage last season.
Burnley will miss Zeki Amdouni, Connor Roberts, and Jordan Beyer, all with injuries.
Most goals and assists
Manchester City
Burnley
E. Haaland
(7 Goals)
J. Anthony
(3 Goals)
T. Reijnders
(3 Assists)
J. Anthony
(1 Assists)
, 
J. Cullen
(1 Assists)
, 
L. Foster
(1 Assists)
, 
J. Bruun Larsen
(1 Assists)
Manchester City and Burnley Stats in Premier League
Manchester City - Burnley Key Points
- Manchester City have three wins in their last four matches.
- In all of City’s wins this season, they kept clean sheets.
- Burnley suffered three defeats in their last four matches.
- Burnley failed to score in two of their three league defeats.
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Our Manchester City vs Burnley Prediction
Manchester City showed their defensive prowess against Arsenal, taking in the hits for close to 70 minutes, and were unfortunate not to get their clean sheet. However, it is worth noting that in the matches City have won this season, they did so with clean sheets.
It takes great talent too to beat their new keeper, Gianluigi Donnarumma. Burnley’s struggles in this fixture, and generally in attack, are well known. Our prediction for Manchester City v Burnley is for Manchester City to win to nil.
Manchester City vs Burnley - Other Interesting Predictions
Erling Haaland to score
After their defensive display against Arsenal, back Manchester City to open up this time. Burnley will be the ones sitting back, and we expect the Clarets to take in a lot of fire from City. Haaland has really enjoyed this fixture, and given his good start to the season, we are backing him as an anytime goal scorer here.
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Manchester City vs Burnley match : Frequently asked questions
The Manchester City-Burnley match will be played on Saturday, 27th September.
The Manchester City-Burnley match will be played at the Etihad Stadium in Manchester.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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