Mamelodi Sundowns vs Esperance Sportive De Tunis Prediction & Betting Tips - CAF Champions League
Africa - CAF Champions League
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by Ita Emmanuel | in CAF Champions League Predictions
This second leg of the 2025-26 CAF Champions League semifinals will see Mamelodi Sundowns host Esperance De Tunis at Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium on Saturday. The South African champions won the first leg 1–0 in Rades last week. Can they complete the job against the four-time champions to reach their second successive CAF Champions League final? Here is our prediction.
Colombian forward Brayan Leon's 51st-minute tap-in was all Mamelodi Sundowns needed to silence the crowd in Rades and run out winners in the first leg. That victory didn't just edge Bafana ba Style close to ending their decade-long wait for the CAF Champions League title, but ended Esperance de Tunis' 10-match unbeaten run across all competitions.
Miguel Cardoso's side will look to build on that result on Saturday. They are unbeaten across their five CAF Champions League home matches this season (W4, D1).
Esperance de Tunis are now on the brink of a CAF Champions League exit after last week's setback. The Red and Yellow must now win by at least two unreplied goals to qualify for the final. They have failed to win three of their last four CAF Champions League away matches and their last trip to face Mamelodi Sundowns in the competition ended in defeat.
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Mamelodi Sundowns v Esperance Sportive De Tunis Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.92 | 3.05 | 4.4 |
|
|
2.03 | 3.02 | 4 |
|
|
1.87 | 2.9 | 5.15 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.1 | 4.33 |
|
|
2.04 | 2.96 | 3.65 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Mamelodi Sundowns and Esperance Sportive De Tunis?
Our prediction for the Mamelodi Sundowns vs Esperance Sportive De Tunis match is: Mamelodi Sundowns wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/04/2026 between Mamelodi Sundowns and Esperance Sportive De Tunis in CAF Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.82% for a win of Mamelodi Sundowns against Esperance Sportive De Tunis with odds of 2.12 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mamelodi Sundowns vs Esperance Sportive De Tunis is 18.27% with odds of 3.1 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.91% chance ⭐ for a win of Esperance Sportive De Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns with odds of 5.15 at Betwinner.
Mamelodi Sundowns - Esperance Sportive De Tunis Prediction and Best Odds:
| Mamelodi Sundowns Esperance Sportive De Tunis Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mamelodi Sundowns wins | 48.82% | 2.12 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.74% | 1.95 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 62.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Mamelodi Sundowns | 20.27% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Esperance Sportive De Tunis Form
Mamelodi Sundowns and Esperance Sportive De Tunis Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - CAF Champions League
7 Apr 2026 - Premier Soccer League
3 Apr 2026 - Premier Soccer League
22 Mar 2026 - CAF Champions League
17 Mar 2026 - Premier Soccer League
13 Mar 2026 - CAF Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Apr 2026 - Premier Soccer League
17 Mar 2026 - Premier Soccer League
13 Mar 2026 - CAF Champions League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier Soccer League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier Soccer League
14 Feb 2026 - CAF Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - CAF Champions League
7 Apr 2026 - Premier Soccer League
22 Mar 2026 - CAF Champions League
10 Mar 2026 - Premier Soccer League
24 Feb 2026 - Premier Soccer League
21 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - CAF Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Mar 2026 - Tunisian Cup
21 Mar 2026 - CAF Champions League
15 Mar 2026 - CAF Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - CAF Champions League
15 Mar 2026 - CAF Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Feb 2026 - CAF Champions League
27 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Mar 2026 - Tunisian Cup
21 Mar 2026 - CAF Champions League
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Esperance Sportive De Tunis Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
20 %
40 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Apr 2026 - CAF Champions League
8 Apr 2025 - CAF Champions League
1 Apr 2025 - CAF Champions League
26 Apr 2024 - CAF Champions League
20 Apr 2024 - CAF Champions League
Mamelodi Sundowns - Esperance Sportive De Tunis Key Points
- Mamelodi Sundowns have won their last seven home matches across all competitions.
- Bafana ba Style are unbeaten in their five CAF Champions League home matches this season.
- Esperance de Tunis have failed to win three of their last four CAF Champions League away matches.
- The Red and Yellow lost their last CAF Champions League trip to face Mamelodi Sundowns.
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Our Mamelodi Sundowns vs Esperance Sportive De Tunis Prediction
This will be a difficult game for Esperance de Tunis after last week's setback in the first leg. They have struggled in their CAF Champions League road fixtures and their most recent trip to face Mamelodi Sundowns ended in defeat.
Meanwhile, Mamelodi Sundowns head into this contest on seven consecutive victories at Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium and have won four of their five CAF Champions League matches at the venue. We are backing them to secure victory. Our Mamelodi Sundowns vs Esperance de Tunis prediction : Mamelodi Sundowns wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Mamelodi Sundowns Esperance Sportive De Tunis
| Mamelodi Sundowns vs Esperance Sportive De Tunis | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mamelodi Sundowns wins | 1.95 | 2.12 | +8.7% |
| Draw | 2.95 | 3.1 | +5.1% |
| Esperance Sportive De Tunis wins | 4.4 | 5.15 | +17.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Mamelodi Sundowns is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 8.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 51.3% and is now 47.2% (-4.1%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
