Malmo vs Red Star Belgrade Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Europa League Predictions
Matchday 7 in the Europa League will see Malmo taking on Red Star Belgrade at Eleda Stadion on Thursday evening. Di Blae are in 34th place in the League Phase standings, while Zvezda are 17th after six games. Let’s get into the match prediction.
With just one point after the first six games, Malmo’s Europa League campaign is as good as over, and anything but three points here will confirm their elimination from Europe this season.
Di Blae’s only point in the competition came in a 1-1 draw against Dinamo Zagreb on MD3. They have scored just three goals so far - the second-fewest in the UEL - while conceding 12.
The hosts won their last home game against GAIS, but that was back in November, and it was one of only two home victories they managed since the middle of September.
Meanwhile, with the Super Liga only set to resume on January 31, Red Star Belgrade will be playing their first competitive match since December 21 this week.
After only taking a point from their first four UEL games, Zvezda have romped into mid-table with three consecutive 1-0 wins against Sturm Graz, FCSB and Lille between MD4 and MD6.
The visitors have only won one of their three away games in the Europa League, but they have lost just two of their last seven matches on the road across all competitions (W4 D1).
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Malmo v Red Star Belgrade Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.6 | 4.1 | 1.76 |
|
|
4.76 | 4.1 | 1.67 |
|
|
4.68 | 3.98 | 1.7 |
|
|
4.75 | 4.2 | 1.65 |
|
|
4.2 | 4 | 1.77 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Malmo and Red Star Belgrade?
Our prediction for the Malmo vs Red Star Belgrade match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/01/2026 between Malmo and Red Star Belgrade in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.83% for a win of Malmo against Red Star Belgrade with odds of 4.76 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Malmo vs Red Star Belgrade is 18.66% with odds of 4.2 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 51.51% chance ⭐ for a win of Red Star Belgrade vs Malmo with odds of 1.84 at Tonybet.
Malmo - Red Star Belgrade Prediction and Best Odds:
| Malmo Red Star Belgrade Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Red Star Belgrade wins | 51.51% | 1.84 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 51.24% | 3.25 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.38% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Red Star Belgrade | 21.7% | 4.8 at LSbet |
Malmo vs Red Star Belgrade Form
Malmo and Red Star Belgrade's standings in the Europa League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15
|
14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 |
|
35
|
1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -11 |
Malmo and Red Star Belgrade Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
9 Nov 2025 - Allsvenskan
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
1 Nov 2025 - Allsvenskan
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Nov 2025 - Allsvenskan
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
27 Oct 2025 - Allsvenskan
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
28 Sept 2025 - Allsvenskan
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
1 Nov 2025 - Allsvenskan
18 Oct 2025 - Allsvenskan
5 Oct 2025 - Allsvenskan
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Dec 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
15 Dec 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Dec 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
7 Dec 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Dec 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
30 Nov 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
23 Nov 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
19 Nov 2025 - Serbia Cup
9 Nov 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
Malmo against Red Star Belgrade Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
R. Olsen
DefenderV. Ponnert Hidalgo
A. Duric
M. Frejd Palsson
MidfielderL. Johnsen
A. Christiansen
O. Lewicki
A. Sigurdsson
ForwardS. Soumah
D. Gudjohnsen
T. Ali
S. Haksabanovic
I. Gutesa
O. Glazer
DefenderS. Gudelj
S. Lekovic
A. Avdic
MidfielderN. Stankovic
T. Handel
M. Bajo
M. Ivanic
B. Duarte
Milson
N. Radonjic
Most goals and assists
Malmo
Red Star Belgrade
L. Johnsen
(1 Goals)
, 
O. Lewicki
(1 Goals)
,
T. Ali
(1 Goals)
M. Arnautovic
(2 Goals)
, 
V. Kostov
(2 Goals)
, 
B. Duarte
(2 Goals)
T. Ali
(1 Assists)
,
O. Rosengren
(1 Assists)
,
K. Busuladzic
(1 Assists)
T. Elsnik
(2 Assists)
Malmo - Red Star Belgrade Key Points
- Eight of Malmo’s last 10 games have ended with under 3.5 goals.
- Malmo failed to score in their last two UEL games.
- Seven of Red Star Belgrade’s last 10 games have ended with under 3.5 goals.
- Red Star Belgrade has kept clean sheets in four of their last five matches.
- All three of Red Star Belgrade’s away games in this competition have ended with under 3.5 goals.
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Our Malmo vs Red Star Belgrade Prediction
Malmo have endured a very disappointing Europa League campaign to this point, and anything but three points in this match will bring an end to their European season.
Unfortunately, Di Blae have only scored three goals in this competition in six games, which does not bode well for their chances against a Red Star Belgrade side that has kept clean sheets in four of their last five matches. Therefore, our Malmo vs Red Star Belgrade prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Malmo Red Star Belgrade
| Malmo vs Red Star Belgrade | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Malmo wins | 3.04 | 4.76 | +56.6% |
| Draw | 3.36 | 4.2 | +25.0% |
| Red Star Belgrade wins | 2.34 | 1.84 | -21.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Red Star Belgrade is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 21.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.7% and is now 54.3% (11.6%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
