Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Real Mallorca hosts Rayo Vallecano as both sides look to strengthen their survival hopes in La Liga. Mallorca, starting this round, placed 16th, two points above the drop zone, while 13th-placed Rayo are six points clear of the red zone. Below we have a prediction of the match.
With eight rounds to go, Mallorca boosted their own hopes with a big win, beating title-chasing Real Madrid 2-1.
That was their second win in three league outings, and new manager Martin Demichelis will have the belief his charges can escape the relegation trapdoor.
Seven of Mallorca’s eight wins came in home matches, so their belief isn’t farfetched.
Rayo also secured an important win in the last round, seeing off relegation-threatened Elche 1-0 to shoot up the standings.
That was their eighth win of the campaign but second in the last five games, two of which ended in draws.
In midweek, they made the mood even more jubilant with a 3-0 win over AEK Athens in their Conference League quarter-finals.
The Red Sashes, just like their hosts, will see this as a very key game in the relegation matrix. While Rayo have only lost to Barcelona in their last eight league games, winning three and drawing five, they’re winless in nine away games.
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Mallorca v Rayo Vallecano Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.4 | 3.25 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.36 | 3.19 | 3.18 |
|
|
2.36 | 3.19 | 3.18 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.2 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.34 | 3.15 | 3.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Mallorca and Rayo Vallecano?
Our prediction for the Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano match is: Mallorca wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/04/2026 between Mallorca and Rayo Vallecano in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.43% for a win of Mallorca against Rayo Vallecano with odds of 2.44 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano is 21.71% with odds of 3.31 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.86% chance ⭐ for a win of Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca with odds of 3.29 at 888Starz.
Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano Prediction and Best Odds:
| Mallorca Rayo Vallecano Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mallorca wins | 48.43% | 2.44 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.96% | 2.17 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 67.92% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Mallorca | 18.77% | 5.75 at LSbet |
Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano Form
Mallorca and Rayo Vallecano's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | -3 |
|
18
|
42 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -10 |
Mallorca and Rayo Vallecano Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
21 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
15 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
15 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
2 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
7 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
25 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
11 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
3 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
16 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
3 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
16 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
24 May 2025 - LaLiga
20 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
11 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
30 Sept 2023 - LaLiga
4 Jun 2023 - LaLiga
Mallorca against Rayo Vallecano Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
I. Cuellar
DefenderJ. Olaizola
M. Kumbulla
Lato Toni
M. Morey
MidfielderA. Sanchez
J. Garcia
J. Virgili
J. Llabres
J. Kalumba
Abdon
T. Asano
A. Batalla
DefenderL. Felipe
P. Chavarria
I. Balliu
MidfielderP. Ciss
I. Palazon
U. Lopez
ForwardS. Camello
Alemao
J. de Frutos
C. Martin
O. Trejo
Missing players
L. Bergstrom
DefenderA. Raillo
MidfielderJ. Salas
F. Perez
D. Mendez
Most goals and assists
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
V. Muriqi
(23 Goals)
J. de Frutos
(10 Goals)
S. Darder
(5 Assists)
A. Garcia
(5 Assists)
Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano Key Points
- Mallorca are on six wins in 10 home matches.
- Mallorca won four straight home matches against Rayo.
- Rayo lost four of their last seven away games in all competitions.
- Two of Rayo’s last four outings ended in defeat.
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Our Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction
Rayo might have picked up well recently, but this isn’t a match they’ve dominated, especially when playing as the away team. Though they won the latest meeting between the two and drew the earlier one, four straight defeats away to Mallorca will concern them.
Mallorca are expected to be very confident here, coming from a win against Real Madrid. They’ve generally done well at home in their recent matches, winning six of 10. Based on this run, our prediction for Mallorca v Rayo Vallecano is that Mallorca wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Mallorca Rayo Vallecano
| Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca wins | 2.68 | 2.44 | -9.0% |
| Draw | 3.61 | 3.31 | -8.3% |
| Rayo Vallecano wins | 2.74 | 3.29 | +20.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Mallorca is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 9.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 37.3% and is now 41.0% (3.7%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
