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by Devesh Jaganath | in World Cup Predictions
Malawi and Liberia will meet in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Qualifiers at the Bingu National Stadium on Monday evening. The Flames are in fifth place in CAF Group H, while the Lone Stars are third. Let’s get into the match prediction.
With nine points after seven games, Malawi will not be able to qualify directly for the World Cup from this group, but they are still in contention to finish second - albeit by a very slender margin.
The Flames do have some momentum coming into this match, though, having beaten Namibia 2-1 on the road on Friday, with Richard Mbulu and Gabadinho Mhango scoring their goals.
The hosts have won just one of their three home games in this competition, which was against Sao Tome and Principe. They failed to score in their other two home matches.
Meanwhile, Liberia are on 10 points after seven games and trail second-placed Namibia by two points, while they can also still mathematically finish first if Tunisia suffer a collapse from pole position.
The Lone Stars were beaten 3-0 by the Eagles of Carthage in midweek and have now won just one of their last six matches across all competitions (W1 D1 L4).
The visitors have split their three away games in this competition (W1 D1 L1) and have failed to beat their upcoming opponents in their last three attempts.
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The Best Betting Odds for Malawi v Liberia Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.2 | 3.2 | 3.3 |
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2.15 | 3 | 3.5 |
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2.15 | 3 | 3.4 |
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2.15 | 3.1 | 3.5 |
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2.06 | 3.15 | 3.45 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Malawi and Liberia?
Our prediction for the Malawi vs Liberia match is: both teams to score (NO).
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/09/2025 between Malawi and Liberia in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.05% for a win of Malawi against Liberia with odds of 2.22 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Malawi vs Liberia is 17.53% with odds of 3.22 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.42% chance ⭐ for a win of Liberia vs Malawi with odds of 3.53 at Vbet.
Malawi vs Liberia Form
Malawi and Liberia's standings in the World Cup
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3
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10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
5
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9 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 |
Malawi and Liberia Last Matches

1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
8 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
5 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
5 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2025 - World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON

2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Mar 2025 - World Cup
17 Nov 2024 - AFCON
13 Nov 2024 - AFCON
14 Oct 2024 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Mar 2025 - World Cup
13 Nov 2024 - AFCON
14 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
26 Mar 2024 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2025 - World Cup
17 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
5 Jun 2024 - World Cup
Malawi vs Liberia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
Malawi - Liberia Key Points
- Five of Malawi’s seven games in this competition have ended with only one team scoring.
- Malawi failed to score in two of their three home games in this competition.
- Five of Liberia’s seven games in this competition have ended with only one team scoring.
- Liberia have failed to score in three of their last four matches across all competitions.
- Only one team has scored in the last two matches between these sides.
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Our Malawi vs Liberia Prediction
Malawi’s World Cup qualification hopes are hanging by a thread, and losing this match will bring those hopes to a complete end, meaning they have to throw caution to the wind on Monday evening.
However, the hosts have failed to score in three of their last four games in this competition, and chances were at a premium when these sides met back on matchday one of qualifying in November 2023. The first goal in this match could easily turn out to be the decider. Our Malawi vs Liberia prediction is both teams to score (NO).
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